Suchergebnisse

A symposium contribution explores NH's presidential primary as a predictor of subsequent success. It is maintained that examining how candidates fared with specific segments of the vote reveals which candidates attracted a broad-based coalition, as opposed to support mostly from one faction of the party, eg, the working class or liberal elites. Claims that the NH primary is too small & remote to be a barometer of presidential primary success are challenged, along with the conventional wisdom that NH Democrats are conservative. Turnout trends since 1976; demographic characteristics of Democratic voters in the 2000 primary; & results from the 1988, 1992, & 2000 primaries are described. It is indicated that "coalition candidates" are far more likely to win the Democratic Party's nomination than candidates who appeal to only one faction. The ability to form coalitions in NH is a good predictor of future success, even if that candidate does not win the NH primary, as was the case with Bill Clinton in 1992. 3 Tables, 5 References. J. Lindroth

This note examines problems associated with measuring the partisan balance of state government. A description of a new publicly available dataset is given, as well as of the methods used to collect these data. The results of three data analyses using different measures of state government partisan balance demonstrate that sometimes measurement error on this variable can influence substantive findings. 1 Table, 26 References. Adapted from the source document.

Analyzes the concept of responsibility in US foreign policy. The US responsibilities to other states & to the global community are considered. Various responsibility-based foreign policy alternatives are introduced & applied to contemporary policy, including the Good Citizen, Reformed America, & Triumphant American perspectives. Responsibility as the central tenet of future policy research & analysis is considered. 13 References. L. Collins

A symposium contribution discusses the Internet's usefulness to "outsider" candidates for the US presidential nomination. The struggle to obtain resources faced by candidates in a front-loaded primary season is described, along with the Internet's potential to offset the disadvantages of outsiders in getting exposure, building an organization, & raising funds. Web sites are a much less expensive way to get information to the public than televised ads, & they offer certain advantages for mobilizing workers & supporters. Results of various polls show that Internet use is greater among people who are younger; more educated; & have higher incomes. Additional statistical analyses indicate that, in 2000, 55.5% of people had access to the Internet, but only 12.2% of them used it to visit a candidate's Web site. There was no evidence that the Internet had a significant potential to reduce the traditional advantages of insider candidates for obtaining campaign resources for a front-loaded primary season. The implications for 2004 are discussed. 3 Tables, 1 Photograph, 14 References. J. Lindroth