Probability and Social Science
In: International social science journal: ISSJ, Band 27, Heft 3, S. 421-436
ISSN: 0020-8701
Probability theory is concerned with measurements of regularities which emerge when uncertain individual events are observed in the aggregate. 2 hypothetical examples of the use of probability theory in studying patterns of variation are presented: (1) variations of some quantity over time--is there a discernable pattern & if so, what can be deduced from it, & (2) mobility processes, where individuals move (or do not move) from one state to another. Both the interplay between data & theory & practical applications are demonstrated. 2 objections to the statistical approach to social phenomena are discussed: (A) that it is indifferent to human values, & (B) that it is concerned with small scale phenomena rather than major problems. 5 Figures. J. N. Mayer.