Asset allocation and monetary policy: evidence from the eurozone

In: CESifo working paper series 5005

In: Monetary policy and international finance

Abstract

The eurozone has a single short-term nominal interest rate, but monetary policy conditions measured by real short-term interest rates varied substantially across countries in the period 2003 - 2010. We use this cross-country variation in the (local) tightness of monetary policy to examine its influence on equity and money market flows. In line with a powerful risk-shifting channel, we find that fund investors in countries with decreased real interest rates shift their portfolio investment out of the money market and into the riskier equity market - causing significant equity price inflation in countries where investment home bias is the strongest.