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Voter Turnout and Vote Choice
In: Guide to Political Campaigns in America, S. 127-139
Voter turnout and the size of government
This paper investigates the causal link between voter turnout and policy outcomes related to the size of government. Tax rate and public expenditures are the focal policy outcomes in this study. To capture the causal mechanism, Swedish and Finnish municipal data are used and a constitutional change in Sweden in 1970 is applied as an instrument for voter turnout in local elections. In 1970, Sweden moved from having separate election days for different levels of government, among other things, to a system with a single election day for political elections, thus reducing the cost associated with voting. This constitutional reform increased voter turnout in local elections in Sweden. The overall conclusion of this paper is that higher voter turnout yields higher municipal taxes and larger local public expenditures. Second, there is some evidence that higher turnout decreases the vote share for right-wing parties.
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Distributive Politics and Voter Turnout
In: Journal of elections, public opinion and parties, Band 22, Heft 2, S. 167-185
ISSN: 1745-7297
Voter Turnout and Political Rents
In: Aldashev , G 2015 , ' Voter Turnout and Political Rents ' , Journal of Public Economic Theory , vol. 17 , no. 4 , pp. 528-552 . https://doi.org/10.1111/jpet.12141
Is the decline in voter turnout an indicator of a worse health of a representative democracy? We build a simple probabilistic-voting model with endogenous turnout to address this question. We find that a lower turnout caused by a higher cost of voting implies higher political rents. Contrarily, a lower turnout caused by a higher ideological mobility of voters or by a lower expressive benefit of voting implies lower political rents. If voters have a civic-duty motive to vote that depends on the level of rents, multiple equilibria (a high-rents low-turnout and a low-rents high-turnout) arise.
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On the Representativeness of Voter Turnout
In: NBER Working Paper No. w26913
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Working paper
The personal vote and voter turnout
In: Electoral studies: an international journal, Band 29, Heft 4, S. 661-673
ISSN: 0261-3794
The personal vote and voter turnout
In: Electoral studies: an international journal on voting and electoral systems and strategy, Band 29, Heft 4, S. 661-672
ISSN: 1873-6890
Voter Turnout in Presidential Democracies
In: Comparative political studies: CPS, Band 42, Heft 10, S. 1317-1338
ISSN: 1552-3829
Numerous studies indicate that political institutions play an important role in explaining variation in voter turnout across countries. The nuances of institutions unique to presidential elections have been largely overlooked, however, despite the different incentives they offer for voters to participate in elections. This article examines the effect that four presidential institutions had on voter turnout in presidential elections between 1974 and 2004—the timing of elections (whether concurrent or nonconcurrent), the power of the presidency, presidential electoral rules (plurality or majority runoff), and reelection rules. To isolate the effect of presidential institutions, this study controls for other likely influences on turnout, including the economic environment and the wider political context. It finds that (a) runoff elections dampen turnout whereas incumbency spurs it and (b) more powerful presidencies and elections, when held concurrently with legislative elections, have little effect on voter participation.
The Heritability of Duty and Voter Turnout
In: Political psychology: journal of the International Society of Political Psychology, Band 33, Heft 3, S. 363-373
ISSN: 1467-9221
Exit Polls and Voter Turnout
We set up a model of elections or referendums with two alternatives to study how voter turnout and election outcomes are affected by the publication of exit polls on election day. We find that the introduction of an exit poll influences the incentive to vote both before and after the poll is published, but the signs of the effects are generally ambiguous. The fact that exit polls influence the incentive to vote before they are even published is sometimes overlooked in the debate on their desirability. We show that this can lead to premature conclusions about the impact of exit polls on election outcomes.
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Term limits and voter turnout
This paper studies the impact of term limits on voter turnout, using the recent introduction of term limits at the local government level in Portugal as a natural experiment. Although instrumental, expressive, and information-based theories of voter participation imply effects of term limits on turnout, this is clearly an under-researched topic. Applying a difference-in-differences approach to data at both the municipal and parish levels, we find strong evidence that the introduction of term limits increased voter participation. Our results contrast with previous findings for California and demonstrate that more re search on this topic is clearly necessary. ; Compete 2020, Portugal 2020, Feder, FCT ...
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Exit polls and voter turnout
In: Journal of Theoretical Politics, Band 26, Heft 1, S. 117-134
After the 2009 referendum on a proposed change to the Danish Law of Succession, it was widely claimed that the early publication of exit poll results changed the rate of turnout and eventually the outcome. We investigate this claim and contribute to the wider debate on the implications of exit polls by setting up and analyzing a formal model. We find that the introduction of an exit poll influences the incentive to vote both before and after the poll is published, but the signs of the effects are generally ambiguous. The observation that exit polls influence the incentive to vote even before they are published is often overlooked. We show that this can lead to premature conclusions about the impact of exit polls on electoral outcomes. In particular, in cases such as the Danish referendum where it clearly appears that exit polls changed the outcome, it could well be that the outcome would have been the same had there been no exit polls. [Reprinted by permission of Sage Publications Ltd., copyright holder.]
Income Inequality and Voter Turnout
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Working paper
Electoral Rules and Voter Turnout
In: Bank of Italy Temi di Discussione (Working Paper) No. 833
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Working paper