A class of nearly long-memory time series models
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 18, Heft 2, S. 265-281
ISSN: 0169-2070
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In: International journal of forecasting, Band 18, Heft 2, S. 265-281
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Proceedings of the Estonian Academy of Sciences. Physics, mathematics, Band 56, Heft 2, S. 146
In: Group & organization management: an international journal, Band 37, Heft 1, S. 5-35
ISSN: 1552-3993
This article extends transactive memory (TM) theory as it is currently conceptualized. We propose a new integrative model of the relationship between transactive memory system (TMS) development and trust. By using the TM encoding cycle, the model proposes that trust acts as an antecedent of TMSs and that wider perceptions of team members' trustworthiness (benevolence and integrity) also affect the development and maintenance of effective TMSs in teams. Our conceptualization considers the effect of trust on both the knowledge structure and the transactive processes involved in TMSs. From our analysis, we provide a number of propositions and hypotheses relating to different stages of TMS development to be pursued by future research. Finally, we consider the managerial implications of our model.
In: Materials and design, Band 225, S. 111563
ISSN: 1873-4197
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In: 23-139
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In: McQuaid , S D 2017 , ' Parading memory and re-member-ing conflict : Collective memory in transition in Northern Ireland ' , International Journal of Politics, Culture, and Society , vol. 30 , no. 1 , pp. 23-41 . https://doi.org/10.1007/s10767-015-9210-6
In Northern Ireland, parades have long been important carriers of politico-cultural identities and collective memories, as well as arenas of struggle and conflict. Taking as its starting point that these contests over meaning are always framed by their contexts of articulation both in temporal and spatial terms, this article examines the role of parades in the current 'post-conflict' phase of the peace process as it plays out in a particular location, namely North Belfast. Using theories of cultural and collective memory and examples from republican and loyalist parades in North Belfast, it is argued that there is fear of memory and identity collapse in particular communities on the margins of the peace process, leading to a conscious doubling of efforts to (re)articulate the hidden recesses of memory in the current transition. In this, the patterns of 'competitive commemoration' in parades should be understood both horizontally: as majority memory traditions move to minority memory positions, and vertically: in relation to the increasing dissonance between vernacular practices of conflict and the official post-conflict discourses in Northern Ireland. Central to these arguments is the recognition that parading traditions are at once presentist, competitive instruments and also emotional and embodied practices to ensure the continuity of identity. It follows that both dimensions must be recognised together, if cognitive and visceral templates of conflict are to be explained and shifted. This article applies a wide-angle memory studies lens to capture the two together and explore the changing parade-scape.
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When applying the statistical theory of long range dependent (LRD) processes to economics, the strong complexity of macroeconomic and financial variables, compared to standard LRD processes, becomes apparent. In order to get a better understanding of the behaviour of some economic variables, the book assembles three different strands of long memory analysis: statistical literature on the properties of, and tests for, LRD processes, mathematical literature on the stochastic processes involved, models from economic theory providing plausible micro foundations for the occurence of long memory in economics. Each chapter of the book will give a comprehensive survey of the state of the art and the directions that future developments are likely to take. Taken as a whole the book provides an overview of LRD processes which is accessible to economists, econometricians and statisticians.
In: Electoral Studies, Band 27, Heft 3, S. 424-441
This paper analyses the properties of a computational model of multi-party competition in two policy dimensions. We find that, firstly, centrifugal incentives prevent rational parties from moving to the mean of voters' preference distributions. Secondly, the number of parties competing for votes and the inclination to abstain from voting are positively related to parties' optimum distance to the political centre. Thirdly, the number of parties in the political arena also increases both the distance between parties' location in the policy space and the volatility of their platforms. Finally, the more voters rely on past observations of partisan positioning behaviour in order to assess the credibility of parties, the more the distance between partisan platforms increases. At the same time, platform volatility declines. [Copyright 2008 Elsevier Ltd.]
In: Routledge/Cañada Blanch studies on contemporary Spain 18
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In: International journal of forecasting, Band 18, Heft 2, S. 167-179
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Electoral Studies, Band 27, Heft 3, S. 424-441
In: International journal of politics, culture and society, Band 27, Heft 1, S. 67-91
ISSN: 1573-3416
Collective memory of an intractable conflict is an important determinant of the psychological and the behavioral dynamics of the parties involved. Typically biased, it de-legitimizes the rival and glorifies the in-group, thereby inhibiting peaceful resolution of the conflict and reconciliation of the parties. Therefore, the transformation of this memory into a less biased one is of great importance in advancing peace and reconciliation. This article introduces for the first time a tentative model of that transformation, describing the seven phases of the transformation process and the five categories of factors that influence it. Methodologically, this is done using a case study approach, based on the empirical findings regarding the Israeli official memory from 1949 to 2004 surrounding the causes of the 1948 Palestinian exodus. This memory is represented by all of the publications produced during the 56-year research period of the Israeli army (IDF), the National Information Center, and the Ministry of Education. While until 1999 this inclusive memory was largely Zionist (i.e., all the Palestinian refugees left willingly in 1948), since 2000, it has become partially critical because the Ministry of Education has begun adopting the critical narrative (i.e., some left willingly while others were expelled). Adapted from the source document.
In: Systems research and behavioral science: the official journal of the International Federation for Systems Research, Band 31, Heft 4, S. 537-553
ISSN: 1099-1743
People memory system plays a key role in the decision‐making process (DMP). In order to examine its influence on decision‐making, an individual's memory‐based decision‐making system is developed, and then, we integrate the multi‐agent decision systems and construct a sequential risky decision model on the basis of an informational cascade. This study aims at exploring the public's decisions on whether or not to take protective actions under risk. The findings indicate that people with different strength of ties to friends and relatives make huge differences on decision‐making. In the group with weak ties, the agent's total size of decision information and the level of risk perception are reducing in the sequential decision process. We further prove that people with weak ties are more prone to take no protective action, and the probability is also decreasing with the decision turn. The sequence of people with strong ties makes decisions dynamically with the intensity of released information. Finally, the influences of forgetting rate and memory capacity on people's decision‐making are examined. The model provides a new line of thought about building a multi‐agent system of DMP, which is also very helpful for the design of an information management system during emergencies. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.