THE CONDORCET JURY THEOROM, FREE SPEECH, AND CORRELATED VOTES

In: American journal of political science: AJPS, Band 36, Heft 3, S. 617-634

Abstract

THE CONDORCET JURY THEOREM PROVIDES A THEORETICAL BASIS FOR DEMOCRACY. UNFORTUNATELY, THE THEOREM IS KNOWN TO HOLD ONLY UNDER THE UNREALISTIC ASSUMPTION THAT VOTES ARE INDEPENDENT. THIS PAPER GENERALIZES THE THEOREM TO CORRELATED VOTES. THE GENERALIZED THEOREM PROVIDES AN ANALYTICAL BASIS FOR FREE SPEECH. NUMERICAL EXAMPLES SEEK TO ILLUSTRATE THE MAIN RESULTS.