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In: The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International), Band 38, Heft 2, S. 236-269
ISSN: 0022-0027, 0731-4086
In: World politics: a quarterly journal of international relations, Band 43, Heft 2, S. 169-195
ISSN: 0043-8871
World Affairs Online
In: World politics: a quarterly journal of international relations, Band 43, Heft 2, S. 169-195
ISSN: 1086-3338
Scholars in comparative politics and international relations routinely evaluate causal hypotheses by referring tocounterfactual caseswhere a hypothesized causal factor is supposed to have been absent. The methodological status and the viability of this very common procedure are unclear and are worth examining. How does the strategy of counterfactual argument relate, if at all, to methods of hypothesis testing based on the comparison of actual cases, such as regression analysis or Mill's Method of Difference? Are counterfactual thought experiments a viable means of assessing hypotheses about national and international outcomes, or are they methodologically invalid in principle? The paper addresses the first question in some detail and begins discussion of the second. Examples from work on the causes of World War I, the nonoccurrence of World War III, social revolutions, the breakdown of democratic regimes in Latin America, and the origins of fascism and corporatism in Europe illustrate the use, problems and potential of counterfactual argument in small-N-oriented political science research.
In: The journal of modern African studies: a quarterly survey of politics, economics & related topics in contemporary Africa, Band 26, Heft 1, S. 113-137
ISSN: 1469-7777
Since the 1979 oil shock and in the course of the subsequent world recession, many African governments have dramatically altered the orientation of their economic policies. States previously committed to various brands of 'African socialism' have been ending subsidies, reducingde factotaxes on agricultural producers, 'privatising' previously state-run activities, adopting more liberal exchange-rate policies, and implementing numerous other 'market-oriented' reforms.
In: The journal of modern African studies: a quarterly survey of politics, economics & related topics in contemporary Africa, Band 26, Heft 1, S. 113-137
ISSN: 0022-278X
World Affairs Online
SSRN
Working paper
In: Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics 2011: Development Challenges in a Post-crisis World; Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics (Global), S. 245-280
SSRN
Working paper
In: Annual Review of Political Science, Band 15, S. 1-12
SSRN
In: Estudios / Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Ciencias Sociales, 218
World Affairs Online
In: World development: the multi-disciplinary international journal devoted to the study and promotion of world development, Band 39, Heft 2, S. 199-211
In: World development: the multi-disciplinary international journal devoted to the study and promotion of world development, Band 39, Heft 2, S. 199-211
ISSN: 0305-750X
World Affairs Online
In: International security, Band 28, Heft 4, S. 5-43
ISSN: 1531-4804
In: International security, Band 28, Heft 4, S. 5-43
ISSN: 0162-2889
In: American political science review, Band 97, Heft 1, S. 75-90
ISSN: 1537-5943