Smart Sanctions: Targeting Economic Statecraft
In: Journal of peace research, Band 41, Heft 5, S. 639
ISSN: 0022-3433
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In: Journal of peace research, Band 41, Heft 5, S. 639
ISSN: 0022-3433
In: Journal of peace research, Band 42, Heft 6, S. 761-762
ISSN: 0022-3433
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 49, Heft 1, S. 59-85
ISSN: 1547-7444
This paper investigates the effects of U.S. economic sanctions on UN General Assembly voting patterns. Using panel data for 123 developing countries from 1990 to 2014, and employing an instrumental variables approach to account for potential endogeneity, we find that U.S.-imposed sanctions generally lead to a decline in voting coincidence between the U.S. and target countries when the sanctioned country receives low U.S. aid. However, in instances where the U.S. sanctions countries dependent on U.S. foreign aid, we find targets are increasingly more likely to vote with the U.S. This is because sanctions send a credible signal of the U.S.'s willingness to carry out punishment and cancel future aid to countries that publicly oppose it. Our research shows how sanctions alone tend to pull countries apart while, together with aid dependence, have the potential to bring countries in line with the U.S.'s position on issues, adding nuance to the sanctions literature.
World Affairs Online
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 49, Heft 1, S. 59-85
ISSN: 1547-7444
In: Social science quarterly, Band 102, Heft 6, S. 2776-2794
ISSN: 1540-6237
AbstractWhen states are targeted with sanctions, they may respond with alterations of their domestic economies meant to counter any negative effects of sanctions. In this article, we argue that these alterations tend to lead to increased state command of the economy and reduced economic freedom, as sanctions create opportunities and incentives that encourage target states and firms within them to pursue increased state control of the economy. These declines in economic freedom may come about through a number of causal mechanisms, several of which will be elaborated upon in this article. We use large‐N empirical analysis of all aspects of the Fraser Institute's Index of Economic Freedom and find that sanctions associate with reductions in most components of economic freedom.
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 46, Heft 4, S. 526-550
ISSN: 1547-7444
In: International area studies review: IASR, Band 19, Heft 4, S. 320-339
ISSN: 2049-1123
Previous work in political science has looked to dyadic, international, and domestic factors in senders and targets of sanctions for explanations of why they sometimes succeed and frequently fail. In this paper, we present a case study of the sanctions imposed by the Soviet Union over Lithuania's declaration of independence in 1990. We examine the dyadic, international, and domestic factors that influenced the outcome of the sanctions and connect them to existing theoretical and empirical work in the literature. While dyadic and international factors played important roles, we find the strongest evidence for the role of domestic political factors in the Soviet Union and Lithuania in determining the outcome of the dispute.
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 59, Heft 1, S. 46-58
ISSN: 1468-2478
In: Conflict management and peace science: CMPS ; journal of the Peace Science Society ; papers contributing to the scientific study of conflict and conflict analysis, Band 31, Heft 1, S. 70-93
ISSN: 0738-8942
World Affairs Online
In: Conflict management and peace science: the official journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 31, Heft 1, S. 70-93
ISSN: 1549-9219
Although the relationship between trade and the use and success of sanctions is frequently studied in international relations, researchers have generally failed to address the importance of foreign direct investment (FDI) on sanctions despite global capital markets dwarfing the exchange of goods and services. Using panel data for 171 countries from 1971 to 2000, we test the effect of FDI on the use and success of sanctions imposed by the USA. We find evidence that a high level of economic engagement in the form of US FDI as a percentage of the recipient county's gross domestic product reduces the likelihood of the use of US sanctions. We also find that, when sanctions are imposed, declining US FDI generally has a positive and significant effect on sanctions success. However, if non-US firms offset lost US FDI, the probability of sanctions success decreases. The results show that investors may have an important influence on foreign policy outcomes. [Reprinted by permission; copyright Sage Publications Ltd.]
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 58, Heft 4, S. 46-58
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
World Affairs Online
In: Conflict management and peace science: the official journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 31, Heft 1, S. 70-93
ISSN: 1549-9219
Although the relationship between trade and the use and success of sanctions is frequently studied in international relations, researchers have generally failed to address the importance of foreign direct investment (FDI) on sanctions despite global capital markets dwarfing the exchange of goods and services. Using panel data for 171 countries from 1971 to 2000, we test the effect of FDI on the use and success of sanctions imposed by the USA. We find evidence that a high level of economic engagement in the form of US FDI as a percentage of the recipient county's gross domestic product reduces the likelihood of the use of US sanctions. We also find that, when sanctions are imposed, declining US FDI generally has a positive and significant effect on sanctions success. However, if non-US firms offset lost US FDI, the probability of sanctions success decreases. The results show that investors may have an important influence on foreign policy outcomes.
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 57, Heft 1, S. 65-78
ISSN: 1468-2478
Complementing the effectiveness of US sanctions debate, the US government often prods US investors to disinvest from targeted countries, hoping to pressure sanctioned countries to back US foreign policy goals or face economic costs for their actions. Missing from the effectiveness of sanctions debate is the impact US sanctions have on third-party foreign direct investment (FDI). Using panel data for 171 countries from 1969 to 2000, we present the first empirical study on the effect of sanctions on global FDI. We find strong evidence that when US firms disinvest during US sanctions, global FDI significantly increases, providing the target country with a reliable source of capital replacement. The results suggest the limited effectiveness of sanctions for restricting capital flows to targeted countries and that US firms may ultimately bear the highest costs from US-imposed sanctions. Adapted from the source document.
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 57, Heft 1, S. 65-78
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 57, Heft 1, S. 65-78
ISSN: 1468-2478