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Published in 1965: The study examines the changing structure and pattern of international relations in a world wide context. Defining balance of power in a dynamic sense akin to that of a "moving equilibrium".

AbstractWhen it comes to buying military aircraft, what leads states to prefer one supplier over the other? This paper explores this question from the perspective of international relations theory. First we use social network analysis to map out fighter jet transfers during and after the Cold War and examine the extent to which historical structures of international hierarchy shape contemporary supplier-receiver relationships. Next, we use a basic probit model to analyse the origins of fighter jets in the world's air forces today to evaluate the effect of interstate orders of super-ordination and sub-ordination on sourcing patterns. All things being equal, the more a state is embedded in US security and economic hierarchy, the more it is likely to buy American-made fighter jets.

We show that temporal, spatial, and dyadic dependencies among observations complicate the estimation of covariance structures in panel databases. Ignoring these dependencies results in covariance estimates that are often too small and inferences that may be more confident about empirical patterns than is justified by the data. In this article, we detail the development of a nonparametric approach, window subseries empirical variance estimators (WSEV), that can more fully capture the impact of these dependencies on the covariance structure. We illustrate this approach in a simulation as well as with a statistical model of international conflict similar to many applications in the international relations literature.

In the disciplines of political science and international relations, Machiavelli is unanimously considered to be "the first modern realist." This essay argues that the idea of a realist tradition going from the Renaissance to postwar realism founders when one considers the disrepute of Machiavelli among early international relations theorists. It suggests that the transformation of Machiavelli into a realist thinker took place subsequently, when new historical scholarship, informed by strategic and political considerations related to the transformation of the US into a global power, generated a new picture of the Renaissance. Focusing on the work of Felix Gilbert, and in particular hisMachiavelli and Guicciardini, the essay shows how this new interpretation of Machiavelli was shaped by the crisis of the 1930s, the emergence of security studies, and the philanthropic sponsorship of international relations theory.