Suchergebnisse

Discusses a new strategic concept of deterrence that may be brought into play if a regional nuclear power unable to counter-deter threats from a major power directly may try to do so by threatening nearby states; includes three case studies. The Israel-Arab-Soviet triangle, 1970-90, the Iraqi Scud attacks against Israel and Saudi Arabia, 1991, and hypothesized Iranian or Iraqi responses to a repeat of the US Desert Storm campaign.

This article examines the impact of the changing structure of the international system on various aspects of the arms trade. The passing of the Cold War allows for comparative analysis of three distinct international systems: the interwar, the postwar or Cold War, and the emerging post-Cold War period. This involves gauging the impact of changing system structure (bipolarity, multipolarity), the degree of ideological conflict at the big-power level, alliance patterns, rates of military technological change, and so forth on such aspects of the arms trade as supplier markets, patterns of supplier-recipient relations, transfer modes, and levels of arms dependency by recipients. The emerging post-Cold War period already appears to evidence some trends in arms transfer patterns reminiscent of the interwar period, specifically those involving the depoliticization and denationalization of that trade. The impact of the Military Technical Revolution in an era of contracting global arms transfers is viewed as crucial to the emerging arms trade.

With focus on three distinct international systems -- the interwar, the postwar or Cold war, & the emerging post-Cold war period -- examined is the impact of changing system structure (bipolarity, multipolarity), the degree of ideological conflict at the big-power level, alliance patterns, & rates of military technological change on such aspects of the arms trade as supplier markets, patterns of supplier-recipient relations, transfer modes, & levels of arms dependency by recipients. The emerging post-Cold war period already appears to evidence some trends in arms transfer patterns reminiscent of the interwar period, specifically those involving the depoliticization & denationalization of that trade. The impact of the military-technical revolution in an era of contracting global arms transfers is viewed as crucial to the emerging arms trade. Adapted from the source document.