Swing voters: understanding late-deciders in late-modernity
In: Hampton Press communication series
In: Critical bodies
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In: Hampton Press communication series
In: Critical bodies
In: The PIPA/Knowledge Networks poll
World Affairs Online
In: Routledge studies in Middle Eastern politics, 68
"Ethnicity and Elections in Turkey attempts to understand the mobilization strategies of incumbent parties to consolidate and increase their support among swing voters of an ethnic group. By analyzing the strategy of AKP on voters of Kurdish origin, it investigates the conditions under which it can mobilize them through the clientelistic network and its effectiveness in increasing support for the party.
In: Routledge Studies in Middle Eastern Politics
Ethnicity and Elections in Turkey attempts to understand the mobilization strategies of incumbent parties to consolidate and increase their support among swing voters of an ethnic group. By analyzing the strategy of AKP on voters of Kurdish origin, it investigates the conditions under which it can mobilize them through the clientelistic network and its effectiveness in increasing support for the party. This investigation is conducted through a district and neighborhood level case study conducted in the districts of Beyoğlu, Sancaktepe and Beykoz situated in Istanbul. The main hypotheses are te
In: Routledge studies in Middle Eastern politics 68
"Ethnicity and Elections in Turkey attempts to understand the mobilization strategies of incumbent parties to consolidate and increase their support among swing voters of an ethnic group. By analyzing the strategy of AKP on voters of Kurdish origin, it investigates the conditions under which it can mobilize them through the clientelistic network and its effectiveness in increasing support for the party...
The ?swing voter? occupies a cherished place in American political lore. Candidates court swing voters, consultants target them, and pundits speculate constantly on which way they will lean. But nobody has adequately defined them as a group. What exactly is a swing voter? No one really seems to know.The Swing Voter in American Politics fills this conceptual gap. The book brings political scientists and pollsters together to answer four basic questions: What is a swing voter? How can analysts use survey data to identify swing voters? How do swing voters differ?if at all?from the rest of the ele
In: Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics
In: Cambridge studies in comparative politics
Brokers, Voters, and Clientelism addresses major questions in distributive politics. Why is it acceptable for parties to try to win elections by promising to make certain groups of people better off, but unacceptable - and illegal - to pay people for their votes? Why do parties often lavish benefits on loyal voters, whose support they can count on anyway, rather than on responsive swing voters? Why is vote buying and machine politics common in today's developing democracies but a thing of the past in most of today's advanced democracies? This book develops a theory of broker-mediated distribution to answer these questions, testing the theory with research from four developing democracies, and reviews a rich secondary literature on countries in all world regions. The authors deploy normative theory to evaluate whether clientelism, pork-barrel politics, and other non-programmatic distributive strategies can be justified on the grounds that they promote efficiency, redistribution, or voter participation
In: Princeton studies in American politics : historical, international, and comparative perspectives
Uneasy Alliances is a powerful challenge to how we think about the relationship between race, political parties, and American democracy. While scholars frequently claim that the need to win elections makes government officials responsive to any and all voters, Paul Frymer shows that not all groups are treated equally; politicians spend most of their time and resources on white swing voters--to the detriment of the African American community. As both parties try to attract white swing voters by distancing themselves from blacks, black voters are often ignored and left with unappealing alternati.
Introduction : swing-states and presidential elections / Stacey Hunter Hecht, David Schultz -- Purple battlegrounds : presidential campaign strategies and swing state voters / Scott L. McLean -- The one that got away : Missouri's break from ultimate swing state status / Kenneth F. Warren and Rafael Jacob -- Ohio : the battleground of battlegrounds? / Henriët Hendriks, Bas van Doorn -- Florida : the purple Sunshine State / Sean D. Foreman -- The bluest red state in America : exploring North Carolina's political past, present, and future / Christopher A. Cooper, H. Gibbs Knotts -- The Badger State as a battleground : Wisconsin politics past, present, and future / Aaron C. Weinschenk, Neil Kraus -- New Mexico : a swing state no longer? / Donald W. Beachler -- Contesting Colorado : the politics of change in the Centennial State / Robert R. Preuhs, Norman Provizer, Andrew Thangasamy -- Swing state politics in the Silver State / David F. Damore, Rebecca D. Gill -- Blue dawn? : New Hampshire and the limits of the New England democratic revival" / Niall Palmer -- Virginia : not leaving the spotlight / John J. McGlennon -- Battleground Iowa : swing state extraordinaire / Donna R. Hoffman, Christopher W. Larimer -- Indiana politics at a crossroad : Democrats competing in a conservative state / Matthew L. Bergbower -- Conclusion : why states swing in American presidential elections / Stacey Hunter Hecht, David Schultz
1. Introduction -- 2. The Prevalence of Vote Buying in Indonesia: Building an Index -- 3. The Determinants of Vote Buying: The Profile of Typical Vote 'Sellers' -- 4. Do Candidates Target Loyal or Swing Voters? Beyond the Core- versus Swing Voter Debate -- 5. How Targeting Goes Astray: Explaining the Gap between Intentions and Outcomes -- 6. Vote Brokerage, Personal Networks, and Agency Loss -- 7. Does Vote Buying Affect Voting Behaviour? Chasing Winning Margins and the Prisoner's Dilemma -- 8. Conclusion
World Affairs Online
"Over the past few decades, a fundamental shift in political campaign strategy has been afoot in U.S. elections: Political campaigns have been gradually shifting their attention away from swing voters toward their respective, partisan bases. Independents and weak partisans have been targeted with less frequency, and the emphasis in contemporary elections has been on strong partisans. This book documents this shift-away from persuasion toward base mobilization-in the context of U.S. presidential elections and explains that this phenomenon is likely linked to several developments, including advances in campaign technology and voter targeting capabilities as well as insights from behavioral social science focusing on voter mobilization. The analyses show the 2000 presidential election represents a watershed cycle that punctuated this shift. The book also explores the implications of the shift toward base mobilization and links these developments to growing turnout rates for strong partisans and attenuating participation among independents, or swing voters over time. The book concludes these patterns have contributed to heightened partisan polarization in the United States"--
Intro -- Title Page -- About the Author -- Dedication -- Copyright Information © -- Acknowledgement -- Introduction -- Where Do the Numbers Come from? -- Overview -- Chapter One Democracy: A Long and Glorious History? -- The Long and Winding Road to Political Inclusion -- Chapter Two Who Gets to Vote in Australia? -- Our First Election -- Federation? What Federation? -- Chapter Three Are We Interested in Politics? -- '95 Per Cent Vote'-Yeah, Right -- Informal Votes don't Count -- Apathetic Donkeys -- Would We Vote If Not Compelled? -- Hands up Those Not Interested in Politics -- Cooking, Dancing, Footy, then Government -- Chapter Four What do We Know About Politics? -- Actually, Not Much! -- Chapter Five Voter Shortcuts -- Bogans Versus Hippies -- Hanson the Leftie -- Kyoto Protocol? I'll Have the Sushi -- Budgie Smugglers, Strip Clubs, and Gastric Bypasses -- In Tune with Voters -- Food, Sports and Fashion: Disaster or Success? -- Chapter Six Who's Politically Apathetic and Why? -- Young, Uneducated, Poor and Rural -- Other Socio-Demographic Factors -- Too hard, Can't Trust them, Got Better Things to do -- The System's Broke -- Chapter Seven Ignorant Voters Decide Who Governs -- A Few Votes Either Way -- Donkeys Decide Who Wins -- Who did I Just Vote for? -- Joke Parties -- The Joke's on Us -- Swinging Voters are Kingmakers -- Radical and Random Swings -- Chapter Eight Broader Consequences of Political Ignorance -- Targeting Uninterested Voters -- Great Big Taxes -- Labor Hits Back -- Scary Different People -- The Right Play Harder -- Economic Lies -- Advertising Manipulation -- Our Money-Their Lies -- Alluring Catch Phrases -- Just do Something! -- Media Distortion -- Sex Sells -- Murdoch's Gift to the Nation -- Bushfire Manipulation -- Voting Against Your Own Interests -- Chapter Nine Democracy Under Threat -- Chapter Ten Solutions.
In: CESifo working paper series; 2411
Empirical tests of the theories on the relationship between political competition and economic performance generate a puzzle: data tend to support the theory at the lower levels of government, but not in panels of countries. We argue that the larger set of policy instruments reduces the tax price of votes at the national level, increasing the incentives to use distortionary redistributive policies to win contested elections. Moreover, constitutions reserve competencies with a high ideological potential to the national government, reducing swing voters' responsiveness to the economic performance of the central government. We thus expect political competition to produce efficiency-oriented policies at the sub-national level compared to the national one. We test this hypothesis on a panel of 24 OECD countries over 1974-2000 and a panel of 15 Italian regions over 1984-2000 and find support for our predictions.
America's increasing racial and ethnic diversity is viewed by some as an opportunity to challenge and so reinforce the country's social fabric; by others, as a portent of alarming disunity. While everyone agrees that this diversity is markedly influencing political dynamics not only nationally but often on the state and local levels, we know little about how racial and ethnic groups organize and participate in politics or how political elites try to mobilize them. This book tells us. By integrating class-based factors with racial and ethnic factors, Jan Leighley shows what motivates African-Americans, Latinos, and Anglos to mobilize and participate in politics. Drawing on national survey data and on interviews with party and elected officials in Texas, she develops a nuanced understanding of how class, race, and ethnicity act as individual and contextual influences on elite mobilization and mass participation. Leighley examines whether the diverse theoretical approaches generally used to explain individual participation in politics are supported for the groups under consideration. She concludes that the political and social context influences racial and ethnic minorities' decisions to participate, but that different features of those environments are important for different groups. Race and ethnicity structure participation more than previous research suggests. Casting new light on an issue at the crux of contemporary American politics, Strength in Numbers? will be welcomed by scholars and students of political science, African-American and Latino studies, urban politics, and social movements
In: ProQuest Ebook Central
Cover -- Half Title -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Table of Contents -- List of Illustrations -- Acknowledgments -- 1 Introduction: Some Politics Change, Some Voters Stay the Same -- What This Book Is Not About, and Other Short comings -- A Half-Century of Dramatic Political Changes -- Southern Political Realignment -- Plan, Intended Audiences, and Philosophy of This Book -- Notes -- References -- 2 Genesis: How Do People Become Liberals and Conservatives? -- Major Source #1: Political Socialization -- Major Source #2: Genetics -- Concluding Reflections: Creating a Political Identity -- Notes -- References -- 3 Voter Choice: The Decision Is Simple, but Is It Predetermined? -- A Simplistic Guide to the Three Models of Voting Behavior -- The Columbia Model -- The Michigan Model -- The Rational Choice Model -- How Applicable Are These Models to Voting in the 21st Century? -- Who Are the Independents and Swing Voters? -- Where Do Campaigns Fit in Voter Decision Making? -- Concluding Reflections: Partisans and Campaigns -- Notes -- References -- 4 Political Knowledge: What Facts Do Voters Need to Know? -- The Importance of a Well-Informed Citizenry -- Data Collection and Results on Political Recall Knowledge -- Three Arguments Combating the Stereotype of Americans Being Politically Stupid -- Argument #1: The Sources of Political Information Are Imperfect -- Argument #2: On-LineProcessing and Information Shortcuts Allow Citizens to Act as if They Are Fully Info rmed -- Argument #3: Measuring Political Knowledge Is Imperfect -- Concluding Reflections: Is the Importance of Political Knowledge Within the Electorate Exaggerated? -- Notes -- References -- 5 Voter Turnout: Institutional Barriers and Group Motivations -- The Rationality of Voting -- Why Is U.S. Voter Turnout Low? -- Major Reason #1: Institutional Characteristics