ЛЕТО СОРОК ПЕРВОГО: ИСТОРИЯ ВОЗВРАЩАЕТСЯ?

Abstract

В статье дана оценка экономической, политической и гуманитарной катастрофы на Украине, которая назревала свыше двух десятилетий. Проанализирована реакция на эту катастрофу со стороны политического руководства России и Запада, а также механизмы возникновения и прихода к власти украинского нацизма. ; The events of spring 2014 in the South-East of Ukraine at once changed the geopolitical architectonics of past twenty-five years. This analytical article is an attempt to assess the expanded economic, political and humanitarian disaster in the Ukraine, which has been brewing for more than two decades. The subject of my geopolitical analysis is the reaction to this disaster by the political leadership of Russia and Western countries, as well as mechanisms of the origin and rise to power of Ukrainian Nazism considering its specificity, which is the narrow focus on ethnic Ukrainian regions split and russophobia. I identify the following major risk factors that led to the destruction of Ukrainian statehood: (i) remote control carried out without taking into account the Russian-Ukrainian history, (ii) corrupt comprador regime ("constitutional oligarchy"), (iii) a special cultural policy aimed at forced Ukrainization of Russian population (both Great and Little Russians). Achieving the main goal of this policy, which was to break cultural and political ties with Russia, was paid-up by the economic and cultural crisis, by civil war in Ukraine, by death of thousands of people, by cultivating ethnic strife, and by rising of social inequalities. Summing analyzed facts, I conclude 2014 is almost full analogue of the prewar period in 1941 for Russia and Europe (historical experience shows that Ukrainian Nazism is a more terrible phenomenon than German one). On this basis, I am considering some possible tactics and strategies of Russian supreme power.