The impact of the economic crisis on household health expenditure in Greece: an interrupted time series analysis

Abstract

Objectives and setting The 2008 financial crisis had a particularly severe impact on Greece. To contain spending, the government capped public health expenditure and introduced increased cost-sharing. The Greek case is important for studying the impact of recessions on health systems. This study analysed changes in household health expenditure in Greece over the economic crisis and explored whether the impact differed across socioeconomic groups. Participants We used data from the Greek Household Budget Survey for the years 2004 and 2008-2017. The dataset comprised 51,654 households, with a total of 128,111 members. Design We compared pre- and post-crisis trends in Greek household out-of-pocket payments for healthcare from 2004-2017 using an interrupted time series analysis. This study explored spending in Euros and as a share of total household purchases. Results Our results indicated that the population level trend in household health spending was reversed after the crisis began (pre-crisis trend: €0.040 decrease per quarter (95% CI: -0.785 to -0.022), post-crisis trend: €0.315 increase per quarter (95% CI: -0.004 to 0.635)). We also found that spending on inpatient services and pharmaceuticals has been increasing since the start of the crisis, whereas outpatient services expenditure has been decreasing. Across all households, out-of-pocket payments incurred a greater financial burden after the crisis relative to pre-existing trends, but the poorest households incurred a disproportionately higher burden. Conclusions This was the first study to use an interrupted time series analysis to assess the impact of the economic crisis on household health expenditure in Greece. Our findings suggest that there was an erosion of financial protection for Greek households as a consequence of the economic crisis. This effect was particularly pronounced amongst poorer households, which is indicative of a regressive financing system.