Realismo tridimensional e o futuro do nordeste asiatico

In: Relações internacionais: R:I, Heft 16, S. 37-59

Abstract

Northeast Asia is a political system divided & ripe for change, where the U.S. play the role of the offshore balancer & China can eventually become a potential hegemon. The future of this region is unclear & leads to three scenarios: the present aloofness, conflict, or cooperation. Trying to overcome the limits of neorealism, liberalism & constructivism, an offensive neoclassical realist theory named tridimensional realism is presented. According to this theory, under the present balanced multipolar structure of power the possibilities of conflict are reduced & the aloofness should evolve towards limited cooperation. However, in case a potential hegemon unbalances the multipolar structure, aloofness & limited cooperation may fall into conflict. Adapted from the source document.