Suchergebnisse

THE AUTHOR LOOKS AT THE STATUS OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY AS PRESIDENT GEORGE BUSH PREPARES TO RUN FOR RE-ELECTION IN 1992. ALTHOUGH THE REPUBLICAN PARTY IS SUFFERING ITS MOST SERIOUS IDENTITY CRISIS SINCE WATERGATE, IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BUILD A CENTER-RIGHT GOVERNING MAJORITY THAT COULD DEFINE AMERICAN POLITICS FOR THE NEXT GENERATION.

Extension of home ownership was a considered and central plank of the Thatcher election manifestoes; but those original aspirations have, to some extent, been modified over the course of the 1980s. Market structures and behaviour have changed following interest rate rises, there have been signs of crisis in falling prices and rising levels of mortgage default. (SJK)

Two stories from a doctor who worked amongst the poor and marginalised. She was detained on 28 November 1982, after a violent clash with the authorities in which her compañero was killed. In March 1988, after six years' imprisonment, her sentence was changed to indefinite night-time imprisonment. On 14 December 1989, elections in Chile meant a first step to freedom

THE AUTHOR TRACES THE EVOLUTION OF DEBATES AS A SIGNIFICANT ELEMENT IN THE STRATEGY OF ELECTION CAMPAIGNS IN A NUMBER OF COUNTRIES. ANALYZING SURVEY DATA FROM TWO CANADIAN CASES, HE FINDS THAT THE EFFECTS OF DEBATES ON INDIVIDUAL VOTING BEHAVIOR ARE PRIMARILY REINFORCING, BUT DEBATES HAVE NEVERTHELESS GROWN CONSIDERABLY IN IMPORTANCE IN STRATEGIC DECISION MAKING BY PARTIES AND CANDIDATES.

In this article, the results of a public opinion survey, the "1986 Taiwan National Election Study", are used to examine transformation on the personal level as society and economy improve. The degree of association between socio-economic development and political development is discussed and its implications for Third World communism are pointed out. (DÜI-Sen)

The article examines the opposition demand list and its impact on the political development in Bangladesh. After an overview of the opposition demand lists since 1947, the article concentrates on the period from 1969 up to the presidential election of October 1986. Specific demand lists are examined along with government and opposition strategies of negotiation. (DÜI-Sen)

Acht Beiträge zum Thema Pakistan: Pakistan at the crossroads (Jasjit Singh); Zia's political experiment brings another election in Pakistan (John Kaniyalil); Pak-Afghan relations (Aabha Dixit); Political upheaval in Pakistan (Chintamani Mahapatra); South Asian security: the China-Pakistan-Indian tangle (R.R. Subramanian); US non-proliferation policy (Savita Pande); Roots of a security dilemma (A.A. Athale). (DÜI-Sdt)

Privatisation is being put into practice by a coalition government, led by the Social Democrats. It was proposed by both parties during the election campaign, although with differences on the details and the emphasis given to the issue. It is argues that this policy convergence is a function of political competition in the electoral arena. (CP)

The pressures on the politician frying to impfement his party's election manifesto are often at variance with the interests of the departmental bureaucracy he expects to design his policies. Dr Keith Hartley, Director of the Institute of Social and Economic Research at the University of York, examines the direct interests of bureaucrats in their departmental budgets.

THIS PAPER EXAMINES WHY VOTERS IN MULTI-DISTRICT CONTESTS BEHAVE AS IF VOTING IN A SINGLE-DISTRICT CONTEXT, AND DEVELOPS A MODEL WHICH DEALS WITH POST-ELECTION COALITION FORMATION AS A MEANS OF DETERMINING THE REASONS FOR THIS BEHAVIOR. THE AUTHOR INVESTIGATES SUBSTANTIAL CONDITIONS ON THE PARTY AGGREGATION RULES SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE EQUILIBRIUM AND CHARACTERIZED SUCH EQUILIBRIUM.

Statewide surveys from the five most recent presidential primaries in Wisconsin are used to examine voting trends of independents and party identifiers in Wisconsin presidential primaries. The primary concerns are (1) the extent and direction of crossover voting, (2) election-specific factors that effect crossover voting, and (3) possible inconsistency between crossover voting and future vote choices.

Norman Ginsburg's article, Home ownership and socialism in Britain: A bulward against bolshevism, CSP, Issue 7, contains a programme for action which might have made good sense following a Labour victory in the recent election. It now seems clear that this programme is unrealisable. The article aims to and an alternative socialist programme based on universal home ownership.

THE AUTHOR EXAMINES TWO QUESTIONS IN THIS ARTICLE: FIRST, HOW ACCURATE HAVE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS BEEN IN THE PAST, AND SECOND, ASSUMING THAT ERRORS WERE MADE, WAS THERE ANY SYSTEMATIC PATTERN TO THEM? THE ANSWERS TO THESE QUESTIONS CAN HELP THE CITIZEN JUDGE HOW SERIOUSLY TO TAKE THESE FORECASTS AND ALSO HELP THE MEDIA DETERMINE HOW TO IMPROVE THEM.

MOTIVATION IS AN IMPORTANT VARIABLE GOVERNING POLITICIANS' ELECTORAL EFFORTS & HENCE THEIR DEGREE OF ELECTORAL SUCCESS. THE AUTHOR EXAMINES ELECTORAL PERFORMANCE OF RETIRING HOUSE MEMBERS & FINDS THAT THOSE MEMBERS INTENDING TO RUN FOR HIGHER OFFICE CONTRIVE A SURGE OF ELECTORAL SUPPORT IN THEIR LAST HOUSE ELECTION, &, RETIRING MEMBERS NOT INTENDING TO RUN EXPERIENCE A SLUMP IN ELECTORAL SUPPORT.