Suchergebnisse

A brief review of the achievements of the Australian Institute of Political Science (AIPS) praises the ongoing Tall Poppy Campaign undertaken in 1998 to promote appreciation of the achievements of Australians & to foster a greater interest in science as a study & career option for young Australians. Other achievements of the AIPS in 2005 include a small surplus of funding; publication of the journals 320th issue; appointment of an Editorial Advisory Committee to develop new directions for the journal; presentation of the seventh Post Budget Health Briefing to AIPS members; the selection of 21 additional Young Tall Poppies; successful implementation of educational outreach programs; various contributions to community science promotion/awareness, including National Science Week; & placement of Young Tall Poppies in important research & leadership positions. A list of current members of the board is included. J. Lindroth

In this paper, I consider opportunities and limitations of modelling the political dynamics with the time-series instruments. Using the examples of the president Putin's approval rating and readiness to join the collective actions with economic demands I demonstrate the analytical potential of autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA), autoregressive distributed lag model (ADL), and error correction model (ECM). Modelling the political dynamics faces a string of analytical dilemmas. This paper aims at identifying the basic choices in application of the statistical instruments to dynamic processes and helping the other researchers to navigate through them. While it is hard to account in a single paper for all the developments in the discipline, which has been substantially advanced substantially and technically i the last three decades, this text also aims at stimulating the discussion on the opportunities and limitations when applied to Russian politics.

AbstractPrediction markets are designed to aggregate the information of many individuals to forecast future events. These markets provide participants with an incentive to seek information and a forum for interaction, making markets a promising tool to motivate student learning. We carried out a quasi-experiment in an introductory political science class to study the effect of prediction markets on student engagement with the course topics. Although we found no significant improvement in students' enthusiasm or extent of topical reading, we did find that those students who were already reading broadly at the course start were more likely to trade actively in the markets. These findings indicate that prediction markets may be most successful as an education tool in settings, like graduate education, where individuals are already knowledgeable about the topics of the market, instead of an introductory learning context.

AbstractThe political development of contemporary China defies existing political theories. The framework of "political science" based on the 'rational man hypothesis' has proven to be fallible in terms of correctly envisioning China's future. Appertaining to the Chinese political history, historical political science offers not only epistemology and methodology of the subject, but also an ontological element, for observation. With respect to historical political science, contemporary Chinese politics is considered to be the natural genetic extension of the Chinese civilization as well as a continuous and unified development process spanning over a period of 70 years ever since the People's Republic of China was founded. Historical political science, deemed to be a tailored research approach for the development of contemporary Chinese politics, essentially adds further value and significance to this discipline.