Mainland Southeast Asia's Environmental Challenges from China ; ISEAS Perspective ; Issue: 2020 No. 82
The impact of the rise of China on Southeast Asia is multidimensional. Media and academic attention have focused on the sensational aspects of China's increasingly assertive postures in the South China Sea, the grand strategies of its Belt and Road Initiative, and the push for infrastructure development in the region. Far fewer studies have examined the everyday forms of Chinese influence that have emerged as a consequence of China's need to sustain growth and accommodate its humongous consumption power. Even as the Covid-19 pandemic and the China-U.S. trade war have hit the Chinese economy hard, the effects are likely to be short term against the long-range horizon; its domestic demand, which had taken a knocking when entire provinces were on lockdown and consumption-related social gatherings were largely banned, is expected to provide resilience and drive the recovery from current challenges. Such is the magnitude of China's phenomenal consumption-driven growth and shifting demographics. The country's burgeoning middle class and the sheer volume of its 1.4 billion population will continue to maintain a high demand for non-subsistence food items in the years ahead. This represents a sizeable market opportunity especially for its neighbours, and this has led to a growing Chinese presence in Southeast Asia's agribusiness sector. According to recent statistics, China imports almost half of the fruits and vegetables produced in Myanmar, Thailand and Vietnam.