In: Political analysis: official journal of the Society for Political Methodology, the Political Methodology Section of the American Political Science Association, Volume 10, Issue 4
The recent interest among pol'al sci'ts in the process of decision-making has revealed the complexity of the problem, & the lack of a conceptual framework has hindered the org of knowledge about even one decision; the problem of constructing models of such processes has become crucial. Current developments in other fields indicate some hope for advance: (1) the introduction of specification of ways of handling information which are common to human beings & electronic computers; (2) the representation in sequential form of detailed theories of information-processing & decision-making functions of individuals, org's, & masses; & (3) the use of computers to simulate the operation of such functions. Computer simulation, mainly of decision processes, & potentially fruitful applications of concepts & methods of simulation to the study of pol are studied. Several computer models of voting behavior are also described, & the features of decision processes are compared to commonly-observed characteristics of pol'al decisionmaking. By this means deterministic descriptions of behavior can be represented In a sci'fic theory as meaningfully as probability statements about transitions from one event to another; dynamic processes can be put in dynamic terms, rather than as relationships among static variables. IPSA.
AbstractInteractions between units in political systems often occur across multiple relational contexts. These relational systems feature interdependencies that result in inferential shortcomings and poorly-fitting models when ignored. General advancements in inferential network analysis have improved our ability to understand relational systems featuring interdependence, but developments specific to working with interdependence that cross relational contexts remain sparse. In this paper, I introduce a multilayer network approach to modeling systems comprising multiple relations using the exponential random graph model. In two substantive applications, the first a policy communication network and the second a global conflict network, I demonstrate that the multilayer approach affords inferential leverage and produces models that better fit observed data.
Includes lists of speakers and papers submitted for publication. ; Cover title. ; "Thursday, May 18, 1916. Earl Hall, Columbia University ." ; "Preliminary announcement." ; Mode of access: Internet.
Explanations for the disappearance of the Chicago school of political science are sought. After reviewing the significant contributions that the Chicago school made to US political science between the 1930s & the 1960s, factors that contributed to the emergence of the Chicago school during the early 1920s are examined. Specifically, it is contended that Charles E. Merriam's personal charisma & professional acumen solidified the Chicago school's place within US political science from 1920-1940. Nevertheless, it is asserted that the efforts of Merriam in establishing the Chicago school remain overlooked by contemporary scholarship; for example, it is noted that the Chicago school of political science was not mentioned in publications commemorating the university's centennial anniversary. In addition, it is lamented that current scholars have failed to acknowledge the Chicago school's contributions to anti-behavioralism. 5 References. J. W. Parker
The recent elections in Greece reflects an enormous change in the political behavior of the electorate. The citizens have not chosen a simple switch on the power, but contributed with their votes to a strategic defeat of populism and in same time they paved the way for the search of a new type of leadership, which is close to realism in handling with social problems that can't be implemented with calculated financial costs. The vote of 7 th Juli is a vote against the over-promising and underdelivery experienced under Syriza's rule. The voting for conservative ND is not an ideological choice. It's a choice that runs counter to the logic of falsely or hypocritical negotiating austerity measures opposed to Greece buy his Lenders (memorandum) and the consequent tax-tornado as a result of negotiating failure with the partners in the EEC and the IMF. The positive vote for ND also reflects the contradiction with the misguided manipulations of public opinion regarding the Skopje-Question and finally the strategy of micro concessions and micro-allowances as a means of concluding a "political-social alliance" with an undefined hostile establishment.
Abstract. The 'cyclical' effect covered in this paper deals with the development of public expenditure in West Germany in combination with the timing of elections. The underlying hypotheses on the cyclical development of certain expenditures are based on the 'New Political Economy' literature. This approach is then contrasted with the theory of budgetary incrementalism, an alternative mode of explanation of public sector growth. The data are tested to see whether a cyclical or linear model is more appropriate for describing public expenditure developments.