Politics and big data: nowcasting and forecasting elections with social media

Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- List of figures -- List of tables -- Introduction -- 1 Social media electoral forecasts: an overview -- 2 From noise to signal in sentiment and opinion analysis -- 3 Nowcasting and forecasting electoral campaigns: evidence from France, the United States and Italy -- 4 Leaders, promises and negative campaigning: digging into an electoral campaign through social media -- 5 Social media and electoral forecasts: sources of bias and meta-analysis -- 6 Conclusion: "To predict or not to predict?" Future avenues of social media research within and beyond electoral forecasts -- Postscript -- Index