Seasonality of GDP and its components in the European Union countries

In: Wiadomości statystyczne / Glówny Urza̜d Statystyczny, Polskie Towarzystwo Statystyczne: czasopismo Głównego Urze̜du Statystycznego i Polskiego Towarzystwa = ˜Theœ Polish statistician, Band 62, Heft 11, S. 17-28

Abstract

he following research aims at comparing GDP seasonality and its components in the European Union countries. An attempt was made to determine the size of seasonal fluctuations, their share in short-term variability and the differences depending on the country and economic category. The analysis, based on the Eurostat data for the years 2002—2015, relies on a model of deterministic seasonality.
The obtained results show large but varied seasonal fluctuations depending on the country and economic category. Gross fixed capital formation was subject to the largest seasonal fluctuations, whereas imports was exposed to the minor ones. A visible negative correlation between GDP seasonality and GDP per capita was found.