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Working paper
Dynamic Patterns of Human Rights Practices
In: Political science research and methods: PSRM, Band 2, Heft 1, S. 1-31
ISSN: 2049-8489
The science of human rights requires valid comparisons of repression levels across time and space. Though extensive data collection efforts have made such comparisons possible in principle, statistical measures based on simple additive scales made them rare in practice. This article uses a dynamic measurement model that contrasts with current approaches by (1) accounting for the fact that human rights indicators vary in the level of information they provide about the latent level of repression, (2) allowing realistic descriptions of measurement uncertainty in the form of credible intervals and (3) providing a theoretical motivation for modeling temporal dependence in human rights levels. It presents several techniques, which demonstrate that the dynamic ordinal item-response theory model outperforms its static counterpart.
Measuring Mutual Dependence between State Repressive Actions
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 58, Heft 6, S. 1003-1032
ISSN: 1552-8766
This study explores the relationships between state violations of different human rights. Though most quantitative studies in international relations treat different types of repressive behaviors as either independent or arising from the same underlying process, significant insights are gained by conceptualizing different human rights violations as separate but dependent processes. We present a theoretical framework for conceptualizing the mechanisms relating human rights practices and produce a novel measurement strategy based on network analysis for exploring these relationships. We illustrate high levels of complementarity between most human rights practices. Substitution effects, in contrast, are occasionally substantial but relatively rare. Finally, using empirically informed Monte Carlo analyses, we present predictions regarding likely sequences of rights violations resulting in extreme violations of different physical integrity rights.
Going the Distance: The Price of Projecting Power
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 39, Heft 2, S. 119-143
ISSN: 1547-7444
Going the distance: the price of projecting power
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 39, Heft 2, S. 119-143
ISSN: 0305-0629
The central purpose of this article is to establish the relationship. - between power projection, technology, and economic power.. - How economically powerful does a state need to be before it can. - afford the capital intensive technologies, foreign bases, and military. - and logistical forces associated with global power projection?. - The specific research question we focus on in this article is: What. - determines how far states send their military forces? We argue. - that as the costs associated with projecting power decrease or as. - the wealth necessary to project power increases, states will project. - power more frequently and at greater distances. We use a system. - level time series analysis from 1870-1936 and a dispute level analysis. - on all militarized international disputes from 1870-2000 to. - test these propositions. This article is the first to demonstrate empirically. - that the distance and frequency of power projection is a. - function of the cost of projecting power. We close with a discussion. - of contemporary states building power projection capabilities. - and how future research might build from our research to explain. - this behavior. (International Interactions (London)/ FUB)
World Affairs Online
Going the Distance: The Price of Projecting Power
In: International Interactions 39(2): 119-143.
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Working paper
A 61-Million-Person Experiment in Social Influence and Political Mobilization
In: Nature 489: 295-298 (13 September 2012)
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Quantifying Political Discussion from the Universe of Facebook Status Updates
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Working paper