Suchergebnisse

Shi Hui. ; Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2006. ; Includes bibliographical references (leaves 31-34). ; Abstracts in English and Chinese. ; Contents ; Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 ; Chapter 2 --- Literature Review --- p.4 ; Chapter 3 --- Theoretical Model and Predictions --- p.7 ; Chapter 4 --- Hypotheses Development ; Chapter 5 --- Research Methodology ; Chapter 5.1 --- Data --- p.15 ; Chapter 5.2 --- Variables --- p.16 ; Chapter 5.3 --- Regression Models --- p.18 ; Chapter 6 --- Empirical Results --- p.21 ; Chapter 6.1 --- Individual Housework Time ; Chapter 6.2 --- Housework Allocation Within a Family ; Chapter 7 --- Conclusion --- p.27 ; References --- p.31 ; Tables --- p.35

Preliminary Material -- Chapter One Demographic Changes During the Period of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan and Predictions for Population Development /Ying Hu , Fang Cai and Yang Du -- Chapter Two Low Fertility and Related Theoretical Issues in China /Zhigang Guo -- Chapter Three How China Tackled the Global Financial Crisis /Fang Cai , Yang Du and Meiyan Wang -- Chapter Four Public Investment and Employment: An Empirical Analysis /Jie Cheng and Dewen Wang -- Chapter Five Growing Pains: What Employment Dilemma Does China Face at Its Lewis Turning Point? /Fang Cai -- Chapter Six The Impact of the Financial Crisis on Employment in Small and Medium Enterprises /Yaowu Wu and Yang Du -- Chapter Seven Changes in Industrial Location and Labor Flows in China /Fang Cai , Meiyan Wang and Yue Qu -- Chapter Eight Population, Industrial Development, and Employment in Chinese Urbanization /Yang Du and Meiyan Wang -- Chapter Nine Has Labor Migration Really Not Narrowed the Rural-Urban Income Gap? /Fang Cai and Meiyan Wang -- Chapter Ten Emission Reduction Compatible with Economic and Employment Growth /Fang Cai , Yang Du and Meiyan Wang -- Chapter Eleven The New Elements of China's Labor Market in the Post-Financial-Crisis Era /Fang Cai and Meiyan Wang -- Chapter Twelve Reform of the Hukou System and Unification of Rural-Urban Social Welfare /Fang Cai -- Index.

"In 2016, economic globalization suffered a severe crisis after over half a century of smooth development, and deglobalization was running mountains high. Not only did it trigger domestic political discord in major countries like the United States, Britain, France and Germany, but also led to international economic and political disputes among Western countries, intensifying strategic competition between major powers. With the arrival of 2017, through the perilous waves of deglobalization and the consequent international political upheavals, we find that the post Cold War era that we were familiarized with, is coming to a rapid end, ushering in a new international political era, full of uncertainties. This annual book presents Chinese scholars' views, opinions and predictions on global political and security issues, as well as China's strategic choice. It covers a wide range of important issues concerning international security, ranging from the assessment of Sino-US relations, Russian-American relations, the counter terrorism situation in the Middle East, the political situation in Taiwan and cross-Strait relations, Brexit and the refugee problem, and the strategic situation in the South China Sea, to the judgment of the strategic posture in countries and regions like Japan, the Korean Peninsula, Southeast Asia, Latin America and Africa. Also covered are the analysis of the strategic posture in cyber space, outer space (as well as their governance), and discussion on China's international strategic choice in the wave of deglobalization."--

在数据分析的基础上,本文检验了两个理论假设--"政治资本假设与"冲突性偏差假设,以分析国家主导的市场化进程对共产党员收入优势的影响。主流观点认为,在中国,党员身份代表了一种政治资本,因而在经济转型期,共产党员收入优势的变化就相应地反映了市场化进程中政治资本收益(或党员身份政治资本含量)的变化,即关于党员身份的"政治资本假设。而"冲突性偏差假设则考虑了市场化进程中,政治资本和人力资本对个体的职业流动和收入回报的双向影响,以及这种双向影响在回归分析中造成的偏误。通过运用 Pearl(2000)有关冲突性偏差( collider bias,选择偏差的一种)的分析结论,笔者推断,在市场化进程中,控制"单位体制类型和"干部位置会导致党员身份和个人收入之间出现虚假的负偏差,因此,即使党员身份带来的政治资本收益不变,"党员身份对"个人收入的回归系数(控制"单位体制类型和"干部位置后)也会因为选择偏差的上升而呈现出下降甚至转变为负的趋势。如若"党员身份对"个人收入的回归系数在控制"单位体制类型和"干部位置后变为零,反而证明"党员身份对"个人收入仍存在积极的直接效应--这就是关于市场转型期中国共产党员收入优势的悖论。通过运用 2008年中国综合社会调查(CGSS2008),回归分析结果充分验证了"冲突性偏差的经验预测。这也提醒研究者:在对当代共产党员的收入优势进行理论解读时,主流观点忽视了冲突性偏差所造成的影响。在文章的最后,笔者讨论了此发现对将来研究的启发。 ; This study examines two hypotheses for the impact of deepening marketization on the income returns to party membership in socialist China: the political capital and collider bias hypotheses. The prevailing view holds that party membership brings political capital (positional power and connections) and changing income returns reflects the changing leverage of political capital in market transition. The collider bias hypothesis acknowledges the expanding role of unobserved ability in the determination of income in the presence of party clientelism. Drawing on Pearl's analysis of collider bias, we argue that recent marketization would lead to a paradoxical increase of negative bias on the income returns to party membership even if the political capital benefits of party membership persist as the prior literature maintains. Consequently, after conditioning on sector and cadre position, regression coefficient of party membership on income would be suppressed and become even negative. The paradox is that, if the income effect of party membership vanishes after controlling sector and/or cadre position, there must be a true positive party effect on income. Results based on the 2008 Chinese General Social Survey consistently support the predictions of collider bias hypothesis. The prevailing interpretation of previous findings is seriously undermined by ignorance of this pervasive selection bias. ...