Terrorism, Spoiling, and the Resolution of Civil Wars
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 77, Heft 4, S. 1115-1128
ISSN: 1468-2508
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In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 77, Heft 4, S. 1115-1128
ISSN: 1468-2508
In: Conflict management and peace science: CMPS ; journal of the Peace Science Society ; papers contributing to the scientific study of conflict and conflict analysis, Band 32, Heft 5, S. 465-486
ISSN: 0738-8942
World Affairs Online
In: The journal of politics: JOP, Band 77, Heft 4, S. 1115-1128
ISSN: 0022-3816
World Affairs Online
In: Conflict management and peace science: the official journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 32, Heft 5, S. 465-486
ISSN: 1549-9219
Third parties intervene in ongoing civil wars frequently and at times with nefarious intentions. In this paper, we consider the possibility that lootable natural resources motivate third parties to intervene in wars on the side of the opposition. Such resources offer a host of benefits to the intervener, including resource extraction and greater likelihood of rebel success. When rebels have access to lootable resources, we hypothesize that third parties will be more likely to intervene on the side of the rebels and simultaneously less likely to intervene on behalf of the government. Rare-events logit and split population (mixture-cure) survival models, in conjunction with close attention to the mechanisms found in individual cases, offer support for the theoretical argument. This paper advances our understanding of the motivations for intervention into civil war by highlighting the largely neglected role of economic factors in motivating opposition-biased interventions. It further adds insights into the role of natural resources in civil wars by shifting emphasis away from domestic combatants towards the motives of outside states.
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 58, Heft 1, S. 4-33
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
World Affairs Online
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 58, Heft 1, S. 4-33
ISSN: 1552-8766
Ethnicity is frequently posited as an important factor in civil violence and other political contexts. Despite the attention that ethnicity receives, its effects depend on an important, but mostly ignored, assumption that ethnicity is identifiable within and across groups. There is likely considerable variation in peoples' abilities to identify each other. Certain individuals within groups might be better at identifying others' ethnicities; further, different types of information might aid identification better. We contend that the strength of an individual's ethnic identity influences her ability to identify others correctly. We test this argument using an experiment in the Eastern Cape of South Africa in which individuals attempted to identify members of the major black ethnic groups. We find that the average individual struggles to identify ethnicity correctly in many conditions. Individuals with a stronger identity, however, are often better at correctly identifying the ethnicity of others relative to the average individual. When receiving contradictory information, individuals with stronger identities were sometimes deceived more easily than others. These results have implications for a diverse set of studies relying on the identifiability assumption. [Reprinted by permission of Sage Publications Inc., copyright holder.]
In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 58, Heft 1, S. 4-33
ISSN: 1552-8766
Ethnicity is frequently posited as an important factor in civil violence and other political contexts. Despite the attention that ethnicity receives, its effects depend on an important, but mostly ignored, assumption that ethnicity is identifiable within and across groups. There is likely considerable variation in peoples' abilities to identify each other. Certain individuals within groups might be better at identifying others' ethnicities; further, different types of information might aid identification better. We contend that the strength of an individual's ethnic identity influences her ability to identify others correctly. We test this argument using an experiment in the Eastern Cape of South Africa in which individuals attempted to identify members of the major black ethnic groups. We find that the average individual struggles to identify ethnicity correctly in many conditions. Individuals with a stronger identity, however, are often better at correctly identifying the ethnicity of others relative to the average individual. When receiving contradictory information, individuals with stronger identities were sometimes deceived more easily than others. These results have implications for a diverse set of studies relying on the identifiability assumption.
In: Terrorism and political violence, Band 24, Heft 5, S. 706-721
ISSN: 1556-1836
In: Perspectives on politics, Band 10, Heft 2, S. 285-305
ISSN: 1541-0986
What is the relationship between civil war and terrorism? Most current research on these topics either explicitly or implicitly separates the two, in spite of compelling reasons to consider them together. In this paper, we examine the extent to which terrorism and civil war overlap and then unpack various temporal and spatial patterns. To accomplish this, we use newly geo-referenced terror event data to offer a global overview of where and when terrorist events happen and whether they occur inside or outside of civil war zones. Furthermore, we conduct an exploratory analysis of six separate cases that have elements of comparability but also occur in unique contexts, which illustrate some of the patterns in terrorism and civil war. The data show a high degree of overlap between terrorism and ongoing civil war and, further, indicate that a substantial amount of terrorism occurs prior to civil wars in Latin America, but yet follows civil war in other regions of the world. While the study of terrorism and of civil war mostly occurs in separate scholarly communities, we argue for more work that incorporates insights from each research program and we offer a possibility for future research by considering how geo-referenced terror and civil war data may be utilized together. More generally, we expect these results to apply to a wide variety of attitudes and behaviors in contentious politics.
In: Perspectives on politics: a political science public sphere, Band 10, Heft 2, S. 285-305
ISSN: 1537-5927
World Affairs Online
In: Public choice, Band 149, Heft 3-4, S. 365-381
ISSN: 1573-7101
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 55, Heft 2, S. 357-378
ISSN: 1468-2478
In: International studies review, Band 13, Heft 3, S. 411-431
ISSN: 1468-2486
In: International studies quarterly: the journal of the International Studies Association, Band 55, Heft 2, S. 357-379
ISSN: 0020-8833, 1079-1760
In: Public choice, Band 149, Heft 3, S. 365-382
ISSN: 0048-5829