When heuristics go bad: Citizens' misevaluations of campaign pledge fulfilment
In: Electoral Studies, Band 50, S. 116-127
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In: Electoral Studies, Band 50, S. 116-127
In: The International Journal of Knowledge, Culture, and Change Management: Annual Review, Band 4, Heft 1, S. 0-0
ISSN: 1447-9575
In: Proceedings of the Weizenbaum Conference 2021
The proceedings of the Weizenbaum Conference 2021 "Democracy in Flux: Order, Dynamics and Voices in Digital Public Spheres" have been funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Research of Germany (BMBF) (grant no.: 16DII121, 16DII122, 16DII123, 16DII124, 16DII125, 16DII126, 16DII127,16DII128 – "Deutsches Internet-Institut").
In: Games, Band 6(4), S. 637-676
SSRN
Working paper
In: Social science quarterly, Band 71, Heft 3, S. 585-601
ISSN: 0038-4941
An examination of specific deterrence theory within the broader context of rational choice with recommendations of modifications based on more explicit understanding of decision heuristics (short cuts or rules of thumb used in decision making). Research based on data from 867 adjudicated juvenile offenders whose cases were handled in 6 juvenile courts in the US concludes that a strong sense of citizenship, rather than perceptions of certainty & severity of punishment, is an important crime-deterring factor. Furthermore, punishment-oriented policies did not have the expected effects of deterring crime. Theoretical implications are discussed. 3 Tables, 1 Figure, 31 References. Adapted from the source document.
In: Social science quarterly, Band 71, Heft Sep 90
ISSN: 0038-4941
Concludes that a strong sense of citizenship is more important in understanding criminal intentions and actions than are perceptions of certainty and severity of punishment. Punishment-oriented policies did not have the expected effects either on perceptions or on behavior. (Abstract amended)
SSRN
Working paper
In: Vojnotehnicki glasnik, Band 62, Heft 3, S. 152-164
In: Synthese: an international journal for epistemology, methodology and philosophy of science, Band 190, Heft 5, S. 831-850
ISSN: 1573-0964
In: Citizens and the European Polity, S. 140-167
In: Political science quarterly: a nonpartisan journal devoted to the study and analysis of government, politics and international affairs ; PSQ, Band 125, Heft 2, S. 233-253
ISSN: 1538-165X
In: Political science quarterly: PSQ ; the journal public and international affairs, Band 125, Heft 2, S. 233-253
ISSN: 0032-3195
World Affairs Online
In: Risk analysis: an international journal, Band 26, Heft 3, S. 631-639
ISSN: 1539-6924
Results of past research suggest that affect plays an important role in risk perception. Because affect may also increase the availability of risks, affect and availability are closely related concepts. Three studies tested the hypothesis that evoking negative affect (fear), either through past experience or through experimental manipulation, results in greater perceived risk. The present research focused on perception of flooding risk. Study 1 and Study 2 showed that participants who received risk information concerning a longer time period (e.g., 30 years) perceived more danger compared with participants who received risk information for one year. Study 2 showed that the interpretation of risk information was influenced by participants' own experiences with flooding. In Study 3, affect was experimentally manipulated. After looking at photographs depicting houses in a flooded region, participants perceived greater risk compared with participants in a control group. Taken together, the results of these three studies suggest that affect is important for successful risk communication. Results of the present research are in line with the affect heuristic proposed by Slovic and colleagues.