Globalaus džihadistinio judėjimo politinė programa: tarp svajonių ir realybės ; The political programme of the global jihadist movement: between dreams and reality

Abstract

Many ordinary Muslims see global jihadist movement's goals as acceptable. However, they think that terrorist attacks, as the mean to achieve these goals, cannot be justified. For the future of the global jihadist movement three scenarios could be drawn. These are worst-case (jihadist movement will fail to achieve its goals) scenario, status quo scenario (jihadist movement will fail to achieve its goals, but continue to exist), and best-case scenario (jihadist movement will succeed in realizing all its goals). Which scenario will be the real one is difficult to say at the moment. Yet, it seems that the third one (best-case scenario) is least realistic, because after almost 10 years since 9–11 jihadists have had achieved none of their openly state goals.