Die Arbeit überträgt Grundgedanken und Hilfsmittel der systemorientierten Managementlehre (Universität St. Gallen, Malik Management Zentrum St. Gallen) auf die Branche der Consulting - Unternehmen im Bauwesen (CUB) in Deutschland, die im Jahr 2006 mit 86 Tsd. Firmen und über 360 Tsd. Mitarbeitern einen Umsatz von über 30 Mrd. € erwirtschaftet hat. Erörtert werden die zum Verständnis der eingesetzten Denkweisen und Konzepte notwendigen Grundlagen der Begriffe und Definitionen von 'System', Kybernetik und Systemtheorie.Es werden vor allem das zirkuläre und vernetzte Denken, Regelkreise und deren hierarchischer Aufbau, die Rückkopplung, die 'Black box', die Bedeutung des Ausbalancierens von Maßnahmen, Modellbildungen für unterschiedliche Fragestellungen der Unternehmenspolitik, die Möglichkeiten der Selbstorganisation und die bedingte Autonomie von Unternehmensteilen erläutert. Als Werkzeuge werden das Viable System Modell (VSM) nach Stafford Beer und Wirkungsgefüge nach Frederik Vester und Gomez/Probst (Universität St. Gallen) eingesetzt. Das VSM liefert eine übergeordnete Orientierung zur Integration grundlegender Anforderungen der Unternehmensführung und gleichzeitig konkrete Anweisungen zur Ausbildung aller Funktionen des Organismus Unternehmen. Wirkungsdiagramme bilden Zusammenhänge des »Systems« CUB oder formulierte Fragestellungen in der gewünschten Detaillierungsebene ab. Bestehende Wirkungen und mögliche Konsequenzen von Aktivitäten und Einflüssen können mit ihrer Hilfe bis zu einem gewissen Grad nachvollzogen bzw. vorausgedacht werden. Das Verfahren »Easy Fuzzy Balancing« wird vom Verfasser ausgearbeitet, um Entscheidungssituationen, z.B. bei strategischen Überlegungen, nachvollziehbar aufzubereiten. Es kombiniert den einfachen Aufbau der Nutzwertanalyse mit der Denkweise von Fuzzy – Logic und setzt diese mit grundlegender Mathematik um. Aus der Diskussion vorhandener Lösungen wie der Balanced Scorecard wird ein »Kennzahlensystem« entwickelt, welches eine ausgewogene, die Vergangeheit, Gegenwart und Zukunft berücksichtigende sowie vollständig alle erforderlichen Bereiche und Prozesse abdeckende Analyse möglich macht. Mit Hilfe von »Easy Fuzzy Balancing« werden die Ergebnisse zu einem »Index Gesamterfolg« verdichtet. Auf Basis dieser Konzepte und Hilfsmittel wird eine »Methode« vorgestellt, die umfassend und auf die Branche zugeschnitten die Aufgaben der Unternehmensplanung, -führung und Weiterentwicklung eines CUB abbildet. Dazu werden branchenspezifische Hilfsmittel, wie beispielsweise ein »Strategieprozess« und ein »Strategisches Koordinatensystem CUB«, welches zur Orientierung im Markt genutzt wird, vorgestellt. Das Hauptaugenmerk wird immer wieder auf die Fähigkeiten und die Anforderungen bei der Erbringung der Dienstleistung eines CUB gerichtet. An der Schnittstelle zum Projekt, im Zusammenwirken mit den besonderen und einmaligen Bedingungen eines Bauvorhabens entsteht Komplexität. Die Fähigkeiten im Umgang mit diesen nur teilweise planbaren Zuständen stellt die wesentliche Führungsaufgabe und den bedeutendsten Erfolgsfaktor eines CUB dar. Die Verantwortung des Projektleiters und seine zur erfolgreichen Projektabwicklung erforderlichen Fähigkeiten werden herausgearbeitet. Der Einsatz der systemorientierten Grundgedanken und Werkzeuge sowie der branchenspezifischen Hilfsmittel werden jeweils an Beispielen aus der Beratungspraxis gezeigt. Als Ergebnis liegt eine »Methode« vor, die Hinweise statt Rezepte liefert und im Unternehmen an die besonderen Anforderungen und Randbedingungen angepasst wird. ; This study applies basic ideas and tools of system-oriented management studies (University of St. Gallen, Malik Management Zentrum St. Gallen) to the trade of consulting-firms in the German building industry (CUB). This branch of business covers about 86 thousand companies with more than 360 thousand employees, and in 2006 generated a turnover of more than 30 billion €. For a better understanding of the concepts and ways of thinking applied in this study necessary fundamentals are being discussed which explain the terms 'system', ''cybernetics and 'systems theory' and their definitions. Above all the concept of circular and interconnected thinking, control loops and their hierarchical design are illustrated as well as feed-back loops, the ;black box', the importance of balancing corporate activities, the forming/creation of models as an answer to various questions concerning company policy, possibilities of self-organisation and the limited autonomy of company units. The Viable System Model (VSM) according to Stafford Beer and effect systems (the model of a complex problem showing the linked loops of its variables) according to Frederik Vester and Gomez/Probst (University of St. Gallen) are used as tools in this approach. The VSM provides the superordinate orientation for integrating basic requirements of corporate management and at the same time gives concrete instructions for designing all the different functions of the corporation as an organism. Effect systems illustrate the connections of the »system« CUB or picture clearly defined questions in the desired level of detail. With their help existing effects and possible consequences of activities and influences can be understood or even anticipated to a certain degree. The method of »Easy Fuzzy Balancing« is created by the author in order to prepare decision-making - for example in strategic considerations – in a transparent way. It combines the simple structure of a utility analysis with the way of thinking of Fuzzy-Logic and operates with very basic mathematics. By discussing existing solutions such as the Balanced Scorecard a specific »Kennzahlensystem« (performance measurement system) is developed, which allows a balanced analysis of all necessary areas and functions of a corporation, an analysis which covers past, present and future aspects. With the help of "Easy Fuzzy Balancing" the results of this analysis can be condensed into an »Index Gesamterfolg« (Index of overall performance). Based on the above mentioned concepts and tools a comprehensive »Methode« (method) is presented, which is especially designed for this branch and which fully maps the tasks of corporate planning, management and development of a CUB. For this purpose tools are presented which are specific for this trade, such as a »Strategieprozess« (strategy process) and a »Strategisches Koordinatensystem CUB« (Stratetic Coordinate System), which is used for orientation in the market. The main focus is consistently directed towards the skills and requirements needed for providing the consultative and designing services of a CUB. Complexity arises at the interface to the project, through interrelation with the special and unique conditions of a construction project. Skills in dealing with these situations, that can only be planned to a certain degree, constitute the fundamental task of management and the most crucial element of success of a CUB. The responsibility of the project manager and his skills needed for a successful handling of a project are furthermore elaborated. The use of system-oriented ideas and implements as well as tools specific to this branch are illustrated through examples taken from consulting practice. As a result a »Methode« (method) is presented which provides hints instead of exact formulas, and which has to be adjusted to the specific requirements and conditions of a particular corporation.
The broad application of semiotic approaches to organisations has been considered by a number of information systems academics to be a necessary advance in information systems theory (see for examples Land 1985, Rzevski 1985, and Tully 1985). Along with psychology and sociology, semiotics is considered to be a foundation discipline for information systems within the IFIP WG 8.1 FRISCO Framework (Falkenberg, et al eds/ 2000). Semiotics examines the processes of production and consumption of meanings in organisations, institutions and society, and their underlying mechanisms by means of what Pap (1991, 47) refers to as a ".systematic analysis of patterns of interpretive behaviour". Although often unacknowledged, meaning is central to any definition of an information system. While the concept of meaning and meaning making is difficult to define, semiotic theory can assist by emphasising the distinctions between 'information', 'meaning', 'sense' and 'reference' for example (see Noth 1990, 92-102). Eco (1976, 8), provides a broad definition of semiotics as the study of ".all cultural processes as processes of communication". Cultural processes are interpreted to include organisational contexts and processes thereby providing a link between systems and organisations. Most applied semiotic studies start by identifying or defining one or more models of the sign as the basic unit of analysis. Signs are usually glossed as 'something that stands for something else in some capacity or another'. Depending on the model of the sign, mention may be made to an entity for whom the 'stands for' relationship applies. For a discipline often defined as the 'study of signs', there are a plethora of distinct sign models from which to choose. The reader is directed to Winfried Noth's Handbook of Semiotics for a detailed description of different sign typologies, sign models and disciplinary history (Noth 1990, 79-91). The period of modern semiotics starts at the beginning of the 20th Century with the emergence of two independent traditions. The work of Ferdinand de Saussure represents one of these traditions. Considered to be the founder of modern linguistics, he is also a pivotal figure in semiotics by distinguishing the former from the later in Cours de linguistique generate (1916)- a volume assembled from lecture notes edited by colleagues and published three years after his death (currently available as Bally, Sechehaye and Riedlinger eds/ 1993). The other tradition is represented by the work of Charles Sanders Peirce, a founder of symbolic logic as well as an expert in philosophy, mathematics, and many other fields. Peirce developed a pansemiotic view so all-inclusive and elaborate that the definitive, chronological collection of his work called the Peirce Edition Project remains unfinished, only six of an estimated twenty volumes of have been published to date (see for example Houser et al eds/ 1999). Other semiotic traditions exist. There are semiotic forms of linguistics - referred to here as semio linguistics - which adopt a semiotic theorisation of text rather than using an explicit sign model during analysis. Examples include text semiotics, systemic functional linguistics (Halliday 1978, 1985; Martin 1992) and systemic semiotics (Fawcett 1986). There is also at least one influential form of semio-linguistics that does uses an explicit sign model (Hjelmslev 1943/1963), while Social Semiotics (Kress 1985; Hodge and Kress 1988) develops concepts of discourse, text and social subjectivity based on the 'social sign' of Bakhtin (see Todorov 1984). Despite the obvious applicability to information systems of a discipline that concerns itself with the study of 'patterns of interpretive behaviour', there have been impediments to more vigorous interchange between semiotics and informatics. There are several contributory reasons for this situation. A major contributory reason is that Western semiotics likes to trace its lineage back to the Stoics (approximately 300 BC to 200 BC) and the Epicureans (300 BC to 0) through to the Enlightenment and onto the 19th and 20th Centuries. Faced with this daunting history, and a diversity of researchers, theories, and terminology to rival the most entrenched of modem disciplines, it is not surprising that a casual 'dip' into the literature might prove unproductive. Moreover, as semiotics is centrally involved with understanding communication, it becomes obvious that many commonsense notions of what constitutes communication would need to be reconsidered. As a consequence, semiotics unusually needs to employ meta-theory of one form or another, which leave it open to charges of obscurantism and elitism (Sless 1986, 2). However, it is unreasonable to assume that the constructs used to explain and examine such complex and taken-for granted cultural phenomena must necessarily be simple. Another major contributory reason is the difficulty of locating semiotics within any single discipline- semiotics is inherently trans-disciplinary. Broad application domains have included, but are not limited to, the cultural constitution of subjectivity, criticism and knowledge, communication and perception. A sample of subjects using semiotic theory of one form or another would include cultural and literary studies, film criticism, feminism, political science, legal studies, town planning and architecture, anthropology, biology and genetics. Moreover, there is considerable debate about what constitutes the core criteria that defines semiotics (Pap 1991).
Netzwerke, in denen Personen kooperieren, um im Schulsystem nachhaltige Schul- und Professionalitätsentwicklung zu initiieren und zu etablieren, werden seit Ende der 1990er Jahre zunehmend aufgebaut. Netzwerke sind meist interessiert, sich auszuweiten, um möglichst viele Lehrende in Innovationen einzubeziehen. Steuergruppen stellen das operative Zentrum von Netzwerken dar. Sie übernehmen die Koordination und Organisation der Schulentwicklungsinitiativen eines Netzwerks und dienen als solche u.a. als Schnittstelle zwischen den bereits kooperierenden und potenziell neuen Mitgliedern. Bislang gibt es jedoch kaum Erkenntnisse darüber, wie die Steuergruppenmitglieder diesen Vermittlungsprozess gestalten und woran sie sich dabei orientieren. In diesem Beitrag soll an diesem Forschungsdesiderat angesetzt werden, indem die von Steuergruppenmitgliedern formulierten Zugangsmöglichkeiten zum Netzwerk untersucht werden, die im Rahmen einer qualitativ angelegten Studie mithilfe problemzentrierter Interviews erhoben wurden. Die Befragungen wurden im Winter 2007/8 im Rahmen der österreichischen Regionalen Netzwerke, einer von vier Maßnahmen eines landesweiten Projekts zur Stärkung des mathematisch-naturwissenschaftlichen Unterrichts, durchgeführt. Drei unterschiedlich ausgestaltete Vermittlungsprozesse, die sich im Spannungsfeld von Sach- und Schulstrukturorientierung einerseits und den Vorstellungen zu inhaltlichen Gemeinsamkeiten und Unterschieden innerhalb des Netzwerks andererseits bewegen, konnten aus den Interviews generiert werden. Die drei rekonstruierten Typen von Zugangsmöglichkeiten – sachlich-homogen, sachlich-heterogen und bürokratisch-homogen – die durch sogenannte Distinktionen, d.h. habituell vorgenommene Bewertungsformen, realisiert werden, werden anhand von Fallbeispielen illustriert und miteinander kontrastiert. Auf der Grundlage der Ergebnisse werden (Forschungs-) Perspektiven für den Einsatz des Entwicklungsansatzes der Schulnetzwerke formuliert.
This paper is focussed on the work and remit of the ICA's Commission on Education and Training (CET), presenting a reflection by the retiring chair of the current issues which affect the work of Commission members and all engaged in current education and training of students of cartography around the world. The nature and development of cartography as an academic and professional discipline has been discussed through many presentations, both conceptual and applied, and in various arenas and communities, over the past half century. As cartographic practice became standardised in the 20th century, so educational and instructional materials describing and analysing the discipline conveyed a relatively uniform message, ensuring that the audience of learners were educated and trained positively to an agreed agenda. In effect, a subtle, as yet unwritten, 'Body of Knowledge' was developed and elucidated in educational materials, notably textbooks on cartography, in the last few decades of the last century (Kessler, 2018). It was during these years, however, that cartography developed as a discipline far beyond its initial roots as a map-making technology. The technology of map-making certainly changed completely, and a host of other aspects were incorporated, from metrical analysis of historical map documents to gender-oriented investigations of mapping activity; from the integration and importance of cartography in contemporary geospatial data handling to the role of volunteer map-making; from the psychology of map interaction and decision making to the mathematics of map projections and multi-dimensional data representation; and many, many other activities and issues which must be included in educational programmes in cartography. It is the establishment, adoption and maintenance of a Body of Knowledge (BoK) which is one of the main challenges (this paper presents 11, in bold below) and, if successfully met, it can assist in ensuring that cartographic education and training develops as required in the next few decades (Fairbairn, 2017). The further challenges highlighted in this paper can form the basis for further investigation by the CET in the future. This listing of issues is informed by a number of contemporary changes in technology, by closer integration of cartography with other geospatial sciences, by research achievements and investigations in the field, by advances in educational praxis, by demands on cartography by a host of other activities, and by consequent recognition of the discipline by learned and professional bodies. One of the main purposes in developing a Body of Knowledge is to encompass and facilitate curriculum design. As the widening scope of cartography will be reflected in the developing BoK (most notably in cartography's contribution to GIS), curriculum design must be flexible and innovative enough to cope with more numerous and wider, though focussed and integrated, topics. The admirable, existing BoK in Geographic Information Science and Technology, already being reviewed and enhanced, but omitting many specific cartographic principles , is a possible framework for incorporating these. Alternatively there are sound arguments for a uniquely cartographic BoK, and this enterprise is certainly an ICA-approved pursuit. Also within the BoK, the theoretical foundations for the study of cartography must be elucidated and moved from the research agenda to the educational curriculum. A revised Research Agenda developed under ICA auspices and a focussed Body of Knowledge are synergistic documents, with interdependent content in one directing content in the other. Such documents may be perceived by many to be overly conceptual, un-related to everyday mapping activity. In terms of cartographic production in the past 50 years, we have moved far from the standardised methods mentioned earlier, applied by every commercial and governmental mapping organisation. The activity of map-making has adopted a host of alternative methods, and artefacts, data-sets and representations are created and 'mashed-up' by an increasingly wide range of individuals and groups with highly variable experiences, expertise and understanding of cartographic procedures. In terms of 'organised' cartography in multi-employee companies, government and non-government agencies, academic and research groups, and associated industrial and environmental companies, a further challenge is understanding what employers want from graduates in cartography and GIS . The delivery of education in cartography is an academic activity, but it must be done in a manner which demonstrates relevance to the community which relies on the skills of an educated workforce. In some cases the cartographic community, notably its educators, may have to direct their attention outside the classroom and convince the fragmenting industry that cartographic principles are vital for effective management and communication of information, and that the products of cartographic education (the graduates from educational programmes) are serious and informed potential employees with much to offer a wide range of human activity. Such recognition by those outside the academy can be encouraged by seeking and receiving professional accreditation from awarding bodies such as industry associations, learned societies, educational authorities and public bodies. The landscape of professional recognition in the disciplines of cartography and GIS is highly varied, geographically, institutionally, legally, and pedagogically. The fluid nature of the disciplines, and in particular their fuzzy distinction from a host of other geomatics, geospatial, engineering, environmental, and social activities means that cartographic education must acknowledge and address its interaction with education in many other sciences. Linking cartographic education and its principles with related education in other closely related geo-disciplines is particularly important. Common messages must be presented stressing cartography's importance and relevance. At the possible wider levels mentioned above, experiences and lessons learned from teaching cartography and GIS to a broad range of non-specialists must be documented: cartographic principles must be shown to be important and relevant to all those engaged in handling maps and mapping data. Stressing the importance of such principles is especially vital when education is done at a distance: the Commission has long been interested in those activities which develop on-line educational resources and look at innovative ways of delivering education widely to large audiences outside formal educational establishments. We already have reports on mature and effective resources in the form of MOOCs, distance learning courses, and online training modules (e.g. Robinson and Nelson, 2015). Such methods of delivery for cartographic education have proven popular and efficient: educators must ensure continued relevance, update, and diligence, in managing these activities. In addition to content development and assessment frameworks, it is technical requirements which are often perceived as major blocks to effective use of in-line educational resources. Technical support requirements are critical in every form of cartographic education: in the past replication of map reproduction labs was prohibitive for most educational establishments; today it is the acquisition of a full range of software which mitigates against full exposure to the varied range of cartographic and geospatial data handling activity as practised in the 'real world'. The generosity of some software providers is widely acknowledged in educational institutions, and many of the software products are generic enough to be able to demonstrate the required cartographic principles in a non-partisan manner. However, in many cases employers are seeking specific training skills in particular packages and this can be difficult to provide within a formal educational programme. Recent additions to the 'wish-list' of employers, however, have been related to abilities in coding and computer programming. Luckily, the most commonly sought skill is ability to write code in Python or Javascript. These are open source, rather than a commercial, products, and hence can be acquired by any educational establishment. The use of open source software and datasets in geospatial and cartographic education is becoming increasingly important, and their effective integration with traditional (and indeed contemporary) curricula in cartographic education is clearly a further challenge. This paper has outlined a number of challenges facing cartographic education. Like the wider discipline, education in cartography is delivered by capable and dedicated individuals, each with interests in the development of the discipline in an increasingly diverse and varied educational arena. The Commission is intent on addressing the challenges outlined, promoting effective and high-quality cartographic education.
This paper is focussed on the work and remit of the ICA's Commission on Education and Training (CET), presenting a reflection by the retiring chair of the current issues which affect the work of Commission members and all engaged in current education and training of students of cartography around the world. The nature and development of cartography as an academic and professional discipline has been discussed through many presentations, both conceptual and applied, and in various arenas and communities, over the past half century. As cartographic practice became standardised in the 20th century, so educational and instructional materials describing and analysing the discipline conveyed a relatively uniform message, ensuring that the audience of learners were educated and trained positively to an agreed agenda. In effect, a subtle, as yet unwritten, 'Body of Knowledge' was developed and elucidated in educational materials, notably textbooks on cartography, in the last few decades of the last century (Kessler, 2018). It was during these years, however, that cartography developed as a discipline far beyond its initial roots as a map-making technology. The technology of map-making certainly changed completely, and a host of other aspects were incorporated, from metrical analysis of historical map documents to gender-oriented investigations of mapping activity; from the integration and importance of cartography in contemporary geospatial data handling to the role of volunteer map-making; from the psychology of map interaction and decision making to the mathematics of map projections and multi-dimensional data representation; and many, many other activities and issues which must be included in educational programmes in cartography. It is the establishment, adoption and maintenance of a Body of Knowledge (BoK) which is one of the main challenges (this paper presents 11, in bold below) and, if successfully met, it can assist in ensuring that cartographic education and training develops as required in the next few decades (Fairbairn, 2017). The further challenges highlighted in this paper can form the basis for further investigation by the CET in the future. This listing of issues is informed by a number of contemporary changes in technology, by closer integration of cartography with other geospatial sciences, by research achievements and investigations in the field, by advances in educational praxis, by demands on cartography by a host of other activities, and by consequent recognition of the discipline by learned and professional bodies. One of the main purposes in developing a Body of Knowledge is to encompass and facilitate curriculum design. As the widening scope of cartography will be reflected in the developing BoK (most notably in cartography's contribution to GIS), curriculum design must be flexible and innovative enough to cope with more numerous and wider, though focussed and integrated, topics. The admirable, existing BoK in Geographic Information Science and Technology, already being reviewed and enhanced, but omitting many specific cartographic principles, is a possible framework for incorporating these. Alternatively there are sound arguments for a uniquely cartographic BoK, and this enterprise is certainly an ICA-approved pursuit. Also within the BoK, the theoretical foundations for the study of cartography must be elucidated and moved from the research agenda to the educational curriculum. A revised Research Agenda developed under ICA auspices and a focussed Body of Knowledge are synergistic documents, with interdependent content in one directing content in the other. Such documents may be perceived by many to be overly conceptual, un-related to everyday mapping activity. In terms of cartographic production in the past 50 years, we have moved far from the standardised methods mentioned earlier, applied by every commercial and governmental mapping organisation. The activity of map-making has adopted a host of alternative methods, and artefacts, data-sets and representations are created and 'mashed-up' by an increasingly wide range of individuals and groups with highly variable experiences, expertise and understanding of cartographic procedures. In terms of 'organised' cartography in multi-employee companies, government and non-government agencies, academic and research groups, and associated industrial and environmental companies, a further challenge is understanding what employers want from graduates in cartography and GIS. The delivery of education in cartography is an academic activity, but it must be done in a manner which demonstrates relevance to the community which relies on the skills of an educated workforce. In some cases the cartographic community, notably its educators, may have to direct their attention outside the classroom and convince the fragmenting industry that cartographic principles are vital for effective management and communication of information, and that the products of cartographic education (the graduates from educational programmes) are serious and informed potential employees with much to offer a wide range of human activity. Such recognition by those outside the academy can be encouraged by seeking and receiving professional accreditation from awarding bodies such as industry associations, learned societies, educational authorities and public bodies. The landscape of professional recognition in the disciplines of cartography and GIS is highly varied, geographically, institutionally, legally, and pedagogically. The fluid nature of the disciplines, and in particular their fuzzy distinction from a host of other geomatics, geospatial, engineering, environmental, and social activities means that cartographic education must acknowledge and address its interaction with education in many other sciences. Linking cartographic education and its principles with related education in other closely related geo-disciplines is particularly important. Common messages must be presented stressing cartography's importance and relevance. At the possible wider levels mentioned above, experiences and lessons learned from teaching cartography and GIS to a broad range of non-specialists must be documented: cartographic principles must be shown to be important and relevant to all those engaged in handling maps and mapping data. Stressing the importance of such principles is especially vital when education is done at a distance: the Commission has long been interested in those activities which develop on-line educational resources and look at innovative ways of delivering education widely to large audiences outside formal educational establishments. We already have reports on mature and effective resources in the form of MOOCs, distance learning courses, and online training modules (e.g. Robinson and Nelson, 2015). Such methods of delivery for cartographic education have proven popular and efficient: educators must ensure continued relevance, update, and diligence, in managing these activities. In addition to content development and assessment frameworks, it is technical requirements which are often perceived as major blocks to effective use of in-line educational resources. Technical support requirements are critical in every form of cartographic education: in the past replication of map reproduction labs was prohibitive for most educational establishments; today it is the acquisition of a full range of software which mitigates against full exposure to the varied range of cartographic and geospatial data handling activity as practised in the 'real world'. The generosity of some software providers is widely acknowledged in educational institutions, and many of the software products are generic enough to be able to demonstrate the required cartographic principles in a non-partisan manner. However, in many cases employers are seeking specific training skills in particular packages and this can be difficult to provide within a formal educational programme. Recent additions to the 'wish-list' of employers, however, have been related to abilities in coding and computer programming. Luckily, the most commonly sought skill is ability to write code in Python or Javascript. These are open source, rather than a commercial, products, and hence can be acquired by any educational establishment. The use of open source software and datasets in geospatial and cartographic education is becoming increasingly important, and their effective integration with traditional (and indeed contemporary) curricula in cartographic education is clearly a further challenge. This paper has outlined a number of challenges facing cartographic education. Like the wider discipline, education in cartography is delivered by capable and dedicated individuals, each with interests in the development of the discipline in an increasingly diverse and varied educational arena. The Commission is intent on addressing the challenges outlined, promoting effective and high-quality cartographic education.
TheRevista Scientific of theInstituto Internacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico Educativo (INDTEC, C.A.), presents its sixth editorial edition where fifteen works can be found in response to the search for interest in the investigation, analysis and interpretation of different topics.In this way, in a first section, the educational axes constituted in questions of questions respond to: the Teacher Training in Techniques applied to the Teaching of Mathematics in Secondary Education; Reading Alternatives considered for the Strengthening of Educational Quality; Advertising Effectiveness for Road Safety; Ecuadorian Education in English and their language skills in rural students; Didactic Strategies to improve Reading and Writing; the Importance of the Planning of the Environmental Education in the University Scope considered from a Transdisciplinary Perspective; the Utility of Tics in the Training of University Teaching Advisors; the Complementary Didactic Material for the Learning of Rational Mechanical Curriculum Unit 10 and the Tutor Role in the context of virtual learning.In continuity, other articles stand out, such as the Environmental Actions for the Conservation of Hydrographic Basins; the application of the Educaplay Computer Technique as a strategy for the learning of biomolecules in high school students of the Andrés F. Córdova Educational Unit; Program for Parents in the Internet use of their children; Bamboo Cultivation considered a renewable natural resource for reforestation in Quebrada Echeverría and corporate social responsibility in the context of labor relations in SMEs.In a second section, five essays induce us to reflect on perspectives of analysis in response to: Technological Imbrications in Pedagogical Praxis; Advanced Management in the Process of University Scientific Research; the Training in Citizen Culture Space and its importance for the Social Responsibility of Business Organizations; the Formative Vision of the Quantitative Methodology in Education; Neurosciences versus Vitalogy Emerging Paradigms in Millennium Management.Each of these articles struggles in post questioning as reflections of the interest placed on research considered an activity, which from a premise that asks about a topic, leads to multiple causal relationships and searches for answers; Therefore, they should be instruments conducive to the permanent knowledge of the entire academic community, allowing to stimulate and induce new experiences.This leads us to think that, teachers in a firm race for improvement, we must not engage in reductionist and repetitive practices of research results previously made, but in an exploration for new answers in the production of knowledge.Aware of the limitations and the reality of the social and political context of each of the Latin American countries, our editorial and bibliographic contribution aims to lead us to reflect on the crucial task of teachers committed to their social function and research as a transverse link for educational production and propagation. It is from this weighting, that could be aroused alternatives that overcome thinking at the state level. ; La Revista SCIENTIFIC del Instituto Internacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico Educativo (INDTEC, C.A.), presenta su sexta edición editorial en donde pueden hallarse quince obras en respuesta a la búsqueda del interés puesta en la indagación, análisis e interpretación de diferentes temáticas. De esta forma, en una primera sección, los ejes educativos constituidos en temas de cuestionamientos responden a: la Formación Docente en Técnicas aplicadas a la Enseñanza de la Matemática en la Educación Segundaria; las Alternativas de la Lectura consideradas para el Fortalecimiento de la Calidad Educativa; la Eficacia publicitaria para la Seguridad Vial; la Educación Ecuatoriana en inglés y sus competencias lingüísticas en los estudiantes rurales; Estrategias Didácticas para mejorar la Lectura y Escritura; la Importancia de la Planificación de la Educación Ambiental en el Ámbito Universitario considerada desde una Perspectiva Transdisciplinaria; la Utilidad de las Tics en la Formación de Asesores Docentes Universitarios; el Material Didáctico Complementario para el Aprendizaje de Unidad Curricular Mecánica Racional 10 y el Rol del Tutor en el contexto del aprendizaje virtual. En continuidad, sobresalen otros artículos como las Acciones Ambientalistas para la Conservación de las Cuencas Hidrográficas; la aplicación de la Técnica Informática Educaplay como estrategia para el aprendizaje de las biomoléculas en estudiantes de bachillerato de la Unidad Educativa Andrés F. Córdova; Programa para Padres en el uso de Internet de sus hijos; el Cultivo de bambú considerado un recurso natural renovable para la reforestación en la Quebrada Echeverría y la responsabilidad social empresarial en el contexto de las relaciones laborales en las Pymes. En una segunda sección, cinco ensayos nos inducen a reflexionar sobre perspectivas de análisis en respuesta a: las Imbricaciones Tecnológicas en la Praxis Pedagógica; la Gerencia Avanzada en el Proceso de Investigación Científica Universitaria; la Formación en Cultura Ciudadana Espacio y su importancia para la Responsabilidad Social de las Organizaciones Empresariales; la Visión Formativa de la Metodología Cuantitativa en la Educación; las Neurociencias versus la Vitalogía Paradigmas Emergentes en la Gerencia del Milenio. Cada uno de estos artículos brega en post de cuestionamientos como reflejos del interés puesto en la investigación considerada una actividad, que a partir de una premisa cual pregunta sobre una temática, conlleva a múltiples relaciones causales y búsquedas de respuestas; por lo cual, debieran ser instrumentos conducentes al conocimiento permanente de toda la comunidad académica, permitiendo estimular e inducir a nuevas experiencias. Esto nos dirige a pensar que, los docentes en firme carrera por el perfeccionamiento, no debemos incurrir en prácticas reduccionistas y repetitivas de resultados de pesquisas previamente realizadas, sino en una exploración por nuevas respuestas en la producción del conocimiento. Conscientes de las limitaciones y de la realidad del contexto político social de cada uno de los países de América Latina, nuestro aporte editorial y bibliográfico pretende conducir a la reflexión sobre la crucial tarea del docente comprometido con su función social y la investigación como un eslabón trascedente para la producción y propagación educativa. Es a partir de esta ponderación, que se podrían suscitar alternativas superadoras de pensamiento a nivel estatal.
TheRevista Scientific of theInstituto Internacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico Educativo (INDTEC, C.A.), presents its sixth editorial edition where fifteen works can be found in response to the search for interest in the investigation, analysis and interpretation of different topics.In this way, in a first section, the educational axes constituted in questions of questions respond to: the Teacher Training in Techniques applied to the Teaching of Mathematics in Secondary Education; Reading Alternatives considered for the Strengthening of Educational Quality; Advertising Effectiveness for Road Safety; Ecuadorian Education in English and their language skills in rural students; Didactic Strategies to improve Reading and Writing; the Importance of the Planning of the Environmental Education in the University Scope considered from a Transdisciplinary Perspective; the Utility of Tics in the Training of University Teaching Advisors; the Complementary Didactic Material for the Learning of Rational Mechanical Curriculum Unit 10 and the Tutor Role in the context of virtual learning.In continuity, other articles stand out, such as the Environmental Actions for the Conservation of Hydrographic Basins; the application of the Educaplay Computer Technique as a strategy for the learning of biomolecules in high school students of the Andrés F. Córdova Educational Unit; Program for Parents in the Internet use of their children; Bamboo Cultivation considered a renewable natural resource for reforestation in Quebrada Echeverría and corporate social responsibility in the context of labor relations in SMEs.In a second section, five essays induce us to reflect on perspectives of analysis in response to: Technological Imbrications in Pedagogical Praxis; Advanced Management in the Process of University Scientific Research; the Training in Citizen Culture Space and its importance for the Social Responsibility of Business Organizations; the Formative Vision of the Quantitative Methodology in Education; Neurosciences versus Vitalogy Emerging Paradigms in Millennium Management.Each of these articles struggles in post questioning as reflections of the interest placed on research considered an activity, which from a premise that asks about a topic, leads to multiple causal relationships and searches for answers; Therefore, they should be instruments conducive to the permanent knowledge of the entire academic community, allowing to stimulate and induce new experiences.This leads us to think that, teachers in a firm race for improvement, we must not engage in reductionist and repetitive practices of research results previously made, but in an exploration for new answers in the production of knowledge.Aware of the limitations and the reality of the social and political context of each of the Latin American countries, our editorial and bibliographic contribution aims to lead us to reflect on the crucial task of teachers committed to their social function and research as a transverse link for educational production and propagation. It is from this weighting, that could be aroused alternatives that overcome thinking at the state level. ; La Revista SCIENTIFIC del Instituto Internacional de Investigación y Desarrollo Tecnológico Educativo (INDTEC, C.A.), presenta su sexta edición editorial en donde pueden hallarse quince obras en respuesta a la búsqueda del interés puesta en la indagación, análisis e interpretación de diferentes temáticas. De esta forma, en una primera sección, los ejes educativos constituidos en temas de cuestionamientos responden a: la Formación Docente en Técnicas aplicadas a la Enseñanza de la Matemática en la Educación Segundaria; las Alternativas de la Lectura consideradas para el Fortalecimiento de la Calidad Educativa; la Eficacia publicitaria para la Seguridad Vial; la Educación Ecuatoriana en inglés y sus competencias lingüísticas en los estudiantes rurales; Estrategias Didácticas para mejorar la Lectura y Escritura; la Importancia de la Planificación de la Educación Ambiental en el Ámbito Universitario considerada desde una Perspectiva Transdisciplinaria; la Utilidad de las Tics en la Formación de Asesores Docentes Universitarios; el Material Didáctico Complementario para el Aprendizaje de Unidad Curricular Mecánica Racional 10 y el Rol del Tutor en el contexto del aprendizaje virtual. En continuidad, sobresalen otros artículos como las Acciones Ambientalistas para la Conservación de las Cuencas Hidrográficas; la aplicación de la Técnica Informática Educaplay como estrategia para el aprendizaje de las biomoléculas en estudiantes de bachillerato de la Unidad Educativa Andrés F. Córdova; Programa para Padres en el uso de Internet de sus hijos; el Cultivo de bambú considerado un recurso natural renovable para la reforestación en la Quebrada Echeverría y la responsabilidad social empresarial en el contexto de las relaciones laborales en las Pymes. En una segunda sección, cinco ensayos nos inducen a reflexionar sobre perspectivas de análisis en respuesta a: las Imbricaciones Tecnológicas en la Praxis Pedagógica; la Gerencia Avanzada en el Proceso de Investigación Científica Universitaria; la Formación en Cultura Ciudadana Espacio y su importancia para la Responsabilidad Social de las Organizaciones Empresariales; la Visión Formativa de la Metodología Cuantitativa en la Educación; las Neurociencias versus la Vitalogía Paradigmas Emergentes en la Gerencia del Milenio. Cada uno de estos artículos brega en post de cuestionamientos como reflejos del interés puesto en la investigación considerada una actividad, que a partir de una premisa cual pregunta sobre una temática, conlleva a múltiples relaciones causales y búsquedas de respuestas; por lo cual, debieran ser instrumentos conducentes al conocimiento permanente de toda la comunidad académica, permitiendo estimular e inducir a nuevas experiencias. Esto nos dirige a pensar que, los docentes en firme carrera por el perfeccionamiento, no debemos incurrir en prácticas reduccionistas y repetitivas de resultados de pesquisas previamente realizadas, sino en una exploración por nuevas respuestas en la producción del conocimiento. Conscientes de las limitaciones y de la realidad del contexto político social de cada uno de los países de América Latina, nuestro aporte editorial y bibliográfico pretende conducir a la reflexión sobre la crucial tarea del docente comprometido con su función social y la investigación como un eslabón trascedente para la producción y propagación educativa. Es a partir de esta ponderación, que se podrían suscitar alternativas superadoras de pensamiento a nivel estatal.
This article focuses on the assessment of the size of the public sector, which goes back to the assessment of the degree of state participation in the domestic economy and remains controversial. Such assessments are often carried out without the presentation of threshold criteria and without evaluation of its effectiveness and combination with other institutional sectors. At the same time, it is obvious that the ratio between the public and other (non-state) sectors refers to the issue of strategic importance, to the issue of the effectiveness of the country's economic system in its integrity, and therefore requires theoretical, methodological and practical resolution.The objectives of the research are: (1) to determine the relative scale and efficiency of the public sector functioning in the national economy, to establish minimum necessary and maximum possible values of its scale; (2) to determine the size and establish a measure of harmonious combination of institutional components of the domestic economy aimed at maximizing its efficiency.Materials and methods. Theoretical foundations of the research have been developed on the basis of the authors' preferences regarding the results of conceptual and applied developments of domestic scientists in the field of philosophy, mathematics, economics and sociology, as well as the practice of structural and spectral analysis in their subject areas. The analysis of parameters (indicators) of the state and other institutional sectors of the national economy was carried out (mainly) on the basis of statistical data of ROSSTAT for 2006-2016, materials of official reports and developments of analytical centers. The methodological basis of the research is formed by works on modular theory of society, public sector economy, and structural harmony of systems. Tabular methods of visualization of research results and statistical methods of source data processing were used. Standard packages of Microsoft Office application programs were used for solving research tasks.Results. It is shown that against the background of a decrease in relative resource capacity, the public sector over the period under review does not show an increase in the degree of government participation in the Russian economy. At the same time, performance indicators of the public sector did not show not only worse, but also worsening values, both as compared with the private sector and the economy as a whole. Criteria of minimum required and maximum possible scale of the public sector have been defined and it is shown that as of 2016 the integral indicator of the scale of the public sector of the Russian economy does not reach the minimum required value. A quantitative model for optimizing the sectoral composition of the national economy has been constructed. System solutions are proposed and a method for determining the share of institutional sectors in the structure of the national economy is given.Conclusion. The article deals with the issues of state participation in the economy, defines the scale and efficiency of the public sector in the national economy. It is noted that within the limits of maximally liberal and maximally ethical ideological statements the task of optimization of neither the size of the public sector of the national economy nor the harmonious combination of its sectoral composition find a satisfactory solution. The analysis of institutional composition of the national economy has been carried out and the way of optimization of its structure has been shown, the direction of the state economic policy on optimization of institutional structure of the national economy has been determined. Orientation of economic policy towards achievement of optimal structure (harmony) of economic system (as well as the very movement towards it) will create conditions not only for increase of its efficiency, but also will allow to satisfy economic needs of socially-professional groups to the fullest extent, and society as a whole will successfully develop. ; Настоящая статья посвящена оценке масштабов государственного сектора, которая восходит к оценке степени участия государства в отечественной экономике и остается дискуссионным. Такие оценки часто осуществляются без предъявления критериев предельных значений и вне оценок его эффективности и сочетания с иными институциональными секторами. При этом очевидно, что соотношение государственного и иных (негосударственных) секторов относится к вопросу стратегического значения, к вопросу эффективности экономической системы страны в ее целостности, поэтому требует теоретического, методологического и практического разрешения.Целями исследования являются: (1) определение относительных масштабов и эффективности функционирования государственного сектора в национальной экономике, установление минимально необходимых и предельно возможных значений его масштабов; (2) определение размеров и установление меры гармоничного сочетания институциональных компонентов отечественной экономики, направленные на максимизацию ее эффективности. Материалы и методы. Теоретические основания исследования выработаны на основе предпочтений авторов относительно результатов концептуальных и прикладных разработок отечественных ученых в области философии, математики, экономики и социологии, а также практики структурного и спектрального анализа в их предметных областях. Анализ параметров (показателей) государственного и иных институциональных секторов отечественной экономики выполнен (преимущественно) на базе статистических данных Росстата за 2006-2016 годы, материалах официальных докладов и разработках аналитических центров. Методологическую основу исследования составляют работы по модульной теории социума, экономике государственного сектора, структурной гармонии систем. Применялись табличные способы визуализации результатов исследования, статистические методы обработки исходных данных. Для решения задач исследования использовались стандартные пакеты прикладных программ Microsoft Office.Результаты. Показано, что на фоне снижения относительной ресурсной мощности, госсектор за рассматриваемый период не показывает роста степени участия государства в российской экономике. При этом показатели эффективности госсектора не демонстрировали не только худших, но и ухудшающихся значений, как в сравнении с негосударственным сектором, так и с экономикой в целом. Определены критерии минимально необходимого и максимально возможного масштабов государственного сектора и показано, что по состоянию на 2016 год интегральный показатель масштабов госсектора российской экономики не достигает минимально необходимой величины. Построена количественная модель оптимизации секторального состава национальной экономики. Предложены системные решения и дан способ определения долей институциональных секторов в структуре отечественной экономики.Заключение. В статье рассматриваются вопросы участия государства в экономике, определяются масштабы и эффективность государственного сектора в национальной экономике. Установлено, что в рамках предельно либеральных и предельно этатических идеологических установок задача оптимизации ни величины государственного сектора отечественной экономики, ни гармоничного сочетания ее секторального состава не находят удовлетворительного решения. Выполнен анализ институционального состава национальной экономики и показан способ оптимизация ее строения, определена направленность экономической политики государства по оптимизации институциональной структуры национальной экономики. Ориентация экономической политики на достижение оптимальной структуры (гармонии) экономической системы (как и само движение к ней) создаст условия не только для повышения ее эффективности, но и позволит наиболее полно удовлетворять экономические потребности социально-профессиональных групп, а обществу в целом успешно развиваться.
Starting from the pioneering papers by Charnes, Cooper and Rhodes (CCR model) and Banker, Charnes and Cooper (BCC model), a large number of papers concerning Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) with outputs uncertainty appeared in the literature. In particular, chance-constrained programming is the most used technique to include noise variations in data and to solve data envelopment analysis problems with uncertainty in data. Chance-constrained programming admits random data variations and permits constraint violations up to specified probability limits, allowing linear deterministic equivalent formulations in case a normal distribution of the data uncertainty is assumed. The standard DEA models rely on the assumption that inputs are minimized and outputs are maximized. However, both desirable and undesirable (e.g., pollutants or wastes) output factors may be present. The undesirable and desirable outputs should be treated differently when we evaluate the production performance: if inefficiency exists in the production, the undesirable pollutants should be reduced to improve efficiency. In order to include undesirable factors in DEA models, according to the literature, two different approaches can be used to model undesirable factors: one group of DEA models treats them as inputs, whereas a second group considers them as undesirable outputs. DEA models with undesirable factors are particularly suitable for models where several production inputs and desirable and undesirable outputs are taken into account, in order to provide an eco-efficiency measure. In this Ph.D thesis alternative DEA models, which consider both uncertain and undesirable outputs, are proposed and studied. In particular, in the first part of this thesis two different models with uncertain outputs and deterministic inputs are proposed with the aim to move away the classical chance-constrained method and to obtain a more accurate DMU ranking whatever situation occurs. Specifically speaking, the proposed models remove the hypothesis of normal data distribution and use a scenario generation approach to include data perturbations. For the sake of completeness, these models are compared with two further ones based on an expected value approach, where uncertainty is managed by means of the expected values of random factors both in the objective function and in the constraints. Deeply speaking, the main difference between the two proposed models and the expected value approaches lies in their mathematical formulation. In the new models, based on the scenario generation approach, the constraints concerning efficiency level are expressed for each scenario. On the other hand, in the expected value models the constraints are satisfied in expected value. As a consequence, the models proposed in the thesis result to be more selective in finding a ranking of efficiency, thus becoming useful strategic management tools aimed to determine a restrictive efficiency score ranking. In the second part of this study, we focus on environmental policy and eco-efficiency. Nowadays, one of the most intensively discussed concepts in the international political debate is, in fact, the concept of sustainability and the need for eco-efficient solutions that enable the production of goods and services with less energy and resources and with less waste and emissions (eco-efficiency). In particular, we consider the environmental impact of CO2 in cement and clinker production processes. Cement industry is, in fact, responsible for approximately 5% of the current worldwide CO2 emissions. DEA models can provide an appropriate methodological approach for developing eco-efficiency indicators. A cross-country comparison of the eco-efficiency level of the worldwide cement industry is presented by applying both a data envelopment analysis and a directional distance function approach. These tools result to be particularly suitable for models where several production inputs and desirable and undesirable outputs are taken into account. Strong and weak disposability assumptions are analyzed in order to evaluate the impact of environmental regulations interpreted as the cost of regulation. The few papers appeared in the literature of eco-efficiency in cement production analyze the emission performance trends only from an interstate point of view. In this thesis a worldwide study has been carried on, covering 90% of the world's cement production by means of 21 countries, European (EU) and non-European (non-EU) ones. The obtained results show that the efficiency level mainly depends on decisions to invest in alternative raw materials and alternative fuels, both in the case of regulated countries and in the case of voluntary emission-trading schemes. This study highlights, both at national and international levels, the possibility of reducing CO2 emissions and expanding cement production. The use of alternative raw materials, alternative fuels and the possibility of producing blended cements, which require less energy consumption and reduce pollutant emissions, seem to be appropriate means. Environmental regulations can provide incentives in terms of tax exemption benefits or more restrictive pollutant limits. Finally, we try to answer to the following questions: do undesirable factors modify the efficiency levels of cement industry? Is it reasonable to omit CO2 emissions in evaluating the performances of the cement sector in different countries? In order to answer to these questions, alternative formulations of standard data envelopment analysis model and directional distance function are compared both in presence and in absence of undesirable factors. This analysis shows that the presence of undesirable factors greatly affects efficiency levels. Efficiency levels are influenced by investments in best available technologies and by the utilization of alternative fuels and raw materials in cement and clinker production processes. The original results of this Ph.D. thesis have been collected in the following research papers: • Riccardi R. and R. Toninelli. Data Envelopment Analysis with outputs uncertainty. Journal of Information & Optimization Sciences, to appear. • Riccardi R., Oggioni G. and R. Toninelli. The cement industry: eco-efficiency country comparison using Data Envelopment Analysis. Journal of Statistics & Management Systems, accepted for publication. • Riccardi R., Oggioni G. and R. Toninelli. Eco-efficiency of the world cement industry: A Data Envelopment Analysis. Energy Policy, Vol. 39, Issue 5, p. 2842-2854, 2011, available online at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2011.02.057 • Riccardi R., Oggioni G. and R. Toninelli. Evaluating the efficiency of the cement sector in presence of undesirable output: a world based Data Envelopment Analysis. Technical Report n. 344, Department of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, University of Pisa, 2011, submitted to Resource and Energy Economics. The research topic considered in this thesis shows many different lines for future developments. In particular, from a theoretical point of view, starting from the models proposed in Riccardi and Toninelli (2011), we are studying for a bi-objective like DEA formulation where both uncertainty desirable and undesirable factor are taken into account. As regards the applicative aspects, we are also studying and applying bootstrap techniques to manage uncertainty and generate empirical distributions of efficiency scores, in order to capture and analyze the sensitivity of samples with respect to changes in the estimated frontier.
10/28/2020 Professor Asao Inoue selected for top teaching award – Fresno State News www.fresnostatenews.com/2012/05/01/professor-asao-inoue-selected-for-top-teaching-award/ 1/6 PROFESSOR ASAO INOUE SELECTED FOR TOP TEACHINGAWARD Home | PRESS RELEASES | Professor Asao Inoue selected for top teaching award Previous Next Professor Asao Inoue, an associate professor of English, has beenawarded the top teaching honor at Fresno State. William A. Covino, provost and vice president for Academic Aairs, namedInoue as recipient of the 2012 Excellence in Teaching Award. The Provost's Awards announced Tuesday, May 1, also honored: Amanda Adams, assistant professor of Psychology, recipient of theFaculty Service Award Saúl Jiménez-Sandoval, professor of Modern and ClassicalLanguages, Gradvuate Teaching and Mentoring Award William Bommer, professor of Management, Research, Scholarshipand Creative Accomplishment Award Bryan Berrett, associate professor of Communicative Disorders andDeaf Studies, Technology in Education Award. Search . SECTIONS ACADEMICS CAMPUS &COMMUNITY RESEARCH ALUMNI PRESS RELEASES FEATURED VIDEOS NEWS SOURCES Fresno StateMagazine CommunityNewsletter Fresno State The Collegian Bulldog Blog ACADEMICS CAMPUS & COMMUNITY RESEARCH ALUMNI ATHLETICS FEATURED VIDEOS ABOUT PRESS RELEASES MEDIA GUIDE ARCHIVES10/28/2020 Professor Asao Inoue selected for top teaching award – Fresno State News www.fresnostatenews.com/2012/05/01/professor-asao-inoue-selected-for-top-teaching-award/ 2/6 Four faculty members received the Promising New Faculty award,recognizing exemplary achievements in teaching, research/creativeactivities and/or service among nontenured, tenure-track faculty. Thehonorees are: Juan-Carlos Gonzalez, assistant professor of Educational Researchand Administration. Elizabeth Payne, assistant professor of Theatre Arts. Jason Bush, assistant professor of Biology. Kim Youngwook, assistant professor of Electrical and ComputerEngineering. Asao Inoue , associate professor of English, receives the Excellence inTeaching Award. He has been at Fresno State since 2007. He approachesthe challenge of teaching high-level writing skills with an innovativepedagogy that emphasizes students' roles in their own education. Hefrequently asks students to evaluate and challenge traditionalinstructional environments and to examine alterna tive teaching methodsthat foster greater individual success. One important aspect of histeaching philosophy is getting students to talk about their writing inrhetorical and reexive ways. Inoue's on-campus service includes work asorganizer and facilitator for the Symposium on Remediation in Englishand as a committee member for the Improving Student Writing Initiative,Criterion As sessment Committee. His community service includes work ascurriculum designer, teacher, and program assessment coordinator forUniversity 20 (Academic Reading course), Summer Bridge Program, andthe Educational Opportunity Program. He has active memberships in theCon ference on College Composition and Communication, NationalCouncil of Teachers of English, Asian American Studies Association,Rhetoric Society of America, and Council of Writing ProgramAdministrators. In 2000, he received the Faculty Development SeminarAward. His national hon ors and awards include the Ford FoundationPredoctoral Fellowship for Minorities in 2003. Amanda Adams , assistant professor of Psychology, receives the FacultyService Award. She has been at Fresno State since 2006. Her passion forhelping families who have children with autism drives her to createopportunities for students' development, both as practitioners of appliedbehavior analysis and as researchers that disseminate new knowledge.She has worked tirelessly to develop and secure support for the CentralCalifornia Autism Center (CCAC) on campus. The center pro videsopportunities for students to learn to apply Applied Behavior Analysisprinciples, conduct research, and learn important professional skills.Adams provides important service to the local community by educatingpractitioners who treat autism, families who are aected by autism, andpolicy makers who develop programs and provide nancial support fortreating autism. For four years, she has worked with students to plan and Go Bulldogs Videos Social MediaDirectory 10/28/2020 Professor Asao Inoue selected for top teaching award – Fresno State News www.fresnostatenews.com/2012/05/01/professor-asao-inoue-selected-for-top-teaching-award/ 3/6 implement Autism Awareness Field Day. She is involved in otherawareness/fundraising events, including the CCAC Gala Fundraiser andannual golf tournament. She is a member of the California Chapter of theAssociation for Applied Behav ior Analysis and received the Provost'sAward for Promising New Faculty in 2009. Saúl Jiménez-Sandoval , professor of Modern and Classical Languagesand Literatures, receives the Graduate Teaching and Mentoring Award. Hehas been at Fresno State since 2000 and has a well-established record ofexceptional graduate teaching. Jiménez-Sandoval has been a driving forcein the development of the Spanish M.A. curriculum, personally developingand teaching ve new seminars for the program. In his teaching, hestresses the basic human emotions of love, despair, and hope. He isdescribed as a prolic thesis director and has served on the Spanish M.A.exam com mittee each semester since his arrival. Jiménez-Sandovalbelieves in students' ability to push them selves and excel. His studentshave been accepted to Ph.D. programs at UCLA, Irvine, Berkeley, Stanford,Arizona, British Columbia, and Alberta. He was the recipient of the 2003-04 Research, Scholarship, and Creative Activity Award. Through hisexemplary scholarship, he serves as a model of the teacher-scholar tostudents and faculty. His public lectures include the 2005 InternationalCoee Hour presentation on the sacred role of poetry in Aztec culture,and his articles include his recent publication on the canonical Mexicancoming-of-age novel, Las batallas en el desierto William Bommer , professor of Management, receives the Research,Scholarship and Creative Ac complishments Award. He has been at FresnoState since 2008. Bommer uses his research on a regular basis in theclassroom. His research spans a number of topics in the eld of manage -ment and applied psychology. Two primary areas of research for which heis known internationally are the areas of transformational leadership andorganizational citizenship. Widely published, his research is impressive.His work is commonly cited in college texts and is regularly assigned indoctoral-level seminars. In the past two years, he has been the principalinvestigator on three di erent external grants. These grants have totaledmore than $600,000. His work has been used for doctoral training in theelds of management, psychology, marketing, education, andmanagement information systems. He also served as the outside experton two dierent dissertation committees in Australia. Bryan Berrett , associate professor of Communicative Disorders and DeafStudies, receives the Technology in Education Award. He has been atFresno State since 1998. In 2010, he was one of four CSU faculty to beawarded Sony's multimedia award. Berrett has demonstratedtremendous leadership in the use of technology at Fresno State,particularly in the development of online classes. He has established a10/28/2020 Professor Asao Inoue selected for top teaching award – Fresno State News www.fresnostatenews.com/2012/05/01/professor-asao-inoue-selected-for-top-teaching-award/ 4/6 remarkable track record of innovative and practical uses of technol ogy.For example, over the last several years, he has been the recipient ofmultiple Digital Campus grants to convert traditional classes into onlinecourse oerings. He coordinates the sign language interpreting program,which now has approximately 30 percent of its coursework oered online.He also has integrated the use of audio and visual multimedia into theAmerican Sign Language computer lab. Most recently, Berrett has beenthe department's leader in converting the education graduate programinto an 80 percent online 20 percent face-to-face format. Promising New Faculty Awards 2011-2012 Juan-Carlos Gonzalez , assistant professor of Educational Research andAdministration, has been at Fresno State since 2009. A skilled professorand scholar, he has fully engaged in service to the university and thecommunity. He serves on multiple editorial boards for peer-reviewedjournals and as a proposal reviewer on a national level. He has beenactive in accreditation activities, chaired the International Committee, andorganized a faculty study trip to Costa Rica. Gonzalez has mentored aMcNair Scholar and worked with the Central California Children's Instituteon research projects. He is an enthusiastic participant in the life of theKremen School and the university as a whole. In addition to his regularcourses, he has taught classes in qualitative research methods and criticalrace theory in education. He has already published four articles andpresented at 23 conferences in the United States. He has also presentedin China and in Mexico. Gonzalez has received numerous awards andhonors, including the Dandoyd Research Award for spring 2012. Elizabeth Payne , assistant professor of Theatre Arts, has been at FresnoState since 2008. A highly tal ented designer, she continues to workprofessionally in theatre in New York and in television, where she hasconsulted on the Conan O'Brien Show. She brings to Fresno State herconsiderable skills in design, teaching, mentorship, and communityoutreach. She is a demanding teacher who has transformed the existingcostume design and technology courses and created new ones, such asCostume History and Design Focus on Film. Seamlessly integrating socialand political issues into her discussion of fashion, she demonstrates tostudents why broad cultural knowledge is crucial to successful designwork. Her classes bring together academics and practical, skill-basedtraining. Payne has also been proactive in generating grants, including aFresno State Enhancing Student Information Literacy Grant, which sheintegrated into her Costume History class. In the area of mentorship, shehas had considerable impact — her door is open to all. She is the recipientof the 2012 Fresno County Board of Education Artist in Residence Grant.10/28/2020 Professor Asao Inoue selected for top teaching award – Fresno State News www.fresnostatenews.com/2012/05/01/professor-asao-inoue-selected-for-top-teaching-award/ 5/6 By llarson | May 1st, 2012 | Categories: PRESS RELEASES | 3 Comments SHARE THIS STORY, CHOOSE YOUR PLATFORM! RELATED POSTS Jason Bush , assistant professor of Biology, has been at Fresno State since2006. Bush has enriched the university environment through his serviceand demonstrated excellence and leadership within the Biol ogyDepartment, the College of Science and Mathematics, and the university,with service on the Cur riculum Committee and the Graduate ScholarshipCommittee. Bush is one of the leading researchers in cancer andproteomic research. He has made 31 presentations since his arrival.Through Dr. Bush's 20 national collaborations, he has been able to extendFresno State resources to develop a broader and resource-richenvironment for his students. He has received $1.5 million in nationalgrants from ve externally funded proposals, including NIH, AmericanCancer Society, Keep-A-Breast Foundation, Susan G. Komen for the Cure,and CSUPERB. Bush was also a co-principal investigator in the $4.5 millionRIMI grant for the development of a research facility in the Central Valley.In addition to ex ternal funding, he has augmented his research with$120,000 in internal grants. He is a consultant and grant reviewer for theSusan G. Komen for the Cure, as well as an active member of theUniversity of California, San Francisco-Fresno Research Group. Youngwook Kim , assistant professor of Electrical and ComputerEngineering, has been at Fresno State since 2008, demonstrating hisdedication to high quality teaching, research and creative activities, andstudent involvement in his research. He has taught a wide repertoire ofundergraduate and graduate courses focusing primarily on highfrequency electronics. Through online methodology, he provides studentswith the opportunity to learn at their own pace. Kim's research focuses onelectromagnetics and the application of Doppler and ultra-wide bandradar systems to human detection applications, such as security,surveillance operations, and search-and-rescue missions. While at FresnoState, he has published several journal papers and six conference papers.His research totals $167,659 in external funding. Currently, Kim ispreparing a proposal on data fusion and target sensing models in wirelesssensor network environments. He is also serving as a grant developmentchair for the Untenured Faculty Organization and is a member of theProfessional Development Committee, the Honors Committee, and theResearch and Grant Review Committee within the Lyles College ofEngineering.10/28/2020 Professor Asao Inoue selected for top teaching award – Fresno State News www.fresnostatenews.com/2012/05/01/professor-asao-inoue-selected-for-top-teaching-award/ 6/6 SAÚL JIMÉNEZ-SANDOVALAPPOINTEDINTERIM PRESIDENTOF FRESNO STATE October 28th, 2020 | 0Comments TRANSPORTATIONINSTITUTE RELEASESPROMISINGFINDINGS OFCOVID-19 PUBLICTRANSIT STUDY October 28th, 2020 | 0Comments NURSING MUNIT CONTFREE HEALSERVICES OWEST FRES October 27th, Comments Fresno State News Hub isthe primary source ofinformation about currentevents aecting CaliforniaState University, Fresno, itsstudents, faculty and sta;providing an archive ofnews articles, videos andphotos, as well as links tomajor resources on campusas a service to theuniversity community. CONTACT US CALIFORNIA STATEUNIVERSITY, FRESNO 5241 N. Maple Ave. Fresno, CA 93740 P: 559.278.4240 Email Us SECTIONS ACADEMICS CAMPUS & COMMUNITY RESEARCH ALUMNI PRESS RELEASES FEATURED VIDEOS Sign up for theCommunity Newsletter Fresno State NewsArchives Copyright 2012 - 2016 Avada | All Rights Reserved | Powered by WordPress | Theme Fusion
In: Decision analysis: a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS, Band 7, Heft 4, S. 404-410
ISSN: 1545-8504
Ali Abbas (" From the Editors… ") is an associate professor in the Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering at the University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign. He received an M.S. in electrical engineering (1998), an M.S. in engineering economic systems and operations research (2001), a Ph.D. in management science and engineering (2003), and a Ph.D. (minor) in electrical engineering, all from Stanford University. He worked as a lecturer in the Department of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford and worked in Schlumberger Oilfield Services from 1991 to 1997, where he held several international positions in wireline logging, operations management, and international training. He has also worked on several consulting projects for mergers and acquisitions in California, and cotaught several executive seminars on decision analysis at Strategic Decisions Group in Menlo Park, California. His research interests include utility theory, decision making with incomplete information and preferences, dynamic programming, and information theory. Dr. Abbas is a senior member of the Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers (IEEE) and a member of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). He is also an associate editor for Decision Analysis and Operations Research and coeditor of the DA column in education for Decision Analysis Today. Address: Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, 117 Transportation Building, MC-238, 104 South Mathews Avenue, Urbana, IL 61801; e-mail: aliabbas@uiuc.edu . Matthew D. Bailey (" Eliciting Patients' Revealed Preferences: An Inverse Markov Decision Process Approach ") is an assistant professor of business analytics and operations in the School of Management at Bucknell University, and he is an adjunct research investigator with Geisinger Health System. He received his Ph.D. in industrial and operations engineering from the University of Michigan. His primary research interest is in sequential decision making under uncertainty with applications to health-care operations and medical decision making. He is a member of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) and the Institute of Industrial Engineers (IIE). Address: School of Management, Bucknell University, 308 Taylor Hall, Lewisburg, PA 17837; e-mail: matt.bailey@bucknell.edu . Anthony M. Barrett (" Cost Effectiveness of On-Site Chlorine Generation for Chlorine Truck Attack Prevention ") is a risk analyst at ABS Consulting in Arlington, Virginia. He holds a Ph.D. in engineering and public policy from Carnegie Mellon University, and he also was a postdoctoral research associate at the Homeland Security Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) at the University of Southern California. His research interests include risk analysis, risk management, and public policies in a wide variety of areas, including terrorism, hazardous materials, energy and the environment, and natural hazards. Address: ABS Consulting, 1525 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 625, Arlington, VA 22209; e-mail: abarrett@absconsulting.com . Manel Baucells (" From the Editors… ") is a full professor at the Department of Economics and Business of Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona. He was an associate professor and head of the Managerial Decision Sciences Department at IESE Business School. He earned his Ph.D. in management from the University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA) and holds a degree in mechanical engineering from Polytechnic University of Catalonia (UPC). His research and consulting activities cover multiple areas of decision making including group decisions, consumer decisions, uncertainty, complexity, and psychology. He acts as associate editor for the top journals Management Science, Operations Research, and Decision Analysis. He has received various prizes and grants for his research. In 2001, he won the student paper competition of the Decision Analysis Society. He is the only IESE professor having won both the Excellence Research Award and the Excellence Teaching Award. He has been visiting professor at Duke University, UCLA, London Business School, and Erasmus University. Address: Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Ramon Trias Fargas 25-27, 08005 Barcelona, Spain; e-mail: manel.baucells@upf.edu . J. Eric Bickel (" Scoring Rules and Decision Analysis Education ") is an assistant professor in both the Operations Research/Industrial Engineering Group (Department of Mechanical Engineering) and the Department of Petroleum and Geosystems Engineering at the University of Texas at Austin. In addition, Professor Bickel is a fellow in both the Center for International Energy and Environmental Policy and the Center for Petroleum Asset Risk Management. He holds an M.S. and Ph.D. from the Department of Engineering-Economic Systems at Stanford University and a B.S. in mechanical engineering with a minor in economics from New Mexico State University. His research interests include the theory and practice of decision analysis and its application in the energy and climate-change arenas. His research has addressed the modeling of probabilistic dependence, value of information, scoring rules, calibration, risk preference, education, decision making in sports, and climate engineering as a response to climate change. Prior to joining the University of Texas at Austin, Professor Bickel was an assistant professor at Texas A&M University and a senior engagement manager for Strategic Decisions Group. He has consulted around the world in a range of industries, including oil and gas, electricity generation/transmission/delivery, energy trading and marketing, commodity and specialty chemicals, life sciences, financial services, and metals and mining. Address: Graduate Program in Operations Research, The University of Texas at Austin, 1 University Station, C2200, Austin, TX 78712-0292; e-mail: ebickel@mail.utexas.edu . Vicki M. Bier (" From the Editors… ") holds a joint appointment as a professor in the Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering and the Department of Engineering Physics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison, where she has directed the Center for Human Performance and Risk Analysis (formerly the Center for Human Performance in Complex Systems) since 1995. She has more than 20 years of experience in risk analysis for the nuclear power, chemical, petrochemical, and aerospace industries. Before returning to academia, she spent seven years as a consultant at Pickard, Lowe and Garrick, Inc. While there, her clients included the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the U.S. Department of Energy, and a number of nuclear utilities, and she prepared testimony for Atomic Safety and Licensing Board hearings on the safety of the Indian Point nuclear power plants. Dr. Bier's current research focuses on applications of risk analysis and related methods to problems of security and critical infrastructure protection, under support from the Department of Homeland Security. Dr. Bier received the Women's Achievement Award from the American Nuclear Society in 1993, and was elected a Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis in 1996, from which she received the Distinguished Achievement Award in 2007. She has written a number of papers and book chapters related to uncertainty analysis and decision making under uncertainty, and is the author of two scholarly review articles on risk communication. She served as the engineering editor for Risk Analysis from 1997 through 2001, and has served as a councilor of both the Society for Risk Analysis and the Decision Analysis Society, for which she is currently vice president and president elect. Dr. Bier has also served as a member of both the Radiation Advisory Committee and the Homeland Security Advisory Committee of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Science Advisory Board. Address: Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Wisconsin–Madison, 1513 University Avenue, Madison, WI 53706; e-mail: bier@engr.wisc.edu . Samuel E. Bodily (" Darden's Luckiest Student: Lessons from a High-Stakes Risk Experiment ") is the John Tyler Professor of Business Administration at the University of Virginia's Darden School of Business and has published textbooks and more than 40 articles in journals ranging from Harvard Business Review to Management Science. His publications relate to decision and risk analysis, forecasting, strategy modeling, revenue management, and eStrategy. He has edited special issues of Interfaces on decision and risk analysis and strategy modeling and analysis. Professor Bodily has published well over 100 cases, including a couple of the 10 best-selling cases at Darden. He received the Distinguished Casewriter Wachovia Award from Darden in 2005 and three other best case or research Wachovia awards. He is faculty leader for an executive program on Strategic Thinking and Action. He is the course head of, and teaches in, a highly valued first-year MBA course in decision analysis, has a successful second-year elective on Management Decision Models, and has taught eStrategy and Strategy. He is a past winner of the Decision Sciences International Instructional Award and has served as chair of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. He has taught numerous executive education programs for Darden and private companies, has consulted widely for business and government entities, and has served as an expert witness. Professor Bodily was on the faculties of MIT Sloan School of Management and Boston University and has been a visiting professor at INSEAD Singapore, Stanford University, and the University of Washington. He has a Ph.D. degree and an S.M. degree from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and a B.S. degree in physics from Brigham Young University. Address: Darden School of Business, 100 Darden Boulevard, Charlottesville, VA 22903; e-mail: bodilys@virginia.edu . David Budescu (" From the Editors… ") is the Anne Anastasi Professor of Psychometrics and Quantitative Psychology at Fordham University. He held positions at the University of Illinois and the University of Haifa, and visiting positions at Carnegie Mellon University, University of Gotheborg, the Kellog School at Northwestern University, the Hebrew University, and the Israel Institute of Technology (Technion). His research is in the areas of human judgment, individual and group decision making under uncertainty and with incomplete and vague information, and statistics for the behavioral and social sciences. He is or was on the editorial boards of Applied Psychological Measurement; Decision Analysis; Journal of Behavioral Decision Making; Journal of Mathematical Psychology; Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory and Cognition (2000–2003); Multivariate Behavioral Research; Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (1992–2002); and Psychological Methods (1996–2000). He is past president of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making (2000–2001), fellow of the Association for Psychological Science, and an elected member of the Society of Multivariate Experimental Psychologists. Address: Department of Psychology, Fordham University, Bronx, New York, NY 10458; e-mail: budescu@fordham.edu . John C. Butler (" From the Editors… ") is a clinical associate professor of finance and the academic director of the Energy Management and Innovation Center in the McCombs School of Business at the University of Texas at Austin, and the secretary/treasurer of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. Butler received his Ph.D. in management science and information systems from the University of Texas in 1998. His research interests involve the use of decision science models to support decision making, with a particular emphasis on decision and risk analysis models with multiple performance criteria. Butler has consulted with a number of organizations regarding the application of decision analysis tools to a variety of practical problems. Most of his consulting projects involve use of Visual Basic for Applications and Excel to implement complex decision science models in a user-friendly format. Address: Center for Energy Management and Innovation, McCombs School of Business, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712-1178; e-mail: john.butler2@mccombs.utexas.edu . Philippe Delquié (" From the Editors… ") is an associate professor of decision sciences at the George Washington University and holds a Ph.D. from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Professor Delquié's teaching and research are in decision, risk, and multicriteria analysis. His work focuses on the interplay of behavioral and normative theories of choice, with the aim of improving managerial decision making and risk taking. His research addresses issues in preference assessment, value of information, nonexpected utility models of choice under risk, and risk measures. Prior to joining the George Washington University, he held academic appointments at INSEAD, the University of Texas at Austin, and École Normale Supérieure, France, and visiting appointments at Duke University's Fuqua School of Business. Address: Department of Decision Sciences, George Washington University, Funger Hall, Suite 415, Washington, DC 20052; e-mail: delquie@gwu.edu . Zeynep Erkin (" Eliciting Patients' Revealed Preferences: An Inverse Markov Decision Process Approach ") is a Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Industrial Engineering at the University of Pittsburgh. She received her M.S. and B.S. degrees in industrial engineering from the University of Pittsburgh and Middle East Technical University, Turkey, in 2008 and 2006, respectively. Her research interests include maintenance optimization and medical decision making. Address: Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, 3600 O'Hara Street, Pittsburgh, PA 15261; e-mail: zee2@pitt.edu . Peter I. Frazier (" Paradoxes in Learning and the Marginal Value of Information ") is an assistant professor in the School of Operations Research and Information Engineering at Cornell University. He received a Ph.D. in operations research and financial engineering from Princeton University in 2009. His research interest is in the optimal acquisition of information, with applications in simulation, medicine, operations management, neuroscience, and information retrieval. He teaches courses in simulation and statistics. Address: School of Operations Research and Information Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY 14853; e-mail: pf98@cornell.edu . L. Robin Keller (" From the Editors… ") is a professor of operations and decision technologies in the Merage School of Business at the University of California, Irvine. She received her Ph.D. and M.B.A. in management science and her B.A. in mathematics from the University of California, Los Angeles. She has served as a program director for the Decision, Risk, and Management Science Program of the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF). Her research is on decision analysis and risk analysis for business and policy decisions and has been funded by NSF and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Her research interests cover multiple-attribute decision making, riskiness, fairness, probability judgments, ambiguity of probabilities or outcomes, risk analysis (for terrorism, environmental, health, and safety risks), time preferences, problem structuring, cross-cultural decisions, and medical decision making. She is currently Editor-in-Chief of Decision Analysis, published by the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). She is a Fellow of INFORMS and has held numerous roles in INFORMS, including board member and chair of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. She is a recipient of the George F. Kimball Medal from INFORMS. She has served as the decision analyst on three National Academy of Sciences committees. Address: The Paul Merage School of Business, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697-3125; e-mail: lrkeller@uci.edu . Lisa M. Maillart (" Eliciting Patients' Revealed Preferences: An Inverse Markov Decision Process Approach ") is an associate professor in the Industrial Engineering Department at the University of Pittsburgh. Prior to joining the faculty at the University of Pittsburgh, she served on the faculty of the Department of Operations in the Weatherhead School of Management at Case Western Reserve University. She received her M.S. and B.S. in industrial and systems engineering from Virginia Tech, and her Ph.D. in industrial and operations engineering from the University of Michigan. Her primary research interest is in sequential decision making under uncertainty, with applications in medical decision making and maintenance optimization. She is a member of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS), the Society of Medical Decision Making (SMDM), and the Institute of Industrial Engineers (IIE). Address: Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, 3600 O'Hara Street, Pittsburgh, PA 15261; e-mail: maillart@pitt.edu . Jason R. W. Merrick (" From the Editors… ") is an associate professor in the Department of Statistical Sciences and Operations Research at Virginia Commonwealth University. He has a D.Sc. in operations research from the George Washington University. He teaches courses in decision analysis, risk analysis, and simulation. His research is primarily in the area of decision analysis and Bayesian statistics. He has worked on projects ranging from assessing maritime oil transportation and ferry system safety, the environmental health of watersheds, and optimal replacement policies for rail tracks and machine tools, and he has received grants from the National Science Foundation, the Federal Aviation Administration, the United States Coast Guard, the American Bureau of Shipping, British Petroleum, and Booz Allen Hamilton, among others. He has also performed training for Infineon Technologies, Wyeth Pharmaceuticals, and Capital One Services. He is an associate editor for Decision Analysis and Operations Research. He is the information officer for the Decision Analysis Society. Address: Department of Statistical Sciences and Operations Research, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA 23284; e-mail: jrmerric@vcu.edu . Phillip E. Pfeifer (" Darden's Luckiest Student: Lessons from a High-Stakes Risk Experiment ") is the Richard S. Reynolds Professor of Business at the University of Virginia's Darden School of Business, where he teaches courses in decision analysis and direct marketing. A graduate of Lehigh University and the Georgia Institute of Technology, his teaching has won student awards and has been recognized in Business Week's Guide to the Best Business Schools. He is an active researcher in the areas of decision making and direct marketing, and he currently serves on the editorial review board of the Journal of Interactive Marketing, which named him their best reviewer of 2008. In 2004 he was recognized as the Darden School's faculty leader in terms of external case sales, and in 2006 he coauthored a managerial book, Marketing Metrics: 50+ Metrics Every Executive Should Master, published by Wharton School Publishing, which was named best marketing book of the year by Strategy + Business. Address: Darden School of Business; 100 Darden Boulevard; Charlottesville, VA 22903; e-mail: pfeiferp@virginia.edu . Warren B. Powell (" Paradoxes in Learning and the Marginal Value of Information ") is a professor in the Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering at Princeton University, where he has taught since 1981. He is the director of CASTLE Laboratory (Princeton University), which specializes in the development of stochastic optimization models and algorithms with applications in transportation and logistics, energy, health, and finance. The author or coauthor of more than 160 refereed publications, he is an INFORMS Fellow, and the author of Approximate Dynamic Programming: Solving the Curses of Dimensionality, published by John Wiley and Sons. His primary research interests are in approximate dynamic programming for high-dimensional applications and optimal learning (the efficient collection of information), and their application in energy systems analysis and transportation. He is a recipient of the Wagner prize and has twice been a finalist in the Edelman competition. He has also served in a variety of editorial and administrative positions for INFORMS, including INFORMS Board of Directors, area editor for Operations Research, president of the Transportation Science Section, and numerous prize and administrative committees. Address: Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; e-mail: powell@princeton.edu . Mark S. Roberts (" Eliciting Patients' Revealed Preferences: An Inverse Markov Decision Process Approach "), M.D., M.P.P., is professor and chair of health policy and management, and he holds secondary appointments in medicine, industrial engineering, and clinical and translational science. A practicing general internist, he has conducted research in decision analysis and the mathematical modeling of disease for more than 25 years, and he has expertise in cost effectiveness analysis, mathematical optimization and simulation, and the measurement and inclusion of patient preferences into decision problems. He has used decision analysis to examine clinical, costs, policy and allocation questions in liver transplantation, vaccination strategies, operative interventions, and the use of many medications. His recent research has concentrated in the use of mathematical methods from operations research and management science, including Markov decision processes, discrete-event simulation, and integer programming, to problems in health care. Address: Department of Health Policy and Management, University of Pittsburgh, Graduate School of Public Health, 130 De Soto Street, Pittsburgh, PA 15261; e-mail: robertsm@upmc.edu . Ahti Salo (" From the Editors… ") is a professor of systems analysis at the Systems Analysis Laboratory of Aalto University. His research interests include topics in portfolio decision analysis, multicriteria decision making, risk management, efficiency analysis, and technology foresight. He is currently president of the Finnish Operations Research Society (FORS) and represents Europe and the Middle East in the INFORMS International Activities Committee. Professor Salo has been responsible for the methodological design and implementation of numerous high-impact decision and policy processes, including FinnSight 2015, the national foresight exercise of the Academy of Finland and the National Funding Agency for Technology and Innovations (Tekes). Address: Aalto University, Systems Analysis Laboratory, P.O. Box 11100, 00076 Aalto, Finland; e-mail: ahti.salo@tkk.fi . Andrew J. Schaefer (" Eliciting Patients' Revealed Preferences: An Inverse Markov Decision Process Approach ") is an associate professor of industrial engineering and Wellington C. Carl Fellow at the University of Pittsburgh. He has courtesy appointments in bioengineering, medicine, and clinical and translational science. He received his Ph.D. in industrial and systems engineering from Georgia Tech in 2000. His research interests include the application of stochastic optimization methods to health-care problems, as well as stochastic optimization techniques, in particular, stochastic integer programming. He is interested in patient-oriented decision making in contexts such as end-stage liver disease, HIV/AIDS, sepsis, and diabetes. He also models health-care systems, including operating rooms and intensive-care units. He is an associate editor for INFORMS Journal on Computing and IIE Transactions. Address: Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Pittsburgh, 3600 O'Hara Street, Pittsburgh, PA 15261; e-mail: Schaefer@pitt.edu . George Wu (" From the Editors… ") has been on the faculty of the University of Chicago Booth School of Business since September 1997. His degrees include A.B. (applied mathematics, 1985), S.M. (applied mathematics, 1987), and Ph.D. (decision sciences, 1991), all from Harvard University. Prior to joining the faculty at the University of Chicago, Professor Wu was on the faculty at Harvard Business School. Wu worked as a decision analyst at Procter & Gamble prior to starting graduate school. His research interests include descriptive and prescriptive aspects of decision making, in particular, decision making involving risk, cognitive biases in bargaining and negotiation, and managerial and organizational decision making. Professor Wu is a coordinating editor for Theory and Decision, an advisory editor for Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, on the editorial boards of Decision Analysis and Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, and a former department editor of Management Science. Address: Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, 5807 South Woodlawn Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637; e-mail: wu@chicagobooth.edu .
In: Decision analysis: a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS, Band 8, Heft 2, S. 158-162
ISSN: 1545-8504
Ali E. Abbas (" Decomposing the Cross Derivatives of a Multiattribute Utility Function into Risk Attitude and Value ") received the M.S. degree in electrical engineering, the M.S. degree in engineering economic systems and operations research, the Ph.D. degree in management science and engineering, and the Ph.D. (minor) degree in electrical engineering, all from Stanford University, Stanford, California. He was a lecturer in the Department of Management Science and Engineering at Stanford. He previously worked for Schlumberger Oilfield Services, where he held several international positions in wireline logging, operations management, and international training. He was also involved with several consulting projects for mergers and acquisitions in California, and was a co-teacher of several executive seminars on decision analysis at Strategic Decisions Group, Menlo Park, California. He is currently an associate professor in the Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, Champaign. His research interests include utility theory, decision making with incomplete information and preferences, dynamic programming, and information theory. Dr. Abbas is a member of INFORMS, a senior member of the IEEE, an associate editor for Decision Analysis and Operations Research, and an editor of the DA column in education for Decision Analysis Today. Address: Department of Industrial and Enterprise Systems Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign, 117 Transportation Building, MC-238, 104 South Mathews Avenue, Urbana, IL 61801; e-mail: aliabbas@uiuc.edu . Vicki M. Bier (" Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons in Container Freight Through Detection and Retaliation ") holds a joint appointment as professor in the Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering and the Department of Engineering Physics at the University of Wisconsin–Madison, where she chairs the Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering. She has directed the Center for Human Performance and Risk Analysis (formerly the Center for Human Performance in Complex Systems) since 1995. She has more than 20 years of experience in risk analysis for the nuclear power, chemical, petrochemical, and aerospace industries. Before returning to academia, she spent seven years as a consultant at Pickard, Lowe and Garrick, Inc. While there, her clients included the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the U.S. Department of Energy, and a number of nuclear utilities, and she prepared testimony for Atomic Safety and Licensing Board hearings on the safety of the Indian Point nuclear power plants. Dr. Bier's current research focuses on applications of risk analysis and related methods to problems of security and critical infrastructure protection, under support from the Department of Homeland Security. She is also currently serving as a special term appointee for the Infrastructure Assurance Center at Argonne National Laboratory. Address: Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, 1513 University Avenue, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI 53706; e-mail: bier@engr.wisc.edu . Robert F. Bordley (" Using Bayes' Rule to Update an Event's Probabilities Based on the Outcomes of Partially Similar Events ") is an INFORMS Fellow and a winner of the best publication award from the Decision Analysis Society as well as five major application awards from General Motors. He is a General Motors Technical Fellow with experience in research, planning, quality, marketing, corporate strategy, and procurement. He is also an adjunct professor at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, and was formerly program director of Decision, Risk and Management Sciences at the National Science Foundation. Dr. Bordley has published 75 papers in decision analysis, marketing, and operations management. He has also served as chair of the American Statistical Association's Risk Analysis Section (which now has 1000 members), vice president of the Production and Operations Management Society, and a member of the INFORMS Board and the Decision Analysis Society Council. He earned a Ph.D. and M.S. in operations research and an M.B.A. in finance from the University of California, Berkeley. His primary interests have been in theoretical developments enabling high-impact application of decision analysis in a wide variety of corporate contexts (e.g., engineering design, corporate strategy, procurement, program management, etc.). Address: General Motors, Pontiac Centerpoint Campus North, 585 South Boulevard, Pontiac, MI 48341; e-mail: robert.bordley@gm.com , rbordley@umich.edu . Heidi M. Crane (" Whether to Retest the Lipids of HIV-Infected Patients: How Much Does Fasting Bias Matter? ") is an assistant professor of medicine at the University of Washington (UW) School of Medicine and the associate director of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Services Research at the UW Center for AIDS Research (CFAR), which promotes research comparing the effectiveness of management strategies for HIV-infected patients in routine clinical practice. She is co–principal investigator (PI) of a PROMIS (Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information Systems) National Institutes of Health Roadmap initiative U01 on measuring patient reported outcomes in clinical care for HIV-infected patients and PI of a National Institute of Mental Health R01 project on measuring and improving adherence for HIV-infected patients in clinical care. She is also medical director of the Madison HIV Metabolic clinic, PI of an American Heart Association grant on myocardial infarction and metabolic complications among patients with HIV, and PI of an Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality grant on comparative effectiveness of antihypertensive and lipid-lowering medication among HIV-infected patients. She provides care and training in the clinical care of HIV-infected individuals, and she also mentors junior investigators in HIV research in the UW Division of Infectious Diseases. Dr. Crane is a member of the Data Management Centers for the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases–funded CFAR Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) research platform of real-time electronic health record data for 22,000 patients from eight CFARs across the United States, and the International Epidemiological Databases to Evaluate AIDS project's North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD), which merges data on 110,000 HIV-infected individuals in care at 60 sites across the United States and Canada. Dr. Crane leads the CNICS Patient Reported Outcomes Committee and the CNICS and NA-ACCORD myocardial infarction event adjudication teams. Dr. Crane's research focuses on methods to improve clinical care for HIV-infected individuals as well as metabolic and other chronic comorbidities of HIV. She received her internal medicine residency training from Barnes and Jewish Hospitals, and her B.A., B.S., M.D., M.P.H. and Infectious Disease Fellowship training from the UW. Address: Harborview Medical Center, 325 9th Avenue, Box 359931, Seattle, WA 98104; e-mail: hcrane@u.washington.edu . Naraphorn Haphuriwat (" Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons in Container Freight Through Detection and Retaliation ") is a researcher at the National Metal and Materials Technology Center in Thailand. She applies tools including optimization, decision analysis, and process simulation to improve production processes and operations for small and medium enterprises. She earned her Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin–Madison in the Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering in August 2010. During her doctoral study, she was supported by the Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE) at the University of Southern California, where she conducted game-theoretic studies in the applications of security. She also received an honorable mention in the 2004–2005 University Book Store Academic Excellence Award Competition for a project related to computer security. Address: 114 Thailand Science Park, Paholyothin Road, Klong 1, Klong Luang, Pathumthani 12120, Thailand; e-mail: naraphoh@mtec.or.th . Joseph B. Kadane (" Whether to Retest the Lipids of HIV-Infected Patients: How Much Does Fasting Bias Matter? ") is Leonard J. Savage University Professor of Statistics and Social Sciences, Emeritus, at Carnegie Mellon University. His research focus is on both foundational issues of Bayesian analysis and applications in many settings. These currently include physics, phylogenetics, air pollution, Internet security, law, and medicine, as well as Internet auctions. He also serves as an expert witness in legal matters. Address: Tepper School of Business, Carnegie Mellon University, 5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA 15213; e-mail: kadane@andrew.cmu.edu . L. Robin Keller (" From the Editors: Deterrence, Multiattribute Utility, and Probability and Bayes' Updating ") is a professor of operations and decision technologies in the Merage School of Business at the University of California, Irvine. She received her Ph.D. and M.B.A. in management science and her B.A. in mathematics from the University of California, Los Angeles. She has served as a program director for the Decision, Risk, and Management Science Program of the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF). Her research is on decision analysis and risk analysis for business and policy decisions and has been funded by NSF and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Her research interests cover multiple-attribute decision making, riskiness, fairness, probability judgments, ambiguity of probabilities or outcomes, risk analysis (for terrorism, environmental, health, and safety risks), time preferences, problem structuring, cross-cultural decisions, and medical decision making. She is currently Editor-in-Chief of Decision Analysis, published by the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS). She is a Fellow of INFORMS and has held numerous roles in INFORMS, including board member and chair of the INFORMS Decision Analysis Society. She is a recipient of the George F. Kimball Medal from INFORMS. She has served as the decision analyst on three National Academy of Sciences committees. Address: The Paul Merage School of Business, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697-3125; e-mail: lrkeller@uci.edu . Mari M. Kitahata (" Whether to Retest the Lipids of HIV-Infected Patients: How Much Does Fasting Bias Matter? ") is professor of medicine at the University of Washington (UW) School of Medicine, director of Clinical Epidemiology and Health Services Research at the Center for AIDS Research (CFAR), and principal investigator of the UW HIV Cohort. She has provided care and training in the clinical management of HIV-infected individuals for two decades, and she mentors investigators in HIV research in the UW Division of Infectious Diseases. Dr. Kitahata studies the outcomes of care for persons with HIV infection, and her research has elucidated key determinants of increased survival, including care managed by physicians with HIV expertise and earlier initiation of antiretroviral treatment. The need for observational research to complement the invaluable information provided by randomized controlled trials has grown tremendously, which is why she established the CFAR Clinical Epidemiology and Health Services Research program at UW in 1995 and was among the first CFARs in the United States to do so. Dr. Kitahata developed the structure and methods to merge comprehensive HIV patient data and biological specimens from multiple settings into a powerful resource for researchers conducting basic, translational, clinical outcomes/comparative effectiveness, and behavioral/prevention research. She has led efforts to establish networks of national and international HIV research collaborations to address the most pressing questions regarding treatment and outcomes for HIV-infected individuals that cannot be answered through smaller cohort studies. Dr. Kitahata directs the Data Management Centers for the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases–funded CFAR Network of Integrated Clinical Systems (CNICS) research platform of real-time electronic health record (EHR) data for 22,000 patients from eight CFARs across the United States, and the International Epidemiological Databases to Evaluate AIDS project's North American AIDS Cohort Collaboration on Research and Design (NA-ACCORD), which merges data on 110,000 HIV-infected individuals in care at 60 sites across the United States and Canada. Dr. Kitahata serves on the Board of Directors for the Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA) HIV Medicine Association, the U.S. Public Health Service/IDSA Guidelines Committee for Prevention of Opportunistic Infections, and the International Training and Education Center on HIV (I-TECH), where she developed a national EHR system for the Haitian Ministry of Health. Dr. Kitahata received her B.S. from Yale University, M.D. from the University of Pennsylvania, internal medicine residency training at the University of California, San Francisco, and M.P.H. and Fellowship training at the University of Washington, where she was a Robert Wood Johnson Clinical Scholar. Address: University of Washington Medical Center, 1959 NE Pacific Street, UW Box 356423, Seattle, WA 98195-6423; e-mail: kitahata@u.washington.edu . Sanjeev R. Kulkarni (" Aggregating Large Sets of Probabilistic Forecasts by Weighted Coherent Adjustment ") is a professor in the Department of Electrical Engineering at Princeton University. He is also an affiliated faculty member in the Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering and the Department of Philosophy. Prior to joining Princeton, he was a member of the technical staff at MIT Lincoln Laboratory. During his time at Princeton, he has held visiting or consulting positions with Australian National University, Susquehanna International Group, and Flarion Technologies. Professor Kulkarni has served as an associate editor for the IEEE Transactions on Information Theory, and he is a Fellow of the IEEE. His research interests include statistical pattern recognition, nonparametric statistics, learning and adaptive systems, information theory, wireless networks, and image/video processing. Address: School of Engineering and Applied Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; e-mail: kulkarni@princeton.edu . Daniel N. Osherson (" Aggregating Large Sets of Probabilistic Forecasts by Weighted Coherent Adjustment ") earned his Ph.D. in psychology at the University of Pennsylvania in 1973. Since then he has taught at Stanford University, the University of Pennsylvania, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Università San Raffael, Rice University, and Princeton University. His work centers on probability judgment and learning. Address: Department of Psychology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; e-mail: osherson@princeton.edu . H. Vincent Poor (" Aggregating Large Sets of Probabilistic Forecasts by Weighted Coherent Adjustment ") is dean of the School of Engineering and Applied Science at Princeton University, where he is also the Michael Henry Strater University Professor of Electrical Engineering. He holds a Ph.D. from Princeton. His research interests are in the areas of statistical signal processing, stochastic analysis, and information theory, and their applications to wireless networks and related fields. Among his publications in these areas are the recent books Quickest Detection (Cambridge University Press, 2009) and Information Theoretic Security (NOW Publishers, 2009). Dean Poor is a member of the U.S. National Academy of Engineering and the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, and he is a Fellow of the IEEE, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and the Royal Academy of Engineering of the United Kingdom. A former Guggenheim Fellow, recent recognition of his work included the Institution of Engineering and Technology Ambrose Fleming Medal, the IEEE Eric E. Sumner Award, and an honorary D.Sc. from the University of Edinburgh. Address: School of Engineering and Applied Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; e-mail: poor@princeton.edu . Guanchun Wang (" Aggregating Large Sets of Probabilistic Forecasts by Weighted Coherent Adjustment ") received an undergraduate degree in electrical engineering at Shanghai Jiao Tong University. He is currently a Ph.D. student in the Department of Electrical Engineering at Princeton University. His research interests include statistical learning, information retrieval, and judgment aggregation. He also worked as a summer associate for McKinsey's technology practice. Address: School of Engineering and Applied Science, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544; e-mail: guanchun@princeton.edu . Henry H. Willis (" Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons in Container Freight Through Detection and Retaliation ") is a professor of policy analysis at the Pardee RAND Graduate School and the associate director of the RAND Homeland Security and Defense Center. His research has applied risk analysis tools to resource allocation and risk management decisions in the areas of public health and emergency preparedness, terrorism and national security policy, energy and environmental policy, and transportation planning. Dr. Willis serves on the editorial board of the journal Risk Analysis and served on the National Academies of Science Committee on Evaluating Testing, Costs, and Benefits of Advanced Spectroscopic Portals. He earned his Ph.D. from the Department of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Mellon University and holds degrees in chemistry and environmental studies from the University of Pennsylvania (B.A.) and in environmental science from the University of Cincinnati (M.A.). Address: RAND Corporation, 4570 Fifth Avenue, Suite 600, Pittsburgh, PA 15213; e-mail: hwillis@rand.org . Xiting (Cindy) Yang (" Whether to Retest the Lipids of HIV-Infected Patients: How Much Does Fasting Bias Matter? ") completed her Ph.D. from Carnegie Mellon University in the area of elicitation, specifically focusing on elicitation of expert knowledge on phylogenies in the format of rooted trees. She is currently a statistical reviewer at the Center for Devices and Radiological Health, U.S. Food and Drug Administration. Her current research focuses on clinical trials and elicitation. Address: U.S. Food and Drug Administration, 10903 New Hampshire Avenue, Building 66, Room 2223, Silver Spring, MD 20993-0002; e-mail: xiting.yang@fda.hhs.gov .
The main subject of this thesis is a paradigm of instability and stabilization in coalition forming among countries as rational actors, presented through a Statistical Physics inspired model.This is an interdisciplinary work involving the fields of applied mathematics and sociophysics, as well as the political applications in the real cases from past and present. Applied to political,economic and social problems, the models can be used to analyze a wide variety of real cases -- international alliances, economic or business alliances, coalitions of political parties, socialnetworks, and organizational structures.In the first part of this thesis we present and analyze the coalition forming and the instability among rational actors coupled with pairwise static historical propensity bonds that have evolvedindependently. Such organization leads to discordant associations into coalitions and the instability as a consequence of decentralized maximization of the individual benefits gained fromjoining or leaving the coalitions. We define Natural Model of coalition forming and address the questions of instability and stabilization among actors possessing different levels of rationality. The framework presented here allows to analytically calculate the optimal and non-optimal stable configurations of actors' coalitions. We then investigate the coalition forming and the stabilization under the influence of externally-set opposing global alliances, which are represented in Global Alliance Model. The stabilization is produced through new cooperations based on the effect of polarization of several distinct interests shared by actors, which generates interest-based propensities and enables a planned coalition forming. We then investigate the effect of dissolution of a global alliancewhich, together with the competing alliance, has previously generated stable coalitions.A special section of the thesis is devoted to investigation and illustration of coalition forming in real historical cases. This part presents the analysis of unstable coalitions in Europe - cycling in the England-Spain-France conflicting triangle and creation of the Italian state, as well as of the remarkable historical cases of the Soviet global alliance collapse, of the recent internal conflict in Syria, and of the "paradoxical stability" in the Eurozone.In the second part of this thesis, we present a simulation of the coalition forming models. The simulation allows to follow graphically the coalition forming processes. We present the methodology used in the simulation, as well as its application in the illustration of coalition forming in the prototypes of real case systems. Given exact propensity values, which is fairly consideredto be the most difficult part of coalition forming modeling, the simulation tool can be used to predict optimal and non-optimal spontaneous stabilizations and globally motivated stabilities inreal cases.An independent part of the thesis is devoted to the subject of viability correction in dynamic network of actors. The model is a finite set of autonomous actors with states that evolveindependently and connected into a network via their connection operators, which evolve independently as well. The network is defined to be viable if a joint evolution satisfies the centralized scarcity constraints set by the environment. In order to restore the viability of these decentralized dynamics, we apply to the method of correction by viability multipliers used in Viability Theory, where the multipliers play the role of decentralizing prices. Standing apart from the main course of the thesis, the subject of viability correction in dynamic network of actors suggests an interesting theoretic dynamical generalization of coalition stabilization in our models inspired from Statistical Physics. ; 2Le sujet principal de cette thèse est la présentation d'un paradigme théorique inspiré de la Physique Statistique pour décrire les dynamiques d'instabilité ainsi que les processus de stabilisation dans la formation de coalitions entre pays considérés comme des acteurs rationnels. Ce travail s'inscrit dans une logique interdisciplinaire impliquant les mathématiques appliquées et la sociophysique avec des applications à des cas réels choisis dans le passé et le présent. Le modèle, par sa formulation générique peut être également appliqué à des problèmes politiques, économiques et sociales pour considérer des alliances internationales, économiques ou commerciales, coalitions de partis politiques, les réseaux sociaux et les structures organisationnelles.Dans la première partie, la formation de coalitions et l'instabilité des acteurs rationnels couplés avec des liaisons par paires, est analysée. Les liaisons résultent de propensions historiques qui ont évolués indépendamment et lentement dans le temps et sont considérés comme statiques. Il en résulte des associations contradictoires qui créent des instabilités irréductibles dues à la maximisation décentralisée des avantages individuels.Nous définissons ainsi le Modèle Naturel de la formation de coalitions et abordons les questions de l'instabilité et de la stabilisation des acteurs possédant différents niveaux de rationalité. Le cadre choisi permet de calculer analytiquement les configurations stables de coalitions d'acteurs, aussi bien optimales que non non-optimales. Nous étudions ensuite le Modèle de l'Alliance Globale qui considère la formation de coalitions et leur stabilisation par l'existence d'alliances mondiales opposées qui se situent au dessus des pays. Ce sont des alliances qui sont la conséquence de ralliements individuels à une alliance globale pré-existante. La stabilisation est produite par de nouvelles coopérations entre pays voisins produites sous l'effet de polarisation d'intérêts communs des acteurs générés directement par l'appartenance à l'alliance. Nous étudions ensuite l'effet de la dissolution d'une alliance globale lorsque l'alliance concurrente est préservée.Cette partie se termine une application du modèle à la formation de coalitions dans différents cas historiques tels que les conflits cycliques dans le triangle Angleterre-Espagne-France et la création de l'Etat d'Italie, l'effondrement de l'alliance Soviétique, le récent conflit interne en Syrie, et la "stabilité paradoxale" dans la Zone Euro.Dans la deuxième partie de cette thèse, nous présentons une simulation du modèle qui permet de suivre graphiquement les processus de la formation de coalitions. Nous présentons la méthodologie utilisée dans la simulation, ainsi qu'une application à des prototypes de systèmes de cas réels. Étant donné les valeurs de propension exactes, ce qui est la partie la plus difficile de la modélisation, la simulation peut être utilisée pour prédire des stabilisations spontanées, optimales et non-optimales, ainsi que des stabilités produites globalement.Une partie indépendante de la thèse est consacrée à la correction de la viabilité en réseau dynamique d'acteurs, ou le modèle est un ensemble fini d'acteurs autonomes. Les états évoluent indépendamment et sont connectés à un réseau via leurs opérateurs de connexion, qui évoluent eux-mêmes aussi indépendamment. Le réseau est défini comme étant viable si une évolution commune satisfait des contraintes centralisées de rareté imposées par l'environnement. Afin de rétablir la viabilité, nous appliquons la méthode de correction par des multiplicateurs de viabilité adoptée dans la Théorie de Viabilité, où les multiplicateurs jouent le rôle du prix de décentralisation. A l'écart du cours principal de la thèse, le sujet de correction de la viabilité en réseau dynamique d'acteurs suggère une généralisation dynamique théorique intéressante de stabilisation de coalitions dans nos modèles inspirés de Physique Statistique. 1 Le sujet principal de cette thèse est un paradigme de l'instabilité et de stabilisation dans la formation de coalitions entre les pays - des acteurs rationnelles, présenté par un modèle inspiré de Physique Statistique.Il s'agit d'un travail interdisciplinaire impliquant les domaines de mathématiques appliquées et sociophysics, ainsi que les applications politiques dans les cas réels du passé et du présent. Les modèles, appliquées à des problèmes politiques, économiques et sociales, peut être utilisé pour analyser une large variété de cas réels - alliances internationales, alliances économiques ou commerciales, coalitions de partis politiques, les réseaux sociaux et les structures organisationnelles.Dans la première partie, nous présentons et analysons la formation de coalitions et de l'instabilité des acteurs rationnels couplés avec des liaisons par paires de propensions historiques statiques, qui ont évolués indépendamment. Telle organisation provoque des associations discordants dans les coalitions et de l'instabilité qui est la suite de la maximisation décentralisée des avantages individuelles.Nous définissons le Modèle Naturel de la formation de coalitions et abordons les questions de l'instabilité et de la stabilisation des acteurs possédant différents niveaux de la rationalité. Le cadre présenté ici permet de calculer analytiquement les configurations stables de coalitions d'acteurs, optimales et non-optimales. Nous étudions ensuite la formation de coalitions et la stabilisation sous l'influence d'alliances mondiales extérieurs opposées, qui sont représentés dans le Modèle de l'Alliance Globale. La stabilisation est produit grace a des nouvelles coopérations produit sous l'effet de polarisation d' intérêts communs des acteurs, qui génère tendances fondées sur les intérêts et permet une formation prévu des coalitions. Nous étudions ensuite l'effet de la dissolution d'une alliance mondiale qui, ensemble avec l'alliance concurrente, a déjà généré des coalitions stables.Une section spéciale de la thèse est consacrée à l'étude et à l'illustration de la formation de coalitions dans des cas réels historiques. Cette partie présente l'analyse des coalitions instables en Europe – des conflits cycliques dans le triangle de Angleterre-Espagne-France et la création de l'Etat d'Italie, ainsi que les cas historiques remarquables de l'effondrement de l'alliance Soviétique, du conflit récent interne en Syrie, et de la "stabilité paradoxale" dans la Zone Euro.Dans la deuxième partie de cette thèse, nous présentons une simulation de notres modèles. La simulation permet de suivre graphiquement les processus de la formation de coalitions. Nous présentons la méthodologie utilisée dans la simulation, ainsi qu'une application à des prototypes de systèmes de cas réels. Étant donné les valeurs de propension exactes, ce qui est la partie la plus difficile de la modélisation, la simulation peut être utilisée pour prédire des stabilisations spontanées, optimales et non-optimales, et stabilité motivé globalement dans des cas réels.Une partie indépendante de la thèse est consacrée à la correction de la viabilité en réseau dynamique d'acteurs. Le modèle est un ensemble fini d'acteurs autonomes, les etats évoluent indépendamment sont connectés à un réseau via leur opérateurs de connexion, qui évoluent indépendamment aussi. Le réseau est défini comme étant viable si une évolution commune satisfait des contraintes centralisés de rareté imposées par l'environnement. Afin de rétablir la viabilité, nous appliquons la méthode de correction par des multiplicateurs de viabilité utilisés dans la Théorie de Viabilité, où les multiplicateurs jouent le rôle de la prix de décentralisation. A l'écart du cours principal de la thèse, le sujet de correction de la viabilité en réseau dynamique d'acteurs suggère une généralisation dynamique théorique intéressante de stabilisation de coalitions dans nos modèles inspirés de Physique Statistique.
Evidence from developed country data suggests that cognitive and non-cognitive skills contribute to improved labor market outcomes. This paper tests this hypothesis in a developing country by using an individual-level data set from Peru that incorporates modules to measure cognitive and non-cognitive skills. The paper estimates a structural latent model with unobserved heterogeneity to capture full ability rather than just measured skill. It also applies standard ordinary least squares techniques for comparison. The analysis confirms that cognitive and non-cognitive skills are positively correlated with a range of labor market outcomes in Peru. In particular, cognitive skills positively correlate with wages and the probability of being a wage worker, white-collar, and formal worker, with verbal fluency and numeric ability playing particularly strong roles. The results are robust to methodology. The patterns are less uniform for non-cognitive skills. For instance, perseverance of effort (grit) emerges strongly for most outcomes regardless of methodology. However, plasticity—an aggregation of openness to experience and emotional stability—is only correlated with employment, and only when using the structural latent model. The ordinary least squares method also finds that the disaggregated non-cognitive skills of kindness, cooperation, emotional stability, and openness to experience emerge significantly, mostly for the wage estimates. The different results derived from the ordinary least squares and the structural model with latent skills suggest strong measurement bias in most non-cognitive skills measurement. These findings, although only correlational because of the use of a single cross-section, suggest that recent efforts by the Peruvian government to incorporate non-cognitive skill development into the school curriculum are justified.
