Bayesian estimation of the Hurst parameter of fractional Brownian motion
In: Communications in statistics. Simulation and computation, Band 46, Heft 6, S. 4760-4766
ISSN: 1532-4141
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In: Communications in statistics. Simulation and computation, Band 46, Heft 6, S. 4760-4766
ISSN: 1532-4141
In: Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute Working Paper No. 105
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This paper proposes a 3D object recognition method for non-coloured point clouds using point features. The method is intended for application scenarios such as Inspection, Maintenance and Repair (IMR) of industrial sub-sea structures composed of pipes and connecting objects (such as valves, elbows and R-Tee connectors). The recognition algorithm uses a database of partial views of the objects, stored as point clouds, which is available a priori. The recognition pipeline has 5 stages: (1) Plane segmentation, (2) Pipe detection, (3) Semantic Object-segmentation and detection, (4) Feature based Object Recognition and (5) Bayesian estimation. To apply the Bayesian estimation, an object tracking method based on a new Interdistance Joint Compatibility Branch and Bound (IJCBB) algorithm is proposed. The paper studies the recognition performance depending on: (1) the point feature descriptor used, (2) the use (or not) of Bayesian estimation and (3) the inclusion of semantic information about the objects connections. The methods are tested using an experimental dataset containing laser scans and Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV) navigation data. The best results are obtained using the Clustered Viewpoint Feature Histogram (CVFH) descriptor, achieving recognition rates of 51.2%, 68.6% and 90%, respectively, clearly showing the advantages of using the Bayesian estimation (18% increase) and the inclusion of semantic information (21% further increase) ; This work was supported by the Spanish Government through a FPI Ph.D. grant to K. Himri, as well as by the Spanish Project DPI2017-86372-C3-2-R (TWINBOT-GIRONA1000) and the H2020-INFRAIA-2017-1-twostage-731103 (EUMR)
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In: Iraqi journal of science, S. 2150-2159
ISSN: 0067-2904
The Gumbel max distribution is one of the most important statistical distributions because it has many applications, especially in the field of water research and the prediction of earthquakes and volcanoes. This work includes a comparison of several Shrinkage Bayesian methods, namely the Shrinkage Bayesian Square Loss Function, Shrinkage Bayesian Lenix Function, and Shrinkage Bayesian Unix Function to estimate the distribution parameter. The research also includes several simulated experiments according to the sample size change and the real value of the distribution parameter. The number of experiments is 15 simulated experiments based on the difference sample size and true distribution parameter values. The results of the simulation experiments are compared depending on each of the absolute least difference criteria ( and the mean squared error (). The comparison results show that the estimation method is affected by the sample size, and the real value of the distribution parameter. The best estimation method is the Shrinkage Bayesian Lenix Function. The Bayesian methods can be applied to other statistical distributions such that the Lindley Weibull distribution and logistics distribution.
Origin-destination (O-D) matrices are essential inputs to dynamic traffic assignment and traffic simulation models and important tools to transportation planning. We present a novel approach for static O-D matrix estimation using traffic flow dynamics. A path-based cell transmission model is developed to capture the dynamics of a network and associate link count observations with path demand patterns. We assume that the path demand follows a Poisson distribution with unknown rates and definition of path choice probabilities is not required. A state space model is utilised to associate link densities (observations) with per path densities (state vector). The proposed model is combined with Bayesian inference techniques to develop an efficient methodology for estimating accurate posterior probability density functions of the path demand from which we obtain the O-D demand. This involves numerical techniques such as Markov chain Monte Carlo, that make use of the Metropolis-Hastings update. We illustrate the proposed approach in a network studied in the literature and present results that show the advantage of the proposed methodology compared to existing methods studied in the literature. Finally, we discuss the findings of the analysis that suggest that the path-based CTM combined with the Bayesian principles can be utilised to efficiently approximate unknown path demand patterns and obtain static O-D matrices, along with a future direction for further advances of the methodology ; This work has also been supported by the Government of the Republic of Cyprus through the Directorate General for European Programmes, Coordination and Development and the Research Promotion Foundation (Project: CULTURE/BR-NE/0517/14). © 2019 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers ...
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Beschreibung der Verlagsausgabe: Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models have become a standard tool in various fields of economics. This type of models has a superior theoretical foundation when compared to the Keynesian models which are traditionally used for policy analysis and forecasting. Although a lot has been done to improve the empirical properties of DSGE models, there is still a need for further research in this field. In this book, the author first considers a closed economy general equilibrium framework to empirically validate the alternative mechanisms for introducing nominal rigidities. As the comparison is done in the context of the Euro area aggregate data, the results provide guidance to researchers dealing with estimation of Euro area DSGE models in general. In the second part of the book, a coherent economic and statistical framework that approximates the structure of the EMU and explicitly accounts for the historical monetary regime change is presented. In such a framework the disaggregate information on the Euro area can be utilized, so that one can explain the area-wide aggregates, and also examine the cross-region linkages.
In: Communications in statistics. Theory and methods, S. 1-14
ISSN: 1532-415X
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In: The review of socionetwork strategies, Band 16, Heft 2, S. 239-258
ISSN: 1867-3236
In: Structural equation modeling: a multidisciplinary journal, Band 28, Heft 2, S. 314-328
ISSN: 1532-8007
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Working paper
In: The Japanese Economic Review, Band 67, Heft 4, S. 418-440
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In: Statistica Neerlandica, Band 45, Heft 1, S. 51-65
ISSN: 1467-9574
Bayesian and empirical Bayesian estimation methods are reviewed and proposed for the row and column parameters in two‐way Contingency tables without interaction. Rasch's multiplicative Poisson model for misreadings is discussed in an example. The case is treated where assumptions of exchangeability are reasonable a priori for the unknown parameters. Two different types of prior distributions are compared, It appears that gamma priors yield more tractable results than lognormal priors.