POLITICAL DETERMINANTS OF POPULATION DYNAMICS

In: Comparative political studies: CPS, Band 16, Heft 1, S. 3-36

Abstract

THE ARTICLE SUGGESTS THAT THE MASSIVE TRANSFORMATION OF THE POLITICAL SYSTEM OFTEN REFERRED TO AS "POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT" IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MOVEMENT FROM HIGH TO LOW BIRTH-AND DEATH RATES IN NATIONAL POPULATIONS. THE EFFECT OF THE CHANGING POLITICAL SYSTEM IS INDEPENDENT OF (AND IN ADDITION TO) THE EFFECTS OF SOCIOECONOMIC CHANGES PREVIOUSLY PRESENTED IN THE THEORY OF THE DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION. THE ARTICLE REPORTS FIRST THE NATURE OF THE SYSTEMATIC CONNECTION BETWEEN CHANGE IN THE POLITICAL SYSTEM ON THE ONE HAND AND CHANGE IN VITAL RATES ON THE OTHER. SECOND, IT PRESENTS A NEW EMPIRICAL MEASURE OF THE CAPACITY AND EFFECTIVENESS OF WHOLE POLITICAL SYSTEMS.