Criteria for the evaluation of climate protection scenarios: substudy report

In: Climate change 2021, 57

In: Ressortforschungsplan of the Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety

Abstract

Climate protection scenarios are a key part of long-term climate policy planning, which has been given a further boost by the Paris Agreement. The modelling performed in such scenarios informs the development of 2050 national climate strategies—which themselves serve as roadmaps for the decarbonisation of the economy. By early 2020, all EU Member States were called to deliver some form of a national climate strategy for 2050, but these will likely vary substantially in ambition, scope and content, in large part also due to the different content inputs provided by respective national policy scenarios and emission pathways modelling. This document outlines a catalogue of criteria for the comparative and normative evaluation of longterm climate protection scenarios, both in Europe and internationally.