Crisis analysis: Indicators and models
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 7, Heft 2, S. 123-163
ISSN: 1547-7444
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In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 7, Heft 2, S. 123-163
ISSN: 1547-7444
In: International interactions: empirical and theoretical research in international relations, Band 7, Heft 2, S. 123-163
ISSN: 0305-0629
World Affairs Online
In: Journal of risk research: the official journal of the Society for Risk Analysis Europe and the Society for Risk Analysis Japan, Band 10, Heft 7, S. 925-940
ISSN: 1466-4461
In: International economics and economic policy, Band 7, Heft 1, S. 3-48
ISSN: 1612-4812
In: Vestnik Instituta vostokovedenija RAN: Journal of the Institute of Oriental Studies RAS, Heft 2 (24), S. 37-53
The article analyzes the consequences for China of the forceful reunification of Taiwan and to assess the acceptability of these consequences for Beijing authorities. The choice to conquer or not to conquer Taiwan is discussed from the perspective of the Bargaining Model of War that based on an assessment of the benefits costs ratio. The evaluation of the decision cost definitely depends on the perception of the rival's actions and other external and internal variables. Each side evaluates more optimistic its own benefit-cost ratio and tries to shift the other side coast of war perception in order to change the decision to fight. The author comes to the conclusion that, on the one hand, the benefits-costs ratio is not favorable for Chinese authorities and they are not going to occupy Taiwan in current moment. But, on the other hand, China uses the threat to Taiwan as a lever in bargaining or deterring the United States. Also, the threat is used by Beijing for a pessimistic impact to the benefits-costs assessment in the event of Taiwan's refusal to reunite and follow «Consensus 1992».
In: European politics and society, Band 18, Heft 3, S. 291-300
ISSN: 2374-5126
In: NBER Working Paper No. w14821
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Working paper
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In: Studia Universitatis Babeş-Bolyai. Studia Europaea, Band 64, Heft 2, S. 261-278
ISSN: 2065-9563
In: Central Asia and the Caucasus: journal of social and political studies, Heft 4-5/58-59, S. 130-139
ISSN: 1404-6091
World Affairs Online
In: Journal of international studies, Band 12, Heft 2, S. 22-45
ISSN: 2306-3483
In: Review of Middle East Economics and Finance, Band 8, Heft 3, S. 1-19
ISSN: 1475-3685
In: Journal of urban affairs, Band 39, Heft 4, S. 563-580
ISSN: 1467-9906
In: HELIYON-D-22-18088
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