Climate Change Risks in Brazil

Abstract

Intro -- Dedication -- Foreword -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Contents -- List of Contributors -- List of Acronyms -- Chapter 1: Introduction -- References -- Chapter 2: Assessment of Warming Projections and Probabilities for Brazil -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Climate Modelling and Climate Scenarios Used -- 2.3 Region Analysed, Models and Data Used -- 2.4 Long-Term Projections for Brazil: Analysis of Air Temperature Projections -- 2.5 Probabilities of Warming Exceeding the Limits of 2 °C to 4 °C -- 2.6 Probability of Warming Exceeding 4°C or More (RCP 8.5) -- 2.7 Warming Risks for Brazil during the Twenty-First Century -- 2.8 Final Remarks -- References -- Chapter 3: Assessments and How an Increase in Temperature may Have an Impact on Agriculture in Brazil and Mapping of the Current and Future Situation -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Methodology -- 3.3 Assessment of Possible Impacts Due to Temperature Increase: Projections for 2020, 2050 and 2080 -- 3.4 Assessment of Possible Impacts Due to Temperature Increase: Projections for Different Crops -- 3.4.1 Sugarcane -- 3.4.2 Cotton -- 3.4.3 Rice -- 3.4.4 Potato -- 3.4.5 Cassava -- 3.4.6 Coffee -- 3.4.7 Beans -- 3.4.8 Sunflower -- 3.4.9 Maize -- 3.4.10 Second-Crop Corn -- 3.4.11 Soybean -- 3.4.12 Wheat -- 3.5 Conclusions -- References -- Chapter 4: A Review of the Health Sector Impacts of 4 °C or more Temperature Rise -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Material and Methods -- 4.2.1 Methodological Considerations -- 4.2.2 Data Sources -- 4.3 Analysis of Studies and Presentation of Results -- 4.4 Direct Impacts of Climate Change on the Health Sector as a Response to Exposure to a Warming of 4 °C or More -- 4.4.1 Heat Stress -- 4.5 Extreme Events -- 4.5.1 Mortality by Heat Waves -- 4.5.2 Natural Disasters and their Impacts on Human Health.