What Does Leadership Look Like in Schools and Does it Matter for School Performance?
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 12580
187 Ergebnisse
Sortierung:
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 12580
SSRN
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 11273
SSRN
Working paper
SSRN
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 8177
SSRN
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 11615
SSRN
Working paper
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 11399
SSRN
SSRN
In: Social Science & Medicine, Band 345, S. 116690
In: NBER Working Paper No. w32119
SSRN
In: NBER Working Paper No. w31497
SSRN
In: National Institute economic review: journal of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, S. 1-24
ISSN: 1741-3036
Abstract
We show consumer expectations indices from the Conference Board and the University of Michigan predict unemployment upticks in the USA up to 18 months in advance, both at national and at state level. These data predict six of the last six recessions called by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee 6–18 months before the date of recession. The consumer expectations data for 2021 and 2022 are consistent with recession.
In: National Institute economic review: journal of the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Band 264, S. 8-58
ISSN: 1741-3036
We examine the start date of the Great Recession across OECD countries. The Sahm Rule identifies the start of recession in the US to the beginning of 2008 but in most other OECD countries it identifies the start after that identified by two successive falls in quarterly GDP. We establish our own rule for predicting recession using the fear of unemployment series to predict recession. We show a 10-point rise in the series compared to its previous 12 month low predicted the onset of the Great Recession in both the United States and Europe.
In: NBER Working Paper No. w29300
SSRN
In: NBER Working Paper No. w29172
SSRN
In: NBER Working Paper No. w29372
SSRN