Duomenų analizė mokytojų poreikiui Lietuvoje nustatyti ; Data analysis for the demand of the teachers in Lithuania
The thesis examines the distribution of human resources in educational institutions of Lithuania municipals. With assessment of teachers workload and considering the demographic processes in regions of the country (children's birth rate, the number of students in classrooms, teachers' age) it is projected demand for teachers in the municipalities of the country from 2017 to 2028. The thesis uses data from the register of teachers, Department of statistics and Educational Center of Information Technologies databases. The moving average model were used for processing the data, assessed the real and notional number of teachers, defined and calculated the current and expected size of medium wage and teachers employment rate. In analysis of the forecast the data were interpreted in the context of local government, took account to the existing laws of education in Lithuania, education programs and the expected reform of teacher training. The study aims to find out what importance of demographic processes, change in the number of students, the number of teachers held in different municipalities of the country has to the demand for teachers. It is predicted that in the country's major cities (Vilnius, Klaipėda, Kaunas) the number of students will grow so in the near future will face a shortage of chemistry, physics, english, russian, Lithuanian language teachers. Because of the rapid decline in the number of students, teacher's workload will decrease in the municipalities of Biržai, Pakruojis, and Kupiškis.