Are Naturalized Voters Driving the California Latino Electorate? Measuring the Effect of IRCA Citizens on Latino Voting
In: Social science quarterly, Band 86, Heft 4, S. 792-811
ISSN: 0038-4941
Objectives. The 1990s witnessed the growth & maturation of the Latino electorate in California & many scholars have posited as to the reasons. One argument is that naturalizations by way of the Immigration Reform & Control Act (IRCA) drove the increases in Latino participation. In this article we investigate the extent to which this is the case. Methods. Using unpublished INS data, we offer the first empirical test of the IRCA theory by examining Latino IRCA petitions by zipcode to determine whether or not IRCA legalizations & subsequent naturalizations were the force behind increased Latino turnout, & the overall growth of the Latino vote. We merge IRCA data with Registrar of Voter data to examine real growth in the Latino vote at the zipcode level from 1996-2000 in southern California. Results. Although Latino voting grew substantially, we find that IRCA naturalizations did not spur the increases in Latino voting in the 1990s as some have expected. Instead, demographic & mobilization variables explain why the Latino vote grew between 1996 & 2000. Conclusions. As Congress debates new proposals to "legalize" the millions of undocumented immigrants living & working in this country, many will inevitably ask what impact their citizenship will have on the electorate. This study sheds some light on the relationship between amnesty programs, citizenship, & voting among Latinos. Tables, Figures, References. Adapted from the source document.