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World Affairs Online
Contemporary security challenges in Mexico: Connection between the state and drug cartels
Crime and violence pose a serious challenge to Mexico. The problem appears to be growing worse, with 2011 on pace to become the most violent year on record. The rising violence in Mexico has resulted in a sharply heightened sense of fear among citizens, who now feel the presence of cartels in their every day lives. The use of extortion and kidnapping by cartels combined with a lack of trust in security forces terrorizes the population and makes them feel like they have no where to turn. Despite this fact, crime rates in Mexico remain lower than in other parts of Latin America. Venezuela, for example, has among the highest homicide rates in the world. Yet the pervasive infiltration of cartels into public life gives Mexicans a heightened sense of the severity of violent crime in their own country. Although accurate statistics are hard to come by, it is quite possible that 60,000 people have died in the last six-plus years as a result of armed conflict between the Mexican cartels and the Mexican government, amongst cartels fighting each other, and as a result of cartels targeting citizens. Mexico has been struggling with drug production and drug transit through its territory from South America to the U.S. for many decades, given the fact that it is the most important transit country for drug production originating from South America. In recent years, the escalating violence in Mexico has led to dramatic deterioration of the security situation. Recent wave of drug-war violence is associated with the beginning of the term of President Felipe Calderón in December 2006. The immediate implications of his assumption of the presidency and his hard-line policy, which he has applied against drug cartels and organized criminal groups across the country, were the deployment of Mexican army to fight cartels and the gradual weakening of the influence of local and state police at the expense of federal troops. This was done in order to combat corruption and collaboration of local law-enforcement institutions with drug trafficking organizations (DTOs). The consequence of such a policy, however, has been increased violence among rival cartels and between them and the federal police and military, resulting in a dramatic increase of the number of victims. The future of US-Mexican counter drug cooperation, as well as of the whole bilateral relation in the area of security, depends on the outcome of US presidential elections. As for Mexico, Enrique Peña Nieto takes the office on December 1, 2012 that will mark a comeback of his party PRI after 12 years in opposition. As far as the security strategy of the future Mexican President is concerned, there are no significant changes to be expected. Peña Nieto seems to be aware of the current situation and its consequences as well as of the inevitability of an extremely close and dynamic mutual cooperation with the US.
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World Affairs Online
Promjene u prostornom razmještaju stanovništva Crne Gore u toku druge polovine 20. i prve decenije 21. vijeka
In: Poseba izdanja (monografije i studije) knjiga 109
In: Odjeljenje društvenih nauka knjiga 31
SEKJURITIZACIJA KAO ALTERNATIVNI NAČIN UPRAVLJANJA RIZIKOM KATASTROFALNIH DOGAĐAJA ; SECURITIZATION AS AN ALTERNATIVE WAY OF MANAGING THE RISK OF CATASTROPHIC EVENTS
Katastrofalni događaji prouzrokovani prirodnim nepogodama i lјudskim delovanjem predstavlјaju jedinstven izazov za osiguravače, jer otežavaju procenu očekivanih odštetnih zahteva te mogu izazvati poremećaj na tržištu osiguranja i nametnuti značajne troškove za vladu, privredu i pojedince. Nestašica dostupnog pokrića ovih rizika na tržištu, usled nesposobnosti ili nespremnosti osiguravača da osiguraju katastrofalne događaje, može značajno ometati ekonomski oporavak i razvoj zemlјe. Iz tog razloga osiguravači su potražili alternativne načine upravlјanja rizikom ovih ekstremnih gubitaka, a jedan od njih, transfer rizika osiguranja na finansijska tržišta, predstavlјa predmet ovog rada. Cilј ovog rada je da prikaže prednosti i nedostatke instrumenata putem kojih se vrši transfer rizika osiguranja na finansijska tržišta, kao i da ukaže na zakonske i druge pretpostavke koje su neophodne za funkcionisanje i razvoj ovog tržišta. ; Catastrophic events caused by natural disasters and human activities pose a unique challenge for insurers, because they make it difficult to estimate expected claims and can cause disruption to the insurance market and impose significant costs on government, businesses and individuals. The lack of available coverage of these risks in the market, due to the insolvency or unwillingness of insurers to ensure catastrophic events, can significantly impede the economic recovery and development of the country. For this reason insurers have sought alternative ways of covering these extreme losses, and one of them, a transfer of the risk of insurance to the capital markets represents the main subject of this research. The aim of this maneuver is to present the advantages and disadvantages of the instruments through which the transfer of insurance risk to financial markets is carried out, as well as to indicate the legal and other assumptions necessary for the functioning and development of this market.
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Ephemeral spectacles during the second rule of princes Miloš and Mihajlo Obrenović ; Efemerni spektakl za vreme vladavine kneza Miloša i Mihajla Obrenovića
In the course of the second rule of Princes Miloš and Mihajlo Obrenović, i.e. during 1870-ies, ephemeral ceremonies as an artificial ritual of political propaganda underwent considerable development. Leading artistic man-power, primarily Đura Jakšić and Steva Todorović, weree engaged in their realization. Thus, Jakšić wrote a number of long panegyrics, abandoning the traditional manner of court adulation and introducing a romantic dynastic mythology of the Obrenović's, primarily associated with the Takovo riot. Todorović and his coworkers designed the ephemeral architectural scenery and pictures from the vast dynastic mythology, relying upon poetry by their literary argumentation. Known through rare sketches and numerous descriptions in daily press of the time, this simple art of ephemeral festivities had persisted to be built upon the same ideas until the beginning of the 20th century, when the exchange of dynasties entailed the introduction of different mechanisms of court propaganda and different consideration of the »utilifas picturae«. ; Za vreme druge vladavine kneza Miloša i Mihajla Obrenovića, tokom sedme decenije XIX veka, dolazi do snažnog razvitka efemernih svečanosti kao aritificiranog rituala političke propagande. U njihovom ostvarivanju se angažuju vodeće umetničke snage, pre svih Bura Jakšić i Steva Todorović. Jakšić piše brojne panegiričke poeme, kojima napušta tradicionalni manir dvorske laske i ustrojava romantičarsku mitologiju Obrenovića, primarno vezan za Takovski ustanak. Todorović, sa svojim pomoćnicima, radi nacrte za efemerne arhitektonske kulise i slika brojne dinastičke mitologije, koje se literarnom argumentacijom oslanjaju na poeziju. Poznata preko retkih skica i brojnih opisa u dnevnoj štampi, ova jednodnevna umetnost prolaznih svečanosti biće građena na istim idejnim osnovama sve do početka XX veka, kada smenom dinastija dolazi do isticanja drugačijih mehanizama dvorske propagande i drugačijeg shvatanja o utilitas picturae.
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PUBLIC DEBT AND THE CENTRAL BANK IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE CURRENCY BOARD ; JAVNI DUG I CENTRALNA BANKA U USLOVIMA VALUTNOG ODBORA
The subject and purpose of the research in this paper is based on the analysis of the influence of the central bank on public debt in the conditions of the currency board in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The structure of the work was set up through a dynamic analysis of the ratio of public debt variables, the supply of money, the state of the budget of the governments of Bosnia and Herzegovina, the current account and the nominal exchange rate. The research covers the period from 2000 to 2016. The research methodology is based on the use of empirical data and the application of the vector autoregresion model (VAR). On the basis of an analysis of the function of impulse and response, it is possible to indicate the reactions of the variable variables with one another. On the other hand, the decomposition of variance through the model proves the mutual variability and interaction of the variables for the observed period of research. The practical implications of the work are reflected in the answer to the extent to which monetary authorities, in the conditions of the currency board, due to the endogenous supply of money, contribute to the creation of a budget deficit and public debt. ; Predmet i cilj istraživanja u ovom radu bazira se na analizi uticaja centralne banke najavni dug u uslovima valutnog odbora u Bosni i Hercegovini. Konstrukcija rada je postavljena kroz dinamičku analizu odnosa varijabli javnog duga, ponude novca, stanja budžeta vlada Bosne i Hercegovine, tekućeg računa i nominalnog deviznog kursa. Istraživanje pokriva period od 2000. do 2016. godine. Metodologija istraživanja bazira se na upotrebi empirijskih podataka i primjeni vektorskog autoregresionog modela (VAR). Na bazi analize funkcije impulsa i odgovora moguće je ukazati na reakcije promjenjljivih varijabli međusobno, sa jedne strane. Sa druge strane, dekompozicijom varijanse kroz model dokazuje se međusobna varijabilnost i međusobni uticaj varijabli za posmatrani period istraživanja. Praktične implikacije rada ogledaju se kroz odgovor koliko monetarne vlasti u uslovima valutnog odbora, usljed endogene ponude novca, doprinose stvaranju budžetskog deficita i javnom zaduženju.
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Koncepcije složenosti kao faktor odlučivanja o posebnim bezbednosnim zadacima ; Complexity concepts as factor in decision-making about special security tasks
Jedno od osnovnih svojstava posebnih bezbednosnih problema, ali i zadataka kojima se oni rešavaju predstavlja složenost. U zavisnosti od osnovih obeležja složenosti posebnih bezbednosnih problema i zadataka, kao odgovora na njih, primenjuju se odgovarajuće koncepcije složenosti. Radi se o logičkoj, teoretsko-informacionoj, algoritamskoj, teoretsko-množinskoj i statističkoj koncepciji. U zavisnosti od primenjene koncepcije složenosti varira struktura procesa odlučivanja o načinu angažovanja snaga određenih za rešavanje konkretnog posebnog bezbednosnog problema, kao i ishodi tog procesa. S tim u vezi, postavlja se pitanje posledica izbora odredjenje koncepcije složenosti na proces i ishod odlučivanja u uslovima rešavanja posebnih bezbednosnih problema. Značaj odgovora na ovo pitanje je u pravilnom shvatanju koncepcija složenosti i njihovog uticaja na odlučivanje povodom rešavanja posebnih bezbednosnih problema. Odgovorom na ta pitanja olakšaće se edukacija u oblasti bezbednosnog menadžmenta s jedne strane i primena stečenih znanja u toj oblasti, s druge strane. ; One of the basic characteristics of special security problems, as well as the tasks with which they are solved is their complexity. Depending on the basic characteristics of the complexity of special security problems and tasks, as responses to them, adequate complexity concepts are implemented. This refers to logical,theoretical-information, algorithm, theoretically multiple and statistical concept. Depending on the implemented complexity concept, the structure of the decision-making process varies regarding the method of engaging the forces determined for the solving of concrete special security problem, as well as the outcomes of this process. Thus, there is the question about the consequences of the selection of certain complexity concepts for the process and outcome of decision-making in the conditions of solving special security problems. The significance of the answer to this question is in proper understanding of the concepts of complexity and their influence on the decision-making regarding solving of special security problems. The answer to this question will facilitate the education in the field of security management on the one hand and implementation of the acquired knowledge in this field, on the other hand. ; Book of papers / 4th International Conference "Crisis management days", 25 - 26 May 2011, Velika Gorica, Croatia
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'Post-cold war' changes in security and strategic concepts of the Russian Federation
In the last twenty years the world has undergone serious changes, unfortunately not in positive direction. The collapse of the bipolar system and the establishment of one bloc hegemony - NATO headed by the USA, has not only failed to establish more stable and secure international relations, but, on the contrary, it has corresponded with the greatest insecurity and uncertainty of the mankind ever since World War II till the present day. After the 'counter-balance' disappeared, there has been open political, economic, even direct military, interference by the Alliance states in the sovereignty of many countries. Consequently, the world's conflicting potential has largely increased. Apart from the threats present from earlier, the contemporary world is faced with a series of new, formerly unknown or marginal, ones. The most notable among them are: uncontrolled escalation of armed conflicts; international terrorism; proliferation of nuclear and other weapons of mass destruction; expansion of drugs trafficking; illegal cross-border migrations; human trafficking and trafficking in human organs; piracy; criminalization of different areas of living; etc. The economic and financial crises have additionally warned the world of the limitedness of natural resources and, in the most serious form, posed the issue of the fight for preservation, or conquest of areas rich in raw minerals. Apart from the current courses of action in the fight for control over the natural resources, both new methods of action and new areas of contest are emerging (Arctic, Antarctic .; above and under the Earth's surface; on the sea, and under the sea bottom), over which the interests of great powers will be increasingly conflicting. Michael Klare, the author of well-known books 'Blood and Oil' and 'Resource Wars', convincingly evokes a growing hunger for resources by the picturesque title of his latest book 'Race for What's Left: Global Scramble for the World's Last Resources'. For success in this new competition in strength and skills, new strategic concepts are required. Some have already been created and preliminarily tested; others are being prepared for implementation and corrected 'on the go' based on the performance of already proved solutions; still others are being hurriedly shaped. Understandably, along with this, what actual and potential rivals do related to this, or what their activities suggest, is watched closely.
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Specifičnosti radnopravnog položaja lokalnih službenika ; The specifics of the employment status of local officials
Apstrakt: Predmet istraživanja doktorske disertacije "Specifičnosti radnopravnog položaja lokalnih službenika" odnosi se na analizu specifičnih elemenata radnopravnog položaja lokalnih službenika u odnosu na državne i ostale javne službenike ali i lica koja se nalaze u opštem režimu radnih odnosa. Lokalni službenici obavljaju poslove od značaja za uspešno funkcionisanje decentralizovanih teritorijalnih jedinica i ostvarivanje prava i obaveza građana, koji u njima žive. Posredno su od značaja i za uspešno funkcionisanje države u okviru koje se nalaze decentralizovane teritorijalne jedinice u kojima lokalni službenici obavljaju poslove iz svoje nadležnosti. Njihov radnopravni položaj karakterišu upravnopravni i radnopravni element. Komparativno posmatrano njihov položaj je uređen na različite načine, pri čemu se daju zapaziti određena zajednička rešenja, posebno među državama bivše Jugoslavije, uprkos istorijskim, političkim, ekonomskim i društvenim razlikama. U Republici Srbiji njihov status i položaj menjao se kroz istoriju. Trenutno je uređen posebnim zakonom na osnovu koga su doneti i brojni podzakonski akti, koji čine okosnicu lokalnog službeničkog sistema. Poseduju određene specifičnosti u odnosu na zaposlene u opštem režimu radnih odnosa, državne i druge javne službenike. ; Abstract: The subject of the research of the doctoral dissertation "The specifics of the employment status of local officials" refers to the analysis of specific elements of the employment status of local employees in relation to state and other public servants, as well as persons who are in the general regime of labour relations. Local officials perform tasks that are important for the successful functioning of decentralized territorial units and for the accomplish of the rights and obligations of the citizens who live in them. Indirectly, they are also of importance for the successful functioning of the state within which there are decentralized territorial units in which local officials perform tasks within their jurisdiction. Their employment status is characterized by an administrative and labour element. Comparatively speaking, their position has been regulated in different ways, with certain common solutions being noted, especially among the countries of the former Yugoslavia, despite historical, political, economic and social differences. In the Republic of Serbia, their status and position has changed throughout history. It is currently governed by a separate law, based on which numerous by-laws have been passed, which form the backbone of the local civil service system. They have certain specificities in relation to employees in the general mode of labour relations, state and other public servants.
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LEGAL AND ACCOUNTING ASPECTS OF THE UTILITY ACTIVITIES IN THE REPUBLIC OF SRPSKA ; PRAVNI I RAČUNOVODSTVENI APSEKTI KOMUNALNE DJELATNOSTI U REPUBLICI SRPSKOJ
According to actual legislation, the performing of communal activities in the Republic of Srpska is mainly entrusted with public utility companies founded and managed by local governments (municipalities and cities), as well as their majority owners. Municipalities and cities have a legal obligation to prescribe the conditions and manner of performing utility activities, material, technical and other conditions for the financing, development, the construction and maintenance of utility infrastructure, the conditions for the functioning of the technical and technological unity of utility systems and devices and others. One of the constant problems in the present management, financing, and monitoring and reporting on the real effects of the management of public utility infrastructure refers to the fact that it is a property that is owned (usually in the business balance) of local governments, but which is often included in the business balance of public utilities companies, such corporations, which managing these assets realize their regular business income. Different approaches to the legal treatment of utility infrastructure and its different models accounting for, among other things, significantly affecting the quality of information on financial position and performance of public utilities companies, and through it to relation managers and owners acording to its maintenance and renewal. The actual ballast of many years of unresolved dilemmas in this area in the final bears citizens, who are have the right to use public services of appropriate quality and under acceptable economic conditions. ; Prema važećim zakonskim propisima, obavlјanje komunalnih djelatnosti u Republici Srpskoj uglavnom je povjereno javnim komunalnim preduzećima koja osnivaju i kojima upravlјaju jedinice lokalne samouprave (opštine i gradovi), kao njihovi većinski vlasnici. Opštine i gradovi imaju zakonsku obavezu da propišu uslove i način obavlјanja komunalnih djelatnosti, materijalne, tehničke i druge uslove za finansiranje, razvoj, igradnju i održavanje komunalne infrastrukture, uslove za funkcionisanje i tehničko-tehnološko jedinstvo komunalnih sistema i uređaja i dr. Jedan od konstantno prisutnih problema u upravlјanju, finansiranju, kao i praćenju i izvještavanju o stvarnim efektima upravlјanja javnom komunalnom infrastrukturom odnosi se na činjenicu da se radi o imovini koja se nalazi u vlasništvu (obično i u bilansima) jedinica lokalne samouprave, ali koja je nerijetko uklјučena i u poslovne bilanse javnih komunalnih preduzeća, kao korporatizovanih društava kapitala, koja gazdujući tom imovinom ostvaruju svoje redovne poslovne prihode. Različitim pristupima pravnom tretmanu komunalne infrastrukture i različitim modelima njenog računovodstvenog obuhvata, pored ostalog, značajno se utiče na kvalitet informacija o finansijskom položaju i uspješnosti javnih komunalnih preduzeća, a kroz to i na odnos upravlјača prema njenom održavanju i obnavlјanju. Stvarni teret dugo godina nerazriješenih dilema u predmetnoj oblasti u konačnom snose građani, koji imaju pravo na korišćenje javnih usluga odgovarajućeg kvaliteta i pod za njih pristupačnim ekonomskim uslovima.
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