Suchergebnisse

This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Wiley via the DOI in this record ; Methane and black carbon aerosols have been identified as exerting the two strongest positive radiative forcings after carbon dioxide and therefore drastic reductions in these atmospheric constituents could potentially offer strong leverage in reducing global warming. Using the HadGEM2-ES model we reduce concentrations of methane and black carbon while holding all other emissions at representative concentration pathway RCP2.6 levels to examine whether we can achieve the target of keeping global-mean temperature rise below 1.5 oC relative to the pre-industrial level during the remainder of the 21st century. We find that even total cessation of black carbon aerosol emissions is ineffective in attaining this goal. Reducing methane concentrations at four times the rate assumed in RCP2.6 is able to return warming levels to below 1.5 oC by the 2070s but overshoots the target level prior to that. As RCP2.6 represents an optimistic scenario relative to the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions our results highlight the importance of deep and rapid reductions in both CO2 and methane emissions if humanity is serious about attaining the 1.5 oC target. ; This work was supported by the Joint UK BEIS/Defra Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme (GA01101). CDJ was also supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 641816

ABSTRACTThis paper uses data from the Quarterly Labour Force Survey in the UK (1997–2006) and changes in the coverage of the Disability Discrimination Act (DDA), that result from the removal of the small firm exemption, to assess the labour market impact of the legislation. The data support a narrowing of the employment gap between the disabled and non‐disabled over the post DDA period. However, the evidence based on small firms does not support this being a direct result of the employment provisions of the DDA.

A generation of Americans, disillusioned with organized religion, still longs for meaning and transcendence. In The God of Wild Places, theologian and former pastor Tony Jones traces his own journey out of the church and into the woods, guiding readers to reflect on their own experience of the divine in the wilderness.