Suchergebnisse

"This book is the first scholarly book to take a comprehensive look at Germany's nuclear weapons policies in the 21st century. German foreign and security policy is facing a profound reorientation. Great power competition between the United States and both a revanchist Russia and a rising China, the return of war and nuclear threats to Europe, and the emergence of new technologies all force Germany to adapt. German policymakers and scholars increasingly speak of a pivotal Zeitenwende, an epochal turning point in history. How does Germany adapt its nuclear policies to these changing conditions? The volume brings together internationally renowned nuclear scholars and policy analysts from Germany and abroad. Focussing on German nuclear deterrence, arms control and disarmament as well as nonproliferation policies, the contributors assess how German leaders have navigated continuity and change, domestically and abroad. The volume concludes that Germany remains bound by dependence on the United States and its own conservatism. Within these parameters, German leaders have adapted slowly to change and continue to balance seemingly contradictory deterrence and disarmament goals. This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation, security studies, German politics and International Relations, as well as policymakers"--

This book is the first scholarly book to take a comprehensive look at Germany's nuclear weapons policies in the 21st century. German foreign and security policy is facing a profound reorientation. Great power competition between the United States and both a revanchist Russia and a rising China, the return of war and nuclear threats to Europe, and the emergence of new technologies all force Germany to adapt. German policymakers and scholars increasingly speak of a pivotal Zeitenwende, an epochal turning point in history. How does Germany adapt its nuclear policies to these changing conditions? The volume brings together internationally renowned nuclear scholars and policy analysts from Germany and abroad. Focussing on German nuclear deterrence, arms control and disarmament as well as nonproliferation policies, the contributors assess how German leaders have navigated continuity and change, domestically and abroad. The volume concludes that Germany remains bound by dependence on the United States and its own conservatism. Within these parameters, German leaders have adapted slowly to change and continue to balance seemingly contradictory deterrence and disarmament goals. This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation, security studies, German politics and International Relations, as well as policymakers.

Russlands Krieg gegen die Ukraine begann mit einer nuklearen Drohung Putins gegen den Westen. Es folgten weitere, teils noch deutlichere Drohungen des Kremls. Der Westen nimmt diese und die generelle Gefahr eines russischen Nuklearwaffeneinsatzes ernst und warnt vor den möglichen Konsequenzen; betont aber auch, dass es bisher keine konkreten Anzeichen für einen möglichen Einsatz gäbe. Warum kam es in Russlands Krieg gegen die Ukraine bisher nicht zum Einsatz nuklearer Waffen? Ausgehend von rationalistischen, normativen und kooperativ-formalisierten Theorien und Modellen zum Nichteinsatz beleuchtet dieser Forumsbeitrag die nukleare Praxis des Kriegs und vergleicht sie mit den in der Literatur zu findenden Erklärungen. Der Beitrag kommt zu dem Schluss, dass sich der bisherige Nichteinsatz nur teilweise mit den vorhandenen Theorien erklären lässt. Aus diesem Umstand und aus dem Fakt, dass der Krieg bereits eine Reihe neuer nuklearer Phänomene geschaffen hat, ergeben sich offene Fragen und blinde Flecken der Forschung, die eine weitere wissenschaftliche Befassung rechtfertigen.

AbstractThe politics of nuclear arms control between the United States and Russia are in a protracted state of crisis, which is in need of explanation. This article provides an overview of bilateral contractual milestones from 1972 to 2001 and analyzes instances of cooperation through the lens of three key factors that have influenced the process. It then considers the changes that these factors have undergone over twenty years of crisis in bilateral arms control from 2001 to 2021 and gauges the possible consequences of a continuation of the current situation. It concludes that during the first period, a shared willingness to shield the bilateral process from political disruption, U.S. bipartisan support, and cooperatively addressing the vertical diffusion of offensive and defensive missile capabilities were both possible and necessary for ensuring success. During the second period, these key factors underwent significant changes and ultimately had a negative effect on the bilateral process, which makes the current crisis unique compared to earlier episodes of regression. Most importantly, both sides were no longer willing to shield the bilateral process in its entirety during this period, including defensive and sub-strategic offensive elements. With a view to future consequences, these findings point to reduced arms race stability, weaker negotiated outcomes, and an erosion of the global nonproliferation regime.