Understanding Social Change: Some Comments on "Prediction and Social Change"
In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 10, Heft 2, S. 143-147
ISSN: 0016-3287
In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 10, Heft 2, S. 143-147
ISSN: 0016-3287
SSRN
In: World futures review: a journal of strategic foresight, Band 1, Heft 3, S. 81-86
ISSN: 2169-2793
In: World futures review: a journal of strategic foresight, Band 1, Heft 1, S. 108-110
ISSN: 2169-2793
In: IHS-Journal, Band 3, Heft 4
Es ist zweckmäßig drei Ebenen zu unterscheiden, auf denen sozialer Wandel stattfindet: (1) die interpersonelle Ebene, wo sozialer Wandel geschieht in der Art, wie Leute sich in "face-to-face-Interaktionen" behandeln, (2) die institutionelle Ebene, wo sich durch Änderungen der Rollen- oder Regel-Strukturen die Institutionen wandeln, und (3) die globale Ebene, wo sich Macro-Strukturen ändern. In dem Papier wird die These aufgestellt, daß institutioneller und interpersoneller Wandel erklärt und geregelt werden kann, daß aber globaler Wandel von uns notwendigerweise nicht erklärt und nicht gemanaged werden kann. (LOÜbers)
In: Pacific affairs: an international review of Asia and the Pacific, Band 45, Heft 2, S. 318
ISSN: 1715-3379
In: Australian quarterly: AQ, Band 17, Heft 3, S. 84
ISSN: 1837-1892
In: Development in practice, Band 20, Heft 6, S. 621-635
ISSN: 1364-9213
In: International social science journal: ISSJ, Heft 156
ISSN: 0020-8701
Develops a perspective on social transformation and social change. The perspective is described as social transformations as inadvertent consequences of adaptation. 5 adaptive phases since World War 11 are identified in their economic, political, military and cultural aspects. (Original abstract - amended)
In: Peace review: the international quarterly of world peace, Band 6, Heft 4, S. 487-495
ISSN: 1040-2659
Analyzes the ambivalence of most social scientists, who are more comfortable in analyzing & interpreting problems than in taking actions to solve them. Academic conferences & study, the media, the family, mainstream religion, & the state discourage people from acting. The university as an institution inspires decontextualization & intellectualization. The ambivalence of most social scientists about social change is due to the risk of making things worse & the socialization of consumerism. Activism is a way of testing the self, of opening to new discoveries of unknown strengths, vulnerabilities, virtures, & weaknesses. 2 References. L. Nguyen
In: International social science journal: ISSJ, Band 50, S. 173-178
ISSN: 0020-8701
Develops a perspective on social transformation & social change that is best described as "social transformations as inadvertent consequences of adaptations." The major world transformations of the late 20th century -- continuing economic growth, continuing democratic revolution, new constellations of solidarity & identity, & the environmental crisis -- are not treated as master trends dictated by general evolutionary principles; rather, they are interpreted as unanticipated accumulations & precipitates of short-term adaptive strategies on the part of nations & groups of nations. Five adaptive phases since WWII are identified in their economic, political, military, & cultural aspects. 1 Photograph. Adapted from the source document.
In: Social research: an international quarterly, Band 37, S. 48-70
ISSN: 0037-783X
In: The review of politics, Band 34, Heft 4, S. 172
ISSN: 0034-6705
In: International social science journal: ISSJ, Band 22, Heft 4, S. 589-606
ISSN: 0020-8701
A study of the impact of change on environmental sci's, which distinguishes 3 main groups of theories: (a) theories of soc change developed in sociol; (b) theories of growth elaborated in econ's, & (c) models of Ur growth, developed in regional sci's, planning sci's, econ geography, etc. 2 major clusters of problems can be distinguished in the study of soc change: (1) factors & mechanisms of change, & (2) the nature of soc change. 2 basic & partly competing groups of theories in sociol try to explain soc change: the 1st tries to define the dominant factors of change, & the 2nd group analyzes the reciprocal relations of the various subsystems & elements of society. The general theory of soc change which has partly replaced evolutionist schemes deals mainly with 3 spheres of problems: determining the changing units; measuring changes; & discovering the direction of change. The latter 2 are underlined. The selective survey of models simulating the types & direction of soc change demonstrates that we are living in an era of parallel & partial theories of change which do not compete but complement each other in adequately modelling the changes in various parts of society. Methodological difficulties in working out complex analytical models of change have so far proved insurmountable & consequently sociol has to limit itself to partial theories. The best known among them are models of industr'ization & modernization, Ur'ization, demographic transition, & morphologic continuum. Econ growth models & the planning sci's are related. Then models of Ur growth are described: group (1) consists of models directly concerned with the growth of cities, group (2) consists of so-called explicative models, which try to explain the mechanisms of the distribution of dwellings & activities so as to yield an econ or soc continuum, group (3) is known as descriptive models, which try to describe some aspects of Ur growth by mathematical models, group (4) is stochastic models, which simulate decisions about transportation, housing, & location of amenities. It is stressed that more questions should be asked about the direction of change & the attempt made to distinguish necessary & functional changes from willful change. Perhaps the most valuable result of the study of theories of change is the growing understanding that elements of society change at a diff pace. In the planning sci's we therefore need a better knowledge of cities' capacities to absorb change. Intentional incompleteness of objects or Ur elements seems most promising. Experience has also shown that low-density Ur areas are more capable of change than high-density agrea. E. Weiman.
In: The bulletin of the atomic scientists: a magazine of science and public affairs, Band 17, S. 267-270
ISSN: 0096-3402, 0096-5243, 0742-3829