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AbstractUsing announcement memos released by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), we show that corporations increase liquidity during the quarter the NBER announces a peak in the business cycle. This reaction is primarily restricted to memos about peaks in the business cycle, whether it is a preliminary announcement or an official confirmation. Federal Open Market Committee and other monetary policy news, real‐time data releases, and tightening credit conditions do not drive the increase. This finding adds to the precautionary cash holdings literature by suggesting that corporations adjust liquidity not necessarily before recessions, but upon confirmation of a recession.

Usually associated with large bank failures, the phrase too big to fail, which is a particular form of government bailout, actually applies to a wide range of industries, as this volume makes clear. Examples range from Chrysler to Lockheed Aircraft and from New York City to Penn Central Railroad. Generally speaking, when a corporation, an organization, or an industry sector is considered by the government to be too important to the overall health of the economy, it will not be allowed to fail. Government bailouts are not new, nor are they limited to the United States. This book presents the vi