The border area population's adaptation to modern challenges

In: Vestnik Tomskogo Gosudarstvennogo Universiteta: naučnyj žurnal = Tomsk State University journal of economics. Ėkonomika, Heft 60, S. 115-129

Abstract

There are many approaches to assessing the level of adaptation of the population to modern challenges, but all of them are not perfect: they consider only certain aspects and factors of the problem. The aim of this article is to substantiate the tools for assessing the effectiveness of adaptation mechanisms of the border area of the public administration sector from the standpoint of a statistical approach. The authors attempt to determine the result of the adaptation of the population on the basis of criteria of the reproductive (adaptive) potential of the territory. They have developed criteria for evaluation from the position of: creating conditions for the accelerated adaptation of the population, the nature of the impact of the transformation process on the population, the effectiveness of adaptation mechanisms, people's response to modern challenges, stresses and risks. The study uses the theory and methodology of official statistics, including the following methods: comparison, index, balance, grouping, and multivariate analysis. The tools for assessing the effectiveness of the mechanisms of the adaptation of the population are substantiated, the main factors influencing the speed of people's habituation to changing living conditions are identified. The dynamics of the most important indicators characterizing the living conditions of the population and the reproductive potential of the territory according to 14 key quantitative and qualitative indicators for the period 2013–2020 is analyzed. During the period under review, the following should be attributed to positive results: the pandemic and sanctions do not have a significant impact on the lives of people and the activities of enterprises. The negative consequences include: a reduction in the birth rate and an increase in mortality; an increase in financial inequality; a decrease in the purchasing power of the population, etc. The authors onclude that the use of a statistical approach makes it possible to increase the reliability of information for an objective assessment of the degree of adaptation of the population of the border area to modern challenges based on the analysis of the level of the effectiveness of adaptation mechanisms and their impact on reproductive potential. Constant monitoring will show in the future the positive and negative factors affecting the living conditions of people and the speed of adaptation of the population of the country's regions.