Suchergebnisse

Democratic theory and electoral behavior / Ian McAllister -- The sociological and social-psychological approaches / Vincent Hutchings and Hakeem Jefferson -- Rational choice theory and voting / Keith Dowding -- Institutions and voting behavior / B. Guy Peters -- The big picture : turnout at the macro level / Jack Vowles -- Demographic and the social bases of voter turnout / Eric Plutzer -- Turnout and the calculus of voting : recent advances and prospects for integration with theories of campaigns and elections / John Aldrich and Libby M. Jenke -- Voting and the expanding repertoire of participation / Jan van Deth -- The acquisition of voting habits / Elias Dinas -- Long-term factors : class and religious cleavages / Geoff Evans and Ksenia Northmore-Ball -- Ideology and electoral choice / Martin Elff -- Party identification / Shaun Bowler -- Trends in partisanship / Oliver Heath -- Politics, media and the electoral role of party leaders / Anthony Mughan and Loes Aaldering -- Preferences, constraints, and choices : tactical voting in mass elections / R. Michael Alvarez, D. Roderick Kiewiet and Lucas Núñez -- Economic voting / Marianne Stewart and Harold Clarke -- Electoral systems / Iain McLean -- Electoral integrity / Pippa Norris -- Voting behavior in multi-level electoral systems / Hermann Schmitt and Eftichia Teperoglou -- Local context, social networks and neighbourhood effects on voter choice / Ron Johnston and Charles Pattie -- Voting behavior in referendums / Michael Marsh -- Networks, contexts, and the process of political influence / Robert Huckfeldt, Matthew T. Pietryka and John B. Ryan -- Persuasion and mobilization effects by parties and candidates / Justin Fisher -- Campaign strategies, media and voters : the fourth era of political communication / Holli Semetko and Hubert Tworzecki -- The role of mass media in shaping public opinion and voter behaviour / Susan Banducci -- Digital campaigning / Stephen Ward, Rachel Gibson and Marta Cantijoch -- Attitudes, values and belief systems / OddbjØrn Knutsen -- The stability of political attitudes / Robert Erikson -- Political knowledge: measurement, misinformation and turnout / Jennifer Hudson -- Is there a rational public? / JØrgen BØlstad -- The geometry of party competition. parties and voters in the issue space / Lorenzo de Sio -- The thermostatic model : the public, policy and politics / Christopher Wlezien -- Regime support / Pedro Magalhaes -- Generational replacement : engine of electoral change / Wouter van der Brug and Mark Franklin -- The dependent variable in election studies : studying respondents or responses as units of analysis / Cees van Der Eijk -- The quest for representative survey samples / Laura Stoker and Andrew McCall -- Horses for courses : using internet surveys for researching public opinion and voting behaviour / Edward Fieldhouse and Chris Prosser -- The use of aggregate data in the study of voting behavior : ecological inference, ecological fallacy and other applications / Luana Russo -- Election forecasting / Stephen Fisher -- Field experiments in political behavior / Donald Green and Erin A. York -- Making inferences about elections and public opinion using incidentally collected data / Jon Mellon.

THIS PAPER SHOWS THAT MAJORITY VOTING WITH BRIBES CANNOT GENERATE VOTING CYCLES WHEN VOTERS' PREFERENCES ARE SEPARABLE IN ALTERNATIVES AND MONEY. WHEN PREFERENCES ARE NOT SEPARABLE IN ALTERNATIVES AND MONEY, VOTING CYCLES ARE POSSIBLE UNDER MAJORITY VOTING WITH BRIBES.

The outcome of the 29 March 2009 Turkish local administrations election is analyzed in light of economic voting literature, both from historical and geographical perspectives. First, the nationwide vote share of the incumbent party (AKP) is compared to what would be expected based on the patterns observed in the past twenty-six National Assembly, Senate, and Provincial Council elections held between 1951 and 2007. For this purpose a vote equation is estimated using aggregate nationwide time-series data. This equation takes into account the roles played by economic conditions, political inertia, incumbency factors, strategic voting by the electorate, and the political realignments. Second, inter-party vote movements between the 2007 parliamentary and the 2009 local administrations elections are analyzed, through systems of party vote equations, estimated separately for different regions of the country, using cross-provincial data. The results obtained show that the outcome of the 2009 election was predictable on the basis of historical patterns. The vote loses of the AKP is attributable mainly to two transitory factors: poor economic conditions prevailing at the time of the election and typical strategicvoting experienced in local elections. The party's vote losses tended to be higher in the east than in the west and in provinces where its support is high than where it is low. The voters who deserted the AKP went to the DP, SP and DTP, in the mid-eastern and south-eastern Anatolia, and to the MHP and SP, in the rest of the country. ; peer-reviewed

"The Routledge Handbook of Local Elections and Voting in Europe represents the standard reference text and practical resource for everybody who analyses issues as local electoral systems, voting behavior or political representation in Europe. It provides comprehensive and expert coverage of 40 European countries - organized along the respective local state traditions - and in addressing a wide range of important questions related to local elections and voting, broadens the scope of existing analyses quantitatively as well as qualitatively. Finally, it affords a more theoretically grounded typology of local elections and voting. Each country chapter is written by a leading expert and follows a rigorous conceptual framework for cross-national comparisons, providing an overview of the local government system, details on the place of local elections within the multi-level political system, specific features of the electoral system, analysis of the main electoral outcomes in the recent decades and finally reflective discussion. Representative democracy is as widespread at the local as at the national level, and as the significance of local authorities in Europe increased in the recent decades, local elections represent a crucial area of study. The Routledge Handbook of Local Elections and Voting in Europe is an authoritative and essential reference text for scholars and students interested in local electoral politics, and more broadly European studies, public administration and political science"--

An examination of the effects of different definitions of the Wc on the measurement of class voting & left voting in Denmark, Norway, & Sweden. The operationalization of the Wc in the three countries is compared, & Swedish election survey data are recoded to conform more closely to the classification procedures used in Danish & Norwegian studies. The analysis shows that if a similar operationalization is used, the level of Left voting in both the Swedish Wcs & Mcs increases & the Alford index of class voting (see SA 14:5/66C1227) declines. Class voting & Left voting in the younger & older generations & among women & men are also discussed. It is concluded that dissimilar patterns of class voting & Left voting among women in the three countries are largely a product of different classification schemes. Problems in using the Alford index as a summary statistic in cross-national comparisons are identified. 7 Tables, 2 Figures, 32 References. Modified HA

Over two centuries of theory and practical experience have taught us that election and decision procedures do not behave as expected. Instead, we now know that when different tallying methods are applied to the same ballots, radically different outcomes can emerge, that most procedures can select the candidate, the voters view as being inferior, and that some commonly used methods have the disturbing anomaly that a winning candidate can lose after receiving added support. A geometric theory is developed to remove much of the mystery of three-candidate voting procedures. In this manner, the spectrum of election outcomes from all positional methods can be compared, new flaws with widely accepted concepts (such as the "Condorcet winner") are identified, and extensions to standard results (e.g. Black's single-peakedness) are obtained. Many of these results are based on the "profile coordinates" introduced here, which makes it possible to "see" the set of all possible voters' preferences leading to specified election outcomes. Thus, it now is possible to visually compare the likelihood of various conclusions. Also, geometry is applied to apportionment methods to uncover new explanations why such methods can create troubling problems