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China has scored huge successes during the last quarter century and has already become a global phenomenon. Twenty-five years ago, however, China's remarkable accomplishments were largely unforeseen. This volume, consisting of nine essays based on "best informed guesses" that are guided by the contributors' concrete understanding of current trends, posits that the future of China is an open-ended question that may not be answered with either a threat or a collapse. All of the contributors provide a set of scenarios and order them in terms of likelihood, including the seven factors they have identified as central to charting China's future: the Communist Party, local electoral reforms and rule of law, the federalist possibility, social unrest, foreign policy orientations, Sino-American relations, and the Taiwan conundrum. This book is a must-read for anyone who wants to understand China as it rises in power on the world stage

Frontmatter -- Contents -- List of Abbreviations -- 1. Introduction -- Part I. National Identity -- 2. Taiwan's National Identity and Cross-Strait Relations -- 3. Changing Identities in Taiwan under Ma Ying-jeou -- 4. Mingling but Not Merging: Changes and Continuities in the Identity of Taiwanese in Mainland China -- 5. Chinese National Identity under Reconstruction -- 6. Chinese Youth Nationalism in a Pressure Cooker -- Part II. Political Economy -- 7. Varieties of State Capitalism across the Taiwan Strait: A Comparison and Its Implications -- 8. The Nature and Trend of Taiwanese Investment in China (1991-2014): Business Orientation, Profit Seeking, and Depoliticization -- 9. Cross-Strait Economic Relations and China's Rise: The Case of the IT Sector -- 10. Social Entrepreneurialism and Social Media in Post-developmental state Taiwan -- Part III. Political Strategy -- 11. Pivot, Hedger, or Partner: Strategies of Lesser Powers Caught between Hegemons -- 12. A Farewell to Arms? US Security Relations with Taiwan and the Prospects for Stability in the Taiwan Strait -- 13. Xi Jinping's Taiwan Policy: Boxing Taiwan In with the One-China Framework -- 14. Strategies of China's Expansion and Taiwan's Survival in Southeast Asia: A Comparative Perspective -- IV. Conclusion -- 15. Taiwan and the Waning Dream of Reunification -- List of Contributors -- Index