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Authors frequently discuss and provide examples of doing history in the social studies classroom. Few focus, however, on allowing students to predict the outcome of historical events before learning what actually happened. In this article, I describe an activity allowing students to make their own predictions informing their understanding of the historical events related to Articles of Confederation. I developed this strategy based on my evolving understanding of how to bring historical thinking into the classroom. I discuss adding the concept of prediction to a previously published lesson plan and how, during my subsequent year in the classroom, I enriched the lesson to elicit student empathy. Finally, the article offers suggestions for teachers developing their own lessons incorporating student predictions.

It is widely believed that China's growing links to the global economy are translating into increased Chinese political influence abroad. This article explores this possibility quantitatively by examining whether increased trade with China correlates with an increased willingness by countries to accommodate Chinese interests. I use newly collected data that capture cross-national variation in the willingness of individual countries to support Chinese government positions relating to Taiwan and Tibet, and China's status as a market economy. I find that increased trade dependence on China is correlated with an increased likelihood of taking an accommodating stance on the economic issue (market economy status). But the evidence linking trade to an accommodating stance on the political issues is more ambiguous.

Abstract
Indigenous critics are interrogating the violences of modernity as conditions for understanding or debating gender, alongside critical works in trans studies and in queer-of-color, queer diaspora, and women-of-color feminist theories. This essay asks how two-spirit, queer indigenous, and indigenous feminist critiques call scholars in gender studies to ensure that discussions of gender respond to indigenous decolonization and its relationships with antiracist and anticolonial projects. In particular, two-spirit, queer indigenous, and indigenous feminist theories present resurgence as a means to challenge and transform colonial authority. The centering of indigenous epistemologies within resurgence work questions who defines language or the knowable within colonial situations. This essay asks how responding to indigenous resurgence can help to challenge and transform the racial and colonial violences that condition conversations about gender, including those addressing trans and feminist relationships.

After decades of tension, relations between the People's Republic of China and Taiwan have improved dramatically in recent years. How durable is this détente? To what degree is armed conflict in the Taiwan Strait a continued possibility? Answering these questions requires grappling with the impact of several different trends in cross–Taiwan Strait relations, including a rapidly shifting balance of military power, deepening China-Taiwan economic integration, and changing Taiwanese views on sovereignty and identity issues. Taken together, these trends help to stabilize the cross-strait relationship. Nevertheless, this relationship has not been fundamentally transformed, and future trends could evolve in a way that again increases the danger of military conflict. In particular, a changing balance of military power in the Taiwan Strait has the potential to be highly destabilizing if it overtakes other trends such as economic integration.