Open Access BASE2012

The Prediction Manifested In the International Relations

Abstract

In the light of the scholarly standards development, research methods and their implications of theoretical literature, this study aims at answering the focal question suggested here: How far is prediction manifested in international relations? This study also throws light on the ongoing controversy of prediction in the context of international relations. Such debate will be unveiled through descriptive and analytical methods which in turn place an adequate emphasis on examining the controversial and theoretical issues raised by the concern of prediction. Relevant examples in the same context will be also given such as: the predictions suggested by the New Realism, Structuralism, and how far such theories recognize the international policies. The pragmatic implications dwells on the concept of prediction in international relations through identifying prediction's standards and its indications, the appropriate framework to make up theory, implications fields, assumptions prioritization, and the relation between the theoretical concepts to come up with a theory of valid for prediction in the future. The study concludes that the perpetual change of international system's frameworks brings about an urgent use of the methodological signs of prediction to strike a balance and maintain stability in the international environment. Such state of balance gives room for the hegemonic international terms and world peace since prediction phenomenon has been manipulated by scholarly research and methodological tactics.

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