Suchergebnisse

Professor Cumming's article analyzes the aboriginal rights problem in Canada. The author lays the groundwork for his article by a discussion of the historical origin and legal status of aboriginal rights. After various comments on the Federal Government's Indian policy (both past and present), the author takes an in-depth look at the position and attitudes of the three types of native peoples affected by the question of aboriginal rights-status Indians, Metis, and Eskimo. In concluding, Professor Cumming examines the Alaska Native Claims Settlement Act, and submits that the Act is an example of truly imaginative social policy in attempting to find a fair and equitable solution to the aboriginal rights problem in that State. The author states that a native problem exists in Canada, and submits that a legislative solution recognizing aboriginal rights is, without qualification, preferable to the judicial type of solution which we appear to be headed towards in Canada. This article is based upon a paper prepared for a symposium associated with the official opening of the new Law Centre of The University of Alberta, May 4 and 5, 1972. Significant developments have taken place in the subject area since this paper was given. However, this does not affect the validity of the discussion and arguments set forth in the paper. The interested reader is also advised to refer to the preceding article, by Lester and Parker, on the British Common Law concepts of aboriginal rights and its particular application in Australia.

This paper tests the argument that outbreaks of protest occur contagiously over time against the alternative expectation that protest occurs randomly over time. Using univariate ARIMA models, it analyzes a time series of protest in the postwar United Kingdom, consisting of the number of day/locales of protest events. The (logged) data are probed for three periods of temporal aggregation: annual, quarterly, and monthly. Five principal findings emerge: (1) The best yearly model was (0, 1, 0); the best quarterly and monthly models (0, 1, 1). Thus, annual protest displays a random walk with a slight upward trend, while quarterly and monthly protest display, after differencing, a first-order moving average process. (2) Nonstationarity in protest, indicated by the differencing of protest, appears in all three temporal aggregations. (3) Cycles appear very weakly with quarterly aggregations and not with monthly aggregations. (4) The 1950s had less protest than the 1970s; the 1960s were a time of increasing protest activity. (5) Forecasts of protest generated by all ARIMA models investigated were poor. We conclude that autocorrelation effects are indeed present in British protest and that, therefore, protest actions at successive time points are not completely random but are interdependent. Finally, this paper explores the implications of these findings for theories of protest.