Suchergebnisse

Governments need accurate tax revenue forecast figures for good economic planning but there seems to be no consensus on which method is the most suitable to deliver reliable results leading to differences in the choice of technique from one country to another. This study therefore forecasts Ghana's Value Added Tax (VAT) Revenue by comparing two methods, ARIMA with Intervention and Holt linear trend methods to establish the one with more precise predictive powers for VAT Revenue. Monthly VAT revenue data from the year 2002 to 2019 is used in the analysis. The findings show that ARIMA with Intervention method outperformed the Holt linear trend model in terms of accuracy and precision. A comparison of predicted results from the ARIMA with intervention model from 2017 to 2019 with Ghana Revenue Authority's VAT revenue targets based on their in-house forecasting model for the same period reveals that the ARIMA with intervention approach performs better than the in-house forecasting model of the VAT authority. In this case, the study recommends the ARIMA with intervention method to the tax authority for consideration in its forecasting.

This article examines the concept of value added tax, the notion of the tax, the EU directives governing the tax rate base as well as the change of standard rate in European Union countries. The paper also analyses the relationship between the VAT revenue and macroeconomic indicators: gross domestic product, gross domestic product per capita, consumption expenditure, household consumption expenditure, government consumption expenditure, export, import and unemployment in the country in an attempt to construct a model that describes the significance of VAT revenue collected. The article aims to analyse the key factors influencing value-added tax collection in the European Union countries.

The article of record as published may be found at http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2016.1167821 ; This article examines cross-elasticity effects in excise taxation for markets characterized by monopolistic competition and over-shifting. Extending the constant elasticity demand model to consider cross-elasticity leads to notably different results regarding tax revenue maximization. With nonzero but weak cross-elasticity effects relative to the price elasticity, we derive a higher optimal tax-price ratio compared to prior research. With strong crosselasticity, revenue can continually be increased by raising the excise tax. Overall, the study offers government greater incentive to use excise taxes to obtain revenue.

This paper examines the impact of international remittances on both the level and the instability of government tax revenue in receiving countries. It investigates in particular whether the presence of a value added tax (VAT) system increases the benefit of the inflows of remittances in terms of high and less volatile tax revenue ratio. This is supported by the fact that remittances are largely used for consumption purposes and contribute to smoothing private consumption. Using a large sample of developing countries observed over the period 1980-2006, and even after factoring in the endogeneity of remittances and VAT adoption, the results highlight that remittances significantly increase both the level and the stability of government tax revenue ratio in receiving countries that have adopted the VAT.

This paper examines the impact of international remittances on both the level and the instability of government tax revenue in receiving countries. It investigates in particular whether the presence of a value added tax (VAT) system increases the benefit of the inflows of remittances in terms of high and less volatile tax revenue ratio. This is supported by the fact that remittances are largely used for consumption purposes and contribute to smoothing private consumption. Using a large sample of developing countries observed over the period 1980-2006, and even after factoring in the endogeneity of remittances and VAT adoption, the results highlight that remittances significantly increase both the level and the stability of government tax revenue ratio in receiving countries that have adopted the VAT.

This paper examines the impact of international remittances on both the level and the instability of government tax revenue in receiving countries. It investigates in particular whether the presence of a value added tax (VAT) system increases the benefit of the inflows of remittances in terms of high and less volatile tax revenue ratio. This is supported by the fact that remittances are largely used for consumption purposes and contribute to smoothing private consumption. Using a large sample of developing countries observed over the period 1980-2006, and even after factoring in the endogeneity of remittances and VAT adoption, the results highlight that remittances significantly increase both the level and the stability of government tax revenue ratio in receiving countries that have adopted the VAT.