Suchergebnisse

Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Dedication -- CONTENTS -- CHAPTER ONE 480 BC: Introduction—The First Political Risk Analysts: The Pythia of Delphi -- The Pythia as the World's First Political Risk Consultant -- The Pythia Masters the Persians -- The Merits of History -- A Potted History of the Modern Political Risk Business -- Hans Morgenthau, Realism, and Modern Geopolitical Risk -- Brian Wilson and Greek Attributes -- Back to the Past of the Pythia's Lair to Glean the Future of Geopolitical Risk Analysis -- CHAPTER TWO 31 AD: We Are the Risk -- The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire -- Edward Gibbon and How Political Risk Analysts Think -- The Rise of Sejanus and the Fall of the Roman Empire -- An Avoidable Tragedy in France and the Root Cause of Europe's Decline -- Europe's Ticking Demographic Time Bomb -- Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg and Germany's Distrust of Success -- The Sudden End of Europe's Sunny Way of Life -- The Political Naïveté of Lying about Europe's Gloomy Future -- Rome Dies from Within -- CHAPTER THREE 1192 AD: Gaming Out Lunatics -- The Assassins and the Old Man of the Mountain -- The Old Man of the Mountain Demonstrates What Power Actually Is -- Rashid ad-Din Sinan and the Benefits of Being Seen as Crazy -- The Elusive Madness of Charles Manson -- The Method of ISIS's Madness -- Sinan Bests Saladin -- Sinan Bests the Crusaders -- CHAPTER FOUR 1503 AD: Gaming Out Chess Players -- Machiavelli, Cesare Borgia, and Pope Julius II -- Machiavelli Attempts a Comeback -- Machiavelli Backs the Wrong Horse -- Cesare Borgia's Overrated Bond Villain Luster -- Washington and Hamilton as Chess Players -- Washington's Farewell Address as Geopolitical Strategy -- Julius Runs Rings around Borgia -- The Prince with Julius as Hero -- The Analytical Riches That Come from Spotting Chess Players

Discusses European Union initiatives for a European Security and Defense Policy and its potential effects on NATO, including US contributions. Compares to 1950s proposal for a European Defense Community; some focus on European role in the 1999 Kosovo conflict.

The Godfather Doctrine draws clear and essential lessons from perhaps the greatest Hollywood movie ever made to illustrate America's changing geopolitical place in the world and how our country can best meet the momentous strategic challenges it faces. In the movie The Godfather, Don Corleone, head of New York's most powerful organized-crime family, is shockingly gunned down in broad daylight, leaving his sons Sonny and Michael, along with his adopted son, consigliere Tom Hagen, to chart a new course for the family. In The Godfather Doctrine, John Hulsman and Wess Mitchell show how the aging and wounded don is emblematic of cold-war American power on the decline in a new world where our enemies play by unfamiliar rules, and how the don's heirs uncannily exemplify the three leading schools of American foreign policy today. Tom, the left-of-center liberal institutionalist, thinks the old rules still apply and that negotiation is the answer. Sonny is the Bush-era neocon who shoots first and asks questions later, proving an easy target for his enemies. Only Michael, the realist, has a sure feel for the changing scene, recognizing the need for flexible combinations of soft and hard power to keep the family strong and maintain its influence and security in a dangerous and rapidly changing world. Based on Hulsman and Mitchell's groundbreaking and widely debated article, "Pax Corleone," The Godfather Doctrine explains for everyone why Francis Ford Coppola's epic story about a Mafia dynasty holds key insights for ensuring America's survival in the twenty-first century