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Studies the strength of ethnonationalism among Iraq's Kurds & Sudan's southerners, & questions whether the level of political development of these militant minority groups enables them to achieve their stated national objectives. Five criteria are analyzed: land & people, origins of the problem, nature of demands, extent of political development, & environmental constraints. It is shown that the southern Sudanese & Iraqi Kurdish movements are inherently weak & incapable of pursuing achievable objectives. Lack of solidarity, underdeveloped national feeling, nonconciliatory government position, & nonsupportive regional & international powers make the success of present autonomy proposals highly unlikely for both Iraqi Kurds & southern Sudanese. Adapted from the source document.