Suchergebnisse

On a récemment tenté d'appliquer les techniques modernes de l'analyse sociale à la criminalité et aux criminels des siècles précédents. Cet article expose certains des problèmes démontrés par de telles approches. En particulier, il souligne les dangers de se fonder sur des interprétations insuffisamment critiques des dossiers; il insiste sur le besoin d'effectuer des recherches sur un vaste éventail de sources et de recours légaux, plutôt qu'uniquement sur les dossiers de cas criminels dans les principaux tribunaux royaux; et il préconise un certain scepticisme dans la lecture de l'appareil statistique quelquefois complexe, fondé sur des données éparses et inconsistantes.

SUMMARYThe method of Lévesque et al., designed for the prediction of the development of supply and demand of land, is in the main practical and correct, but it can only be used for the short term. For an insight of long‐term developments, which is of essential significance for the design of structural agricultural policies, the method is insufficient. The findings of economists should be added to it. An attempt can be made to establish, with the use of farm‐models, which farm‐types and farm‐sizes in a certain region will be desirable and necessary, taking economic, social and technological developments into account. Sociological and farm‐economics research together may be able to predict the supply and demand of land in the long term and to indicate the bottle‐necks in structural development.RÉSUMÉLa méthode que Lévesque a élaboré en vue d'une prévision de l'offre et de la demande de terres est, dans son ensemble, pratique et correcte, mais ne peut être utilisée que pour une prévision à court terme. Pour arriver à une compréhension du développement à long terme, qui est d'une importance primordiale pour la détermination des politiqucs de structures agricoles, la méthode est insuffisante. Les résultats obtenus par les économistes devraient y être incorporés. Une tentative peut être faite en utilisant des modèles d'exploitation, d'établir quel type et quelle dimension d'exploitation serait souhaitable et nécessaire dans une région donnée, en tenant compte des développements économiques, sociaux et technologiques. Les recherches conjuguées en économie et sociologie rurale peuvent permettre de prévoir l'offire et la demande de terres à long terme et d'indiquer les goulots d'étranglement du développement structural.ZUSAMMENFASSUNGDie Methode, die Lévesque und andere für die Voraussage der Entwicklung von Angebot und Nachfrage bei Land entwickelt haben, ist im ganzen anwendbar und fehlerfrei, aber nur für kurz‐fristige Entwicklungstendenzen. Für einen Einblick in die lang‐fristige Entwicklung, die für die Fesdegung der Agrarstrukturpolitik von wesentlicher Bedeutung ist, ist diese Methode unzureichend. Die Erkenntnisse der Ökonomen sollten dazu herangezogen werden. Man kann anhand von Betriebsmodellen versuchen festzustellen, welche Betriebstypen und Betriebsgrößen in bestimmten Regionen erwünscht und notwendig sind, und zwar unter Berücksichtigung der wirtschaftlichen, sozialen und technologischen Entwicklung. So‐ziologische und agrarökonomische Forschungsergebnisse zusammen ermöglichen eine langfristige Vorausschau von Angebot von und Nachfrage nach Land und machen die Engpässe in der strukturellen Entwicklung deutlich.

Are forming a legion and requests Partridge's advice on artillery maneuvers; a State Engineer is to be appointed and hopes Partridge will accept the position if offered.

BOTH THE GOVERNMENT NATIONAL SECURITY POLICY COMMUNITY AND THE ACADEMIC COMMUNITY ARE CONCERNED WITH PROBLEMS OF POLITICAL TERRORISM. A MAJOR GAP EXISTS, HOWEVER, BETWEEN THESE TWO COMMUNITIES IN TERMS OF COOPERATION AND INFORMATION FLOW. THIS GAP REFLECTS DIFFERENCES IN PRIMARY MISSION, ROLE DEFINITION, PROFESSIONAL TRAINING, AND CAREER CONSIDERATIONS. THIS ARTICLE DISCUSSES THE UNEASY RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE POLICY COMMUNITY AND THE ACADEMIC COMMUNITY.

DRAWING ON CASE MATERIAL FROM RECENT AND PAST HISTORY, THIS PAPER SYSTEMATICALLY EXAMINES THE EFFECTS OF LEADER DISABILITY ON POLITICAL DECISION-MAKING AND BEHAVIOR, GIVING SPECIAL ATTENTION TO THE COMPLEX RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE DISABLED LEADER AND HIS INNER CIRCLE. FOUR GROUPS OF FACTORS ARE EXAMINED: 1. FACTORS RELATED TO THE ILLNESS ITSELF, INCLUDING WHETHER THE ILLNESS IS PHYSICAL OR MENTAL, AND WHETHER THE DISABILITY IS TEMPORARY OR PRE-TERMINAL, TOTAL OR PARTIAL; 2. FACTORS RELATED TO THE LEADER AND HIS REACTION TO HIS ILLNESS, INCLUDING THE DEGREE TO WHICH THE LEADER DENIES OR ACKNOWLEDGES THE EXTENT OF HIS DISABILITY; 3. FACTORS RELATED TO THE NATURE OF THE POLITICAL SYSTEM INCLUDING WHETHER THE SOCIETY IS OPEN OR CLOSED, AND WHETHER THERE IS A CLEARLY DEFINED SUCCESSION PROCESS; AND 4. FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MEDICAL CARE OF THE VIP PATIENT, INCLUDING THE CONFLICT BETWEEN THE HEALTH NEEDS OF THE INDIVIDUAL AND THE POLITICAL NEEDS OF THE SYSTEM. IN A CLOSED SOCIETY, WITH A PARTIALLY DISABLED LEADER, THE LEADER AND HIS INNER CIRCLE CAN BECOME LOCKED IN A FATAL EMBRACE, EACH DEPENDENT UPON THE OTHER FOR SURVIVAL - THE SYNDROME OF THE CAPTIVE KING AND HIS CAPTIVE COURT.

Considers the requirement for health screening of presidential candidates. Surveys the experience the U.S. has had since 1931 with the health of candidates for the presidency, especially those who have been elected. The tripartite role of the president is stressed. (Original abstract-amended)

Abstract. This paper describes the examination of three practical tsunami run-up models that can be used to assess the tsunami impact on human beings in densely populated areas. The first of the examined models applies a uniform bottom roughness coefficient throughout the study area. The second uses a very detailed topographic data set that includes the building height information integrated on a Digital Elevation Model (DEM); and the third model utilizes different bottom roughness coefficients, depending on the type of land use and on the percentage of building occupancy on each grid cell. These models were compared with each other by taking the one with the most detailed topographic data (which is the second) as reference. The analysis was performed with the aim of identifying how specific features of high resolution topographic data can influence the tsunami run-up characteristics. Further, we promote a method to be used when very detailed topographic data is unavailable and discuss the related limitations. To this purpose we demonstrate that the effect of buildings on the tsunami flow can be well modeled by using an equivalent roughness coefficient if the topographic data has no information of building height. The results from the models have been utilized to quantify the tsunami impact by using the tsunami casualty algorithm. The models have been applied in Padang city, Indonesia, which is one of the areas with the highest potential of tsunami risk in the world.

International challenges in agricultural economics for the nineties will come from a redirection of the EC policy, stimulated by GATT negotiations, the opening towards Eastern Europe and environmental considerations, from a production oriented policy towards rural policy, aiming at protecting vulnerable regions, maintaining a rural population, curtailing production in the West and fostering it in the East, and aiming at the provision of environmentally desirable output.This book focusses on developments that are bound to dominate the discussion of agricultural economics and policy in t