Влияние беларуских протестов на политику России ; Impact of Belarusian Protests on Russian Politics ; Baltarusijos protestų įtaka Rusijos politikai
In: http://oai.elaba.lt/documents/81634106.pdf
The object of research in this work is the domestic policy of Russia. The purpose of the work is to identify possible links between the adoption of some internal political decisions in the Russian Federation and the protests taking place at that time in the Republic of Belarus. The main objectives of the research: to identify the main political actors in modern Russia; describe the main criteria for making political decisions in Russia and the motivation of the actors who make them; highlight the characteristic features of Belarusian protests that could manifest themselves in the future in Russia; to analyze some of the latest political decisions made in Russia from the point of view of their motivation by the events in Belarus. The first part of the study identifies the main groups of actors who participate in political decision-making in Russia, their motivation, as well as the criteria for making such decisions. Assumptions and conclusions are made using the "Selectorate theory". The main research method used in the work was the "case study" method. Three cases of political decision-making were studied, which were formalized in the form of bills that passed at least the first reading in the State Duma of the Russian Federation. The cases were considered based on an analysis of the text of the draft law itself, official statements about the reasons for its appearance, available expert comments, as well as taking into account the prevailing socio-political situation at the time of the draft. The data obtained were compared with the events in Belarus that occurred not long before the occurrence of the case, which made it possible to assume the existence of cause-and-effect relationships between these events and the adoption of appropriate political decisions. The studied bills and the Belarusian political crisis are also considered in the context of the " Selectorate theory", which provides additional argumentation in identifying their interrelationships. The rallies that took place on January 23, 2021 in Russia, at the time of the completion of this work, show that it may be worthwhile to continue research on the research topic in order to predict the development of events in Russian politics.